ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - DISCUSSION

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[Hurricane Andrew]

Latest

It seems like it might be stalling.

[HurricaneStriker]

Does anyone know a weather radar site that we can look at from Campeche, Mexico?

[Ivanhater]

Yep the system does look like its opening up, may well take a little longer then we expected only 6hrs ago to strengthen again, but it is getting close to the coast now and the slowdown maybe due to a NW jog, we shall see though.

We are probably looking at the earlier center rotating around a broader center that will be emerging.

[HURAKAN]

Does anyone know a weather radar site that we can look at from Campeche, Mexico?

It's not working.



http://smn.cna.gob.mx/radares/radares.html

[cycloneye]

They have not moved this floater more west,but you can still see the center of Alex.

[AJC3]

It seems like it might be stalling.

A look at any visible satellite time lapse will clearly tell you that it's not.

[HurricaneStriker]

This is interesting. 24-hour precipitation forecast by Alex over the Yucatan. They expect 12 inches of rain in and around Escarcega, Mexico.

[HURAKAN]

It seems like it might be stalling.

It's moving.

[Ikester]

It seems like it might be stalling.

A look at any visible satellite time lapse will clearly tell you that it's not.

Certainly appears to have slowed its forward motion though, IMO

[Hurricane Andrew]

It seems like it might be stalling.

It's moving.

Never mind. I figure out what i did wrong. I thought it was going all W. but it is going WNW to NW. *Facepalm*

[jlauderdal]

It seems like it might be stalling.

A look at any visible satellite time lapse will clearly tell you that it's not.

[HurricaneStriker]

It appears to me that Alex is trying to maintain the immense size it had before by 'extending' its rainbands.

[Weatherfreak000]

The longer Alex takes over the Yucatan the more complicated this track is gonna get...

[HurricaneStriker]

A look at one of Alex's outer rainbands, located 100+ km from Cancun.

[hurricaneCW]

Any slowing of Alex is great for Mexico as it would spend more time over land and continue to decouple. A few more hours over land and the circulation will continue to unwind. If that's the case, than it may struggle to reach hurricane status plus the further south track would give it even less time over water which further decreases the hurricane possibility. Needless to say, I'm still impressed at Alex being a June storm with a great structure and large size. I wonder what July and August will bring.

[gatorcane]

Any slowing of Alex is great for Mexico as it would spend more time over land and continue to decouple. A few more hours over land and the circulation will continue to unwind. If that's the case, than it may struggle to reach hurricane status plus the further south track would give it even less time over water which further decreases the hurricane possibility. Needless to say, I'm still impressed at Alex being a June storm with a great structure and large size. I wonder what July and August will bring.

I wouldn't count on it decoupling over the Yucatan/Mexico. In fact it has a really nice structure still. I'm looking for it to intensify back to TS status by later on this evening, once it has been over water for for several hours.

Good news though is that it continues to move nearly due W it seems, so the more west it goes could mean the difference in the end for those farther upstream in Texas.

[HurricaneStriker]

Any slowing of Alex is great for Mexico as it would spend more time over land and continue to decouple. A few more hours over land and the circulation will continue to unwind. If that's the case, than it may struggle to reach hurricane status plus the further south track would give it even less time over water which further decreases the hurricane possibility. Needless to say, I'm still impressed at Alex being a June storm with a great structure and large size. I wonder what July and August will bring.

I wouldn't exactly call it 'great for Mexico' because then you're going to get a lot of deaths and missing people due to the rainfall. But of course, the wind threat will decrease.

[HURAKAN]

[cycloneye]

Alex is going to grab what is left of Darby.That gives you the idea on how large is the circulation envelope.