ATL: Ex-DANIELLE - Models

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Ivanhater
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#341 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:24 pm

150 hours

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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#342 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:26 pm

its going to be a close call...high is building in from the NW but will it be in time to close the window.....oh and I might add that window is very small....
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#343 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:27 pm

Yep...STRONG ridging off the east coast

162

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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#344 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:29 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_156l.gif

the window is closed bro..IMO...let see how far west she gets as the high builds....
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#345 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:29 pm

is it going to be pushed back wsw?
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#346 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:29 pm

168 stalling...Door may have closed

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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#347 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:30 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:is it going to be pushed back wsw?


with a ridge like its possible..
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#348 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:32 pm

take into account the GFS has it gaining lat when it shouldnt initially...watch out FL and Bahamas.....
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#349 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:33 pm

ROCK wrote:take into account the GFS has it gaining lat when it shouldnt initially...watch out FL and Bahamas.....


and then possibly GOM? :eek:
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#350 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:33 pm

Well this is interesting!

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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#351 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:33 pm

ROCK wrote:take into account the GFS has it gaining lat when it shouldnt initially...watch out FL and Bahamas.....

Ugh... this seems to be playing out like Frances track wise.
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#352 Postby gatorcane » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:33 pm

Interesting system behind TD 6...that may be the one to watch.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#353 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:33 pm

228 hours moving West :lol:
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#354 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:34 pm

Brent wrote:Well this is interesting!

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal180.gif

One giant heaping of "You shall not pass" through the ridge.
Last edited by Evil Jeremy on Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:35 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#355 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:34 pm

Brent wrote:Well this is interesting!

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal180.gif



yeah thats a pretty strong ridge that its plowing into..
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#356 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:35 pm

gatorcane wrote:Interesting system behind TD 6...that may be the one to watch.


I am posting the run at TT for that one.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#357 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:36 pm

Remove IMG tags when quoting..
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#358 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:38 pm

well the ridge pushes it WSW for a bit then gets picked up
but there is no way it makes it that far north with that ridge north of it
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

#359 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:40 pm

Yep..Very close to the U.S east coast. Not looking at specifics. GFS is doing weird thing having this go north in the short term and longer term with a strong ridge over it.

Trend continues to miss the trough on the 00z run

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#360 Postby Cyclone1 » Sat Aug 21, 2010 11:42 pm

So, I couldn't help but notice how unusual this latest GFS run is... is this the first time it's shown such a unique track?
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