ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[Hurricane Andrew]

Hi peeps! if Earl deciedes to take the western edge of the projected path, I will get hit pretty hard. So far, not really any preporations going on, but the rumors are starting.

[GCANE]

Nice slice by CloudSat of Earl's Eyewall.

The CDO over the eyewall is topping out at a very impressive 17km.

MIMIC Microwave almost looks like 2 concentric eyewalls forming outside of the core eyewall.

Obviously, an ERC is well underway.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... t24hrs.gif

Equatorward outflow channel has taken a hit.

AMSU Microwave Sounding shows a boundary layer inversion in place under the inner eyewall.

He will have to shake this all off if he wants to strengthen more.

[WeatherGuesser]

People still watch TWC?

[TampaFl]

Current 0900UTC (5:00am) 8/31/10 steering flow for Hurricane Earl. Still looks like very strong high pressure holding over the Mid Atalantic States. If this does not break down soon (I know it is forcasted to ) how will this affect Earl's future track? Thoughts/comments welcomed.

[cyclonic chronic]

VDM from yesterday a.m.;
000
URNT12 KNHC 300339
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL072010
A. 30/03:15:20Z
B. 17 deg 55 min N
061 deg 10 min W
C. 700 mb 2828 m
D. 79 kt
E. 064 deg 30 nm
F. 147 deg 96 kt
G. 066 deg 27 nm
H. 970 mb

last VDM 25 hrs later;
000
URNT12 KNHC 310439
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL072010
A. 31/04:26:00Z
B. 19 deg 51 min N
066 deg 06 min W
C. 700 mb 2515 m
D. 112 kt
E. 037 deg 9 nm
F. 127 deg 124 kt
G. 036 deg 11 nm
H. 933 mb

970mb- 933mb= 37mb drop in 25 hrs.

[OuterBanker]

Not TWC NBC. Remember TWC is owned and operated by NBC now.

[Hurricane Andrew]

TWC is operated by NBC?

[afswo]

People still watch TWC?

Comic relief, perhaps? "Great" place to watch the hype.

[UpTheCreek]

TWC is operated by NBC?

Also, A few weeks ago, we had a Macroburst up here. 20 minutes (or so) of 75-100MPH wind. I was not there to see it. If Earl takes the western track, it will be 1-3 hours of 75-100MPH winds for me. And i will be filming it.

That Macroburst knocked over dozens of trees, and cut out power for 2 days. That was 20 minutes. Imagine what 2 hours could do.

Where are you? You don't have it listed under your username.

[Hurricane Andrew]

TWC is operated by NBC?

Also, A few weeks ago, we had a Macroburst up here. 20 minutes (or so) of 75-100MPH wind. I was not there to see it. If Earl takes the western track, it will be 1-3 hours of 75-100MPH winds for me. And i will be filming it.

That Macroburst knocked over dozens of trees, and cut out power for 2 days. That was 20 minutes. Imagine what 2 hours could do.

Where are you? You don't have it listed under your username.

Wappinger Falls,NY. 60 miles North of NYC.

If Earl takes the western path, the eye will go just south of me.

[anarchiver19]

Here in Virginia Beach our usually alarmist local media have been very low key about Earl. Makes me wonder. There are a lot of people around here that have the attitude "they always say we're going to get hit and we end up with nothing, so until I see it outside with my own eyes here I'm not worrying about it." I think this area is very accustomed to having the Outer Banks take a hit before it can get to us.

[WeatherGuesser]

TWC is operated by NBC?

About a year or so now. Immediately it went downhill very fast. A few months ago I dropped it out of my channel scan.

[Hurricane Andrew]

TWC is operated by NBC?

About a year or so now. Immediately it went downhill very fast. A few months ago I dropped it out of my channel scan.

Thanks for the Information.

[UpTheCreek]

TWC is operated by NBC?

Also, A few weeks ago, we had a Macroburst up here. 20 minutes (or so) of 75-100MPH wind. I was not there to see it. If Earl takes the western track, it will be 1-3 hours of 75-100MPH winds for me. And i will be filming it.

That Macroburst knocked over dozens of trees, and cut out power for 2 days. That was 20 minutes. Imagine what 2 hours could do.

Where are you? You don't have it listed under your username.

Wappinger Falls,NY. 60 miles North of NYC.

If Earl takes the western path, the eye will go just south of me.

I'm getting fairly concerned where I live too, especially if the track shifts even more west into NC!

[sandyb]

TWC is operated by NBC?

About a year or so now. Immediately it went downhill very fast. A few months ago I dropped it out of my channel scan.

so thats what happened to it, i knew it was not what it used to be but didnt know about that, ok if Stehpanie is at the outer banks where is Jim if anyone shows up here in Carteret County we will know they are thinking things that we don't know yet, looks like we could get some winds from this as of this am from local weather stations

[UpTheCreek]

TWC is operated by NBC?

About a year or so now. Immediately it went downhill very fast. A few months ago I dropped it out of my channel scan.

so thats what happened to it, i knew it was not what it used to be but didnt know about that, ok if Stehpanie is at the outer banks where is Jim if anyone shows up here in Carteret County we will know they are thinking things that we don't know yet, looks like we could get some winds from this as of this am from local weather stations

Did you make your preps last night, Sandy?

[TampaFl]

Hurricane Earl 7:00AM position & wind field. Map courtesy www. BoatUS.com

[sandyb]

got a few things up in the yard, gonna take down my camper today, pop-up is up gotta put that away, still have to put away some deck chairs and stuff...working on things, need to make a grocrey run this am I keep plenty of stuff on hand anyway due to teenage kids but wanna be ready just in case what are you thoughts this am looks a little closer to me than it did and we are in some of the wind cone on tv 12 and 7

[ColinDelia]

Morning everyone. Here is a good tool for estimating how close the eye of a storm will pass to your location on the forecast track.

The site is here: http://stormcarib.com/closest.htm

For anyone that needs detailed instructions:

1. You'll need your latitude and longitude in decimals.
a. If you are in the US go here http://www.zipinfo.com/search/zipcode.htm click on "latitude and longitude" and type in your zip code. Skip to step 2.
b. If you are in Canada go here: http://www.postalcodedownload.com/ and work your way to your lat/long with your zip code. Skip to step 2.
c. If you are somewhere else you can get your latitude and longitude from wikipedia. Just type in your city name and look at "Coordinates" under the map in the right side menu.
d. Copy your latitude and longitude to convert it
e. Go here: http://www.earthpoint.us/Convert.aspx
f. paste your latitude and longitude into "position" (It'll start in a format like this: 28°32′37″N 81°22′22″W)
g. Click "calc" then get your position in "degrees lat long"

2. Next, Go here: http://stormcarib.com/closest.htm

Look for where it says "Currently tracking Earl" It says "Skip to prefilled form". Click on "skip to prefilled form"
This will fill in the most recent coordinates from the National Hurricane Center official forecast.

3. Just type in your coordinates from step (1) to get your closest expected distance.

Don't forget a hurricane is not a point and there is potential error in the forecast track.

[ColinDelia]

The CDO over the eyewall is topping out at a very impressive 17km.

Wow, look at that.