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KWT wrote:Looks like the P.GFS bends back west at the end and into Mexico. I feel thats quite a good call and would be what I personally think will be likely to occur.
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:New version of the GFS near Brownsville
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwpara ... n_180l.gif
ROCK wrote:KWT wrote:Those dynamic models are nearly all based off the GFS...which has a big habit of digging upper troughs too far south. The ECM can sometimes go the other way IMO...but thats why people are discounting the GFS model solutions for now because that really is an extreme trough for the time of year, possible but somewhat overdone IMO.
exactly...most all of them are based off the GFS...the TVCN is the difference between the GFDL and HWRF...we have a go for TS Alex before it hits the Yucatan....whats left will exit into the GOM then its a wait and see with this trof.....I will be looking at hints in the NE on how big and bad this trof is from the local NWS AFD's.....
wxman22 wrote:It brings it up the Texas coast.........
Still think stays south! High to the north.Ivanhater wrote:KFDM Meteorologist wrote:New version of the GFS near Brownsville
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwpara ... n_180l.gif
Complex situation to get there....due north after steering currents collapse
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:Still think stays south! High to the north.Ivanhater wrote:KFDM Meteorologist wrote:New version of the GFS near Brownsville
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwpara ... n_180l.gif
Complex situation to get there....due north after steering currents collapse
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