Storm2k Tropical Map Update!!!

[chadtm80]

[Tip]

Check out the dry air surrounding 91L on the SE and SW quadrants. May inhibit development.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/WV/20.jpg

[Guest]

What's the distance between the latitudes and this is how far it has to travel in the dry area before getting out of it? Interesting.

[Tip]

Looking at the larger picture, the deep tropical moisture starts at about 80W. If the LLC strengthens, it may be able to pull in the tropical moisture before it gets that far west.

[ColdFront77]

It looks to me to be a typical potential developing system.

There have been many tropical disturbances that have looked like this (dry air around it) that doesn't mean anything in inhibiting it to develop.

[chadtm80]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 121459
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2003

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED
ABOUT ABOUT 585 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FLORIDA IS GRADUALLY
BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. SURFACE PRESSURES ARE FALLING AND THERE
HAS BEEN AN INCREASE IN THE SHOWER ACTIVITY SUGGESTING THAT A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE FORMING. EVEN IF THE SYSTEM DOES NOT
BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE...IT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS
TO PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ALL INTERESTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS
SCHEDULED TO BE IN THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON TO DETERMINE IF A
TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS FORMED.

A BAND OF SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA