http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03081212
They go into the GOM and more south than before.Scott,chad or Stormsfury will bring the grafic of this 12:00 run from the models.
12:00 UTC suite of tropical models
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cycloneye
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12:00 UTC suite of tropical models
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vbhoutex
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ticka1 wrote:How can the models accurately project landfall = when its not a TD yet and hasn't crossed over florida? I am going to wait until the system at least gets into the GOM before tooting the horn on where its going. Didn't we learn anything from Claudette?
NO!! HEHEHE!!!
It now has or will have a good initializatin with the LLCC forming, so models should come into more "agreement" as to what will happpen soon.
Actually, lets presume this does develop as anticipated-The only way it will affect anywhere above S TX on the US coast is if the ULL retrograding in from the NE to TX doesn't do its' thing in a timely manner or if it doesn't get S fast enough to influence the path of the developing TC/TD/TS/Hurricane(what ever it becomes).
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Stormsfury
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cycloneye
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Stormsfury how about the globals? What are they showing this morning?
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Stormsfury
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I just loaded the globals into Stormtrakker, and the results are this ...
GFS - tropical development - landfall TX/MX border
CMC - emphatic on tropical development - Landfall TX/MX border
GFDL - kills it
NOGAPS - tropical development - a bit slower but heading towards the Central TX Coast
UKMET - not so aggressive on development - heads towards TX/MX border
SF
GFS - tropical development - landfall TX/MX border
CMC - emphatic on tropical development - Landfall TX/MX border
GFDL - kills it
NOGAPS - tropical development - a bit slower but heading towards the Central TX Coast
UKMET - not so aggressive on development - heads towards TX/MX border
SF
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ColdFront77