Evil Jeremy wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:Evil Jeremy wrote:IMO, a recurve is as certain as that center reformation that many were pegging this morning.
there was no center reformation...
Thats my way of saying "its not certain".
aahhh ok

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Evil Jeremy wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:Evil Jeremy wrote:IMO, a recurve is as certain as that center reformation that many were pegging this morning.
there was no center reformation...
Thats my way of saying "its not certain".
Aric Dunn wrote:I see we you are all back to the this certainty talk again.. it is still up in the air whats going to happen... 50/50 at best
Blown Away wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:I see we you are all back to the this certainty talk again.. it is still up in the air whats going to happen... 50/50 at best
Curious, how did you get to 50/50? Not much to support anything but a fish/recurve?
Blown Away wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:I see we you are all back to the this certainty talk again.. it is still up in the air whats going to happen... 50/50 at best
Curious, how did you get to 50/50? Not much to support anything but a fish/recurve?
gatorcane wrote:The models see things that we cannot see at this moment. As they all show a deflection from the us they are likely not to be all wrong unless Danielle opens back up into a wave
gatorcane wrote:The models see things that we cannot see at this moment. As they all show a deflection from the us they are likely not to be all wrong unless Danielle opens back up into a wave
Buck wrote:It's way too early to be talking like some people are about hits and misses. We have no idea. Models are tools for guidance, not fortune-tellers.
But anyway, the IR loops are so impressive! These cold tops just won't quite! Intense!
gatorcane wrote:Buck wrote:It's way too early to be talking like some people are about hits and misses. We have no idea. Models are tools for guidance, not fortune-tellers.
But anyway, the IR loops are so impressive! These cold tops just won't quite! Intense!
Don't think it is too early at all. Models simply will not miss so bad that suddenly they show Florida as a target at this point. The synoptic setup is pretty clear - a shortwave rolls off the eastern conus in a few days from now that puts a big dent in the western Atlantic ridge. That causes Danielle to curve nw. Every model shows this solution with some small deviations between models.
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