Disturbed area in ITCZ

[OURAGAN]

A strong Wave with a 1009 MB low is leaving the coast of Africa:

A WEAK 1009 MB LOW PRES...LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
NEXT TROPICAL WAVE...IS MOVING OUT OF AFRICA THROUGH SENEGAL.
CURRENTLY...DAKAR IS REPORTING NE WINDS AND LIGHT RAIN. THE
HOVMOLLER DIAGRAM SHOWS THE WESTWARD PROPAGATION OF THIS SYSTEM
DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 9N-13N E OF 12W...AND FROM 4N-9N
BETWEEN 20W-25W.

[OURAGAN]

[Gustywind]

Ouragan a thread has been opened concerning this twave!

[Gustywind]

A strong Wave with a 1009 MB low is leaving the coast of Africa:

A WEAK 1009 MB LOW PRES...LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
NEXT TROPICAL WAVE...IS MOVING OUT OF AFRICA THROUGH SENEGAL.
CURRENTLY...DAKAR IS REPORTING NE WINDS AND LIGHT RAIN. THE
HOVMOLLER DIAGRAM SHOWS THE WESTWARD PROPAGATION OF THIS SYSTEM
DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 9N-13N E OF 12W...AND FROM 4N-9N
BETWEEN 20W-25W.

Thread already opened: viewtopic.php?f=31&t=108585&hilit=&start=20

[HurricaneBelle]

In fairness to the OP, it would help if the original thread were better titled; the thread with this title is a lot less vague than "We are definitely seeing the next area to invest out of afri".

[cycloneye]

This thread can stay open apart from what HurricaneBelle said,the other thread was created for another wave as the date of the first post is July 15.

[Gustywind]

This thread can stay open apart from what HurricaneBelle said,the other thread was created for another wave as the date of the first post is July 15.

ok Cycloneye glad to see that . Let's see if this one continues to show signs of organization during the next couple of days...

[Cyclone1]

I'll be impressed if it's still here in 24 hours. You know how these waves are.

[KWT]

The curve of the low is fairly obvious but obviously the convection is all to the south of the low thanks to the SAL. Still we are getting closer to the time when these really need to be watched.

[Gustywind]

I'll be impressed if it's still here in 24 hours. You know how these waves are.

Nasty, "poofable" as usual full of surprises

[Gustywind]

The curve of the low is fairly obvious but obviously the convection is all to the south of the low thanks to the SAL. Still we are getting closer to the time when these really need to be watched.

Yeah right! Thanks to the SAL attack

[KWT]

Actually looking at the SAL image there is a little pocket of moisture for this system to work within. I personally still think its early but the models are hinting at a strong wave for 7-10 days time.

[Gustywind]

[cycloneye]

Updates every 15 minutes.

[KWT]

Nice curving to the shallow clouds just to the north of the convection. The waves seem to be more and more advanced in the last 2 weeks in terms of development, just need the SAL to ease a little to get things going in the CV region.

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 181751
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SUN JUL 18 2010

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC...

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED OFF THE W COAST OF AFRICA ALONG 18W S OF
20N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. SURFACE WIND OBSERVATIONS FROM DAKAR
SENEGAL INDICATE A NW-E WIND SHIFT INDICATING THE PASSAGE OF THE
WAVE. LOW-MID LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW IS ALSO EVIDENT IN VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS. A SURGE OF DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE IS ALSO PRESENT IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM
9N-14N BETWEEN 14W-17W...AND W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 3N-9N
BETWEEN 21W-27W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

WALTON

[cycloneye]

OURAGAN, I took out from the title the 1009 mb low as there was no mention at the 2 PM discussion.

[OURAGAN]

Ok, Cycloneye

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 182353
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN JUL 18 2010

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2345 UTC...

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED OFF THE W COAST OF AFRICA ALONG 21W S OF
20N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. LOW-MID LEVEL CYCLONIC CURVATURE IS
EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS. A
SURGE OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE IS ALSO PRESENT IN TOTAL
PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-18N BETWEEN 14W-23W...AND SW OF THE WAVE
AXIS FROM 3N-9N BETWEEN 24W-30W.


$$

GARCIA

[Gustywind]

Seems that it has poof a bit the SAL is surely for something, but let's wait and see as we're approaching the end of the month of July and the beginning of of August...