ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - DISCUSSION

[hurricaneCW]

Look at the huge blow-up over the western part of the Yucatan? Is that from Alex?

Looks like Alex is pregnant and It's a Girl.

[KWT]

I could realistically see this being upgraded to 100 knots right before landfall given how rapidly the presentation has increased....

The Rio Grande Valley is very very lucky that this didn't make landfall 30 miles or so further north.

Yep your quite right bob, if it did stay on a WNW course instead of heading just south of west like it currently is the band with hurricane force winds probably would have hit the Rio Grande region and left a far messier situation behind.

[HurricaneStriker]

It's 12:12z July 1st, too late to break any records.

Well, it's still June where Alex is...

I wonder how the NHC or the Post Season Analysis will determine and deal with Alex if it breaks the record.

[CrazyC83]

I could realistically see this being upgraded to 100 knots right before landfall given how rapidly the presentation has increased....

The Rio Grande Valley is very very lucky that this didn't make landfall 30 miles or so further north.

Yep your quite right bob, if it did stay on a WNW course instead of heading just south of west like it currently is the band with hurricane force winds probably would have hit the Rio Grande region and left a far messier situation behind.

Not to mention it might have had more time over water...

[CrazyC83]

It's 12:12z July 1st, too late to break any records.

Well, it's still June where Alex is...

I wonder how the NHC or the Post Season Analysis will determine and deal with Alex if it breaks the record.

The record has NOT been broken yet though.

[TexasF6]

"Impressive. Most impressive....Obi Wan has taught you well Young Alex...but you are not a Cat 3 yet..." Darth Vader, Former NHC ProMet....(he's actually Steve Lyons) Ok, I jest, but that storm is WOW.....can we get one more recon?? PLease????????? totally not endorsed by the NHC......115mph at landfall??? Thoughts????

[KWT]

I'm still in awe at the presentation of Alex, it really does have an exceptional presentation for a category-2, as others have said if you were just based off Dvorak in the open waters you'd be looking at something eventually close to 115kts.

[Nicko999]

Brownsville radar...

[CrazyC83]

30/2345 UTC 24.4N 97.4W T6.0/6.0 ALEX -- Atlantic

[HurricaneStriker]

"Impressive. Most impressive....Obi Wan has taught you well Young Alex...but you are not a Cat 4 yet..." Darth Vader, Former NHC ProMet....(he's actually Steve Lyons) Ok, I jest, but that storm is WOW.....can we get one more recon?? PLease????????? totally not endorsed by the NHC......115 at landfall??? Thoughts????

I wish for another recon to see if Alex has strengthened even more. (It should have). Nice quote by the way.

[KWT]

Western eyewall just about to head inland now...expect winds of about 70-80kts, probably gusts near the coast between 85-95kts I'd have thought...some decent damage to those who are in the way of Alex.

[Ivanhater]

[hurricaneCW]

30/2345 UTC 24.4N 97.4W T6.0/6.0 ALEX -- Atlantic

That's a strong Cat 3, borderline 4 which is exactly what the satellite presentation gives off. It's also miraculously improving despite being less than an hour from landfall.

[KWT]

You can really see the connection there to the low pressure way to the NE of Alex there Ivanhater, with loads of storms the whole way across the Gulf states.

Its certainly left its mark thats for sure!

[Cyclenall]

That was a sick rapid scan loop from CMISS! For June, this is unbelievable and should be the warning shot that the 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season is not playing around. Should bring a rude awakening for those in it's eyewall.

As probably already mentioned, the NHC pretty much nailed this one.

[Ivanhater]

You can really see the connection there to the low pressure way to the NE of Alex there Ivanhater, with loads of storms the whole way across the Gulf states.

Its certainly left its mark thats for sure!

I almost thought the eye was a speak on my laptop screen...amazing that it's June (in the U.S still)

[TexasF6]

The eye has cleared out....gorgeous presentation..........and this is June?? And JediMaster Euro says "There is another Sky---walker..." named Bonnie next week??? This season....

[SunnyThoughts]

Recon going for ONE more pass

[hurricaneCW]

Recons last pass will probably hold Alex's intensity quite steadily from before. Its western eye wall is now making its way onshore. They might might flight level winds of 110-115 to support a stronger Cat 2. Pressure probably around 950-952mb.

[drezee]

Recon going for ONE more pass

YES!!!!!! GO GO GO!!! 945mb here we come!!