
ATL: Ex-DANIELLE - Models
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models
not with that high overhead it wont.....lets see how fast the weakness fills....its there but not a large one...


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Re:
gatorcane wrote:Geez what happened to that weakness!
Gator the trof has been overdone IMO....now the models are seeing it for what it really is...
for the record, a few days ago, IVAN sniffed this out....gudos to IVAN...

Last edited by ROCK on Sun Aug 22, 2010 11:16 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

there is your weakness but still dont think its much of one....IMO, its suspect... turns this to the NE at 120Hr...

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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models
intensity plays a part with this as well....not as strong not as poleward...this run blows it up pretty good....
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models
Looks like bermuda, new england might come into play if the trends continue.


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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

Vortex you are right....monster high buiilding in from the NW...
let me find that image someone posted a few days ago....

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- SFLcane
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Re:
Vortex wrote:If Danielle is just 300 or so miles to the SW of the H+144 location this will be a major threat to SE coastline
The odds in my personal view are extremely small this tropical system effects the extreme southeast. If i were in bermuda i'd be watching closely.
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Vortex wrote:If Danielle is just 300 or so miles to the SW of the H+144 location this will be a major threat to SE coastline
agree...weaker storm might pull this off...or a slower and weaker storm...EURO will help later....
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models

ho hum...let me break thru this ridge and head on out.....

I have seen enough....

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There is still enough of a trough to allow the system to come up, sure it bends from a due north heading to maybe a NNW/NW motion BUT if that happens and the system is at 30-35N its going to be just about impossible for this to be a threat away from Bermuda and Newfoundland.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models
ROCK wrote:
ho hum...let me break thru this ridge and head on out.....![]()
I have seen enough....
Remember its all *relative*...thats how these systems work, they will get attracted to any weakness and as you can see there is a thinning of the ridge at 65-70W which is enough for a hurricane at that sort of latitude to feel and lift out and recurve into.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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Re: ATL: Tropical Depression SIX - Models
Yeah I don't think it's going to make a difference if the storm is too far north to begin with, if it stays south of 30N when the ridge builds, than maybe, but not any further north. I'm very confident that this will be a fish spinner, there's no doubt in my mind. I think the models will trend east today starting with the latest gfs.
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