ATL: Ex-DANIELLE - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#341 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:24 pm

150 hours

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#342 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:26 pm

its going to be a close call...high is building in from the NW but will it be in time to close the window.....oh and I might add that window is very small....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#343 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:27 pm

Yep...STRONG ridging off the east coast

162

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#344 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:29 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_156l.gif

the window is closed bro..IMO...let see how far west she gets as the high builds....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4226
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#345 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:29 pm

is it going to be pushed back wsw?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#346 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:29 pm

168 stalling...Door may have closed

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#347 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:30 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:is it going to be pushed back wsw?


with a ridge like its possible..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#348 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:32 pm

take into account the GFS has it gaining lat when it shouldnt initially...watch out FL and Bahamas.....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4226
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#349 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:33 pm

ROCK wrote:take into account the GFS has it gaining lat when it shouldnt initially...watch out FL and Bahamas.....


and then possibly GOM? :eek:
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38089
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#350 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:33 pm

Well this is interesting!

Image
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#351 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:33 pm

ROCK wrote:take into account the GFS has it gaining lat when it shouldnt initially...watch out FL and Bahamas.....

Ugh... this seems to be playing out like Frances track wise.
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#352 Postby gatorcane » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:33 pm

Interesting system behind TD 6...that may be the one to watch.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#353 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:33 pm

228 hours moving West :lol:
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#354 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:34 pm

Brent wrote:Well this is interesting!

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal180.gif

One giant heaping of "You shall not pass" through the ridge.
Last edited by Evil Jeremy on Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:35 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#355 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:34 pm

Brent wrote:Well this is interesting!

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal180.gif



yeah thats a pretty strong ridge that its plowing into..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145308
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re:

#356 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:35 pm

gatorcane wrote:Interesting system behind TD 6...that may be the one to watch.


I am posting the run at TT for that one.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#357 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:36 pm

Remove IMG tags when quoting..
0 likes   
Michael
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

#358 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:38 pm

well the ridge pushes it WSW for a bit then gets picked up
but there is no way it makes it that far north with that ridge north of it
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#359 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:40 pm

Yep..Very close to the U.S east coast. Not looking at specifics. GFS is doing weird thing having this go north in the short term and longer term with a strong ridge over it.

Trend continues to miss the trough on the 00z run

Image
0 likes   
Michael
Top
Cyclone1
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2739
Age: 33
Joined: Tue Jun 12, 2007 12:03 pm
Location: Florida

#360 Postby Cyclone1 » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:42 pm

So, I couldn't help but notice how unusual this latest GFS run is... is this the first time it's shown such a unique track?
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2010”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Majestic-12 [Bot] and 3 guests