ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - DISCUSSION

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#2281 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:26 am

Image

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#2282 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:27 am

HURAKAN wrote:Image

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It seems like it might be stalling.
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#2283 Postby HurricaneStriker » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:27 am

Does anyone know a weather radar site that we can look at from Campeche, Mexico?
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#2284 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:28 am

KWT wrote:Yep the system does look like its opening up, may well take a little longer then we expected only 6hrs ago to strengthen again, but it is getting close to the coast now and the slowdown maybe due to a NW jog, we shall see though.


We are probably looking at the earlier center rotating around a broader center that will be emerging.
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#2285 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:29 am

HurricaneStriker wrote:Does anyone know a weather radar site that we can look at from Campeche, Mexico?


It's not working. :(

Image

http://smn.cna.gob.mx/radares/radares.html
Last edited by HURAKAN on Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:33 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - DISCUSSION

#2286 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:33 am

They have not moved this floater more west,but you can still see the center of Alex.

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Re: Re:

#2287 Postby AJC3 » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:33 am

Hurricane Andrew wrote: It seems like it might be stalling.


A look at any visible satellite time lapse will clearly tell you that it's not.
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#2288 Postby HurricaneStriker » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:33 am

This is interesting. 24-hour precipitation forecast by Alex over the Yucatan. They expect 12 inches of rain in and around Escarcega, Mexico.

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Re: Re:

#2289 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:34 am

Hurricane Andrew wrote:It seems like it might be stalling.


Image

It's moving.
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Re: Re:

#2290 Postby Ikester » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:35 am

AJC3 wrote:
Hurricane Andrew wrote: It seems like it might be stalling.


A look at any visible satellite time lapse will clearly tell you that it's not.


Certainly appears to have slowed its forward motion though, IMO
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Re: Re:

#2291 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:35 am

HURAKAN wrote:
Hurricane Andrew wrote:It seems like it might be stalling.


Image

It's moving.

Never mind. I figure out what i did wrong. I thought it was going all W. but it is going WNW to NW. *Facepalm*
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Re: Re:

#2292 Postby jlauderdal » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:38 am

AJC3 wrote:
Hurricane Andrew wrote: It seems like it might be stalling.


A look at any visible satellite time lapse will clearly tell you that it's not.

:roll: :lol:
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#2293 Postby HurricaneStriker » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:38 am

It appears to me that Alex is trying to maintain the immense size it had before by 'extending' its rainbands.

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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - DISCUSSION

#2294 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:38 am

The longer Alex takes over the Yucatan the more complicated this track is gonna get...
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#2295 Postby HurricaneStriker » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:42 am

A look at one of Alex's outer rainbands, located 100+ km from Cancun.

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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - DISCUSSION

#2296 Postby hurricaneCW » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:44 am

Any slowing of Alex is great for Mexico as it would spend more time over land and continue to decouple. A few more hours over land and the circulation will continue to unwind. If that's the case, than it may struggle to reach hurricane status plus the further south track would give it even less time over water which further decreases the hurricane possibility. Needless to say, I'm still impressed at Alex being a June storm with a great structure and large size. I wonder what July and August will bring.
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - DISCUSSION

#2297 Postby gatorcane » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:46 am

hurricaneCW wrote:Any slowing of Alex is great for Mexico as it would spend more time over land and continue to decouple. A few more hours over land and the circulation will continue to unwind. If that's the case, than it may struggle to reach hurricane status plus the further south track would give it even less time over water which further decreases the hurricane possibility. Needless to say, I'm still impressed at Alex being a June storm with a great structure and large size. I wonder what July and August will bring.


I wouldn't count on it decoupling over the Yucatan/Mexico. In fact it has a really nice structure still. I'm looking for it to intensify back to TS status by later on this evening, once it has been over water for for several hours.

Good news though is that it continues to move nearly due W it seems, so the more west it goes could mean the difference in the end for those farther upstream in Texas.
Last edited by gatorcane on Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:47 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - DISCUSSION

#2298 Postby HurricaneStriker » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:47 am

hurricaneCW wrote:Any slowing of Alex is great for Mexico as it would spend more time over land and continue to decouple. A few more hours over land and the circulation will continue to unwind. If that's the case, than it may struggle to reach hurricane status plus the further south track would give it even less time over water which further decreases the hurricane possibility. Needless to say, I'm still impressed at Alex being a June storm with a great structure and large size. I wonder what July and August will bring.


I wouldn't exactly call it 'great for Mexico' because then you're going to get a lot of deaths and missing people due to the rainfall. But of course, the wind threat will decrease.
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#2299 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:51 am

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Re:

#2300 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 27, 2010 11:52 am

HURAKAN wrote:Image


Alex is going to grab what is left of Darby.That gives you the idea on how large is the circulation envelope.
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