The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (NO MAJOR LANDFALLS!

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dwsqos2

Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (UGH! SO BORING!)

#221 Postby dwsqos2 » Sat Aug 28, 2010 11:42 pm

Meh...I'm still not impressed. 97L is not really a guaranteed Fiona, and following 97L, we may have a SIGNIFICANT LULL.
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psyclone
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#222 Postby psyclone » Wed Sep 01, 2010 11:31 am

uh, it might be time to chuck the bearish sentiment. it's looking increasingly foolish.
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#223 Postby thetruesms » Wed Sep 01, 2010 2:03 pm

Why, it's not foolish at all - Earl may never even get to a landfall (what? Canada? what's that?), Fiona looks terrible, and there's just a puny little tropical depression out in the Atlantic. Beyond that, it's a vast wasteland for tropical development, and it's already September! Clearly, this must be the most boring season in the history of hurricane seasons! At this rate, we might as well go ahead and cancel 2011 now, too. Bring on 2012!
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#224 Postby Frank2 » Wed Sep 01, 2010 2:10 pm

See - I told you it'd be an active season (LOL)...

Kidding...

P.S. I wouldn't write off TD9 that quickly - it could be a problem for someone, but time will tell, though if we get past that and the MJO pattern shifts back to negative, then we might have passed through the most active portion of the season in pretty good shape...
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#225 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Sep 01, 2010 3:04 pm

Frank2 wrote:See - I told you it'd be an active season (LOL)...

Kidding...

P.S. I wouldn't write off TD9 that quickly - it could be a problem for someone, but time will tell, though if we get past that and the MJO pattern shifts back to negative, then we might have passed through the most active portion of the season in pretty good shape...


But Frank, then the positive phase will move to the the Gulf and Carib,
much more dangerous......
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Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (UGH! SO BORING!)

#226 Postby Aquawind » Wed Sep 01, 2010 7:11 pm

Soo much for boring...

Image
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Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (UGH! SO BORING!)

#227 Postby Migle » Wed Sep 01, 2010 7:18 pm

Aquawind wrote:Soo much for boring...

Image


All I see is 3 storms .... pfft :wink:
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#228 Postby BrianD » Wed Sep 01, 2010 11:35 pm

Yea I have a feeling people are going to get quite a surprise how this season turns out... And take that statement literally! Because I wanna make the pro mets look dumb!! LOL
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Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (UGH! SO BORING!)

#229 Postby Fego » Thu Sep 02, 2010 12:23 am

Migle wrote:
Aquawind wrote:Soo much for boring...

Image


All I see is 3 storms .... pfft :wink:

Indeed is boring, because everytime I look at the Atlantic I see 2, 3 or 4 systems. Show me something different! :ggreen: :cheesy: :lol:
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dwsqos2

Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (UGH! SO BORING!)

#230 Postby dwsqos2 » Sat Sep 04, 2010 7:52 pm

Blah...Gaston's chances of regeneration appear to be nil. I'm not optimistic about the Bay of Campeche system. All systems appear to be go for a significant lull.
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#231 Postby psyclone » Sat Sep 04, 2010 11:05 pm

since the basin is devoid of storms the bears can come out of hibernation. My guess is the western caribbean sea will be a hotbed of activity anytime from the latter half of september through october. la nina seasons are often active late in this region. plus these waters are unmolested by prior tropical activity and are therefore extremely warm. i agree that gaston looks bad at the moment but the idea of a significant lull (which is a subjective term... but i would define as at least a couple of weeks) seem unlikely. things can change very quickly in the heart of hurricane season and respites tend to be short lived.
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dwsqos2

Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (UGH! SO BORING!)

#232 Postby dwsqos2 » Sat Sep 04, 2010 11:13 pm

There have been active seasons with significant lulls in September. See 2008. No TC genesis occurred between September 2 and September 25.
Ike ceased to exist as a tropical cyclone on September 14.
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#233 Postby psyclone » Sat Sep 04, 2010 11:27 pm

i think when the dust settles we'll have more than one tropical storm for the month of september. time will tell.
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#234 Postby Migle » Sat Sep 04, 2010 11:59 pm

So 99L fails. Gaston Part 2 isn't looking so hot right now. Is it winter yet?
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Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (UGH! SO BORING!)

#235 Postby somethingfunny » Sun Sep 05, 2010 10:23 am

dwsqos2 wrote:There have been active seasons with significant lulls in September. See 2008. No TC genesis occurred between September 2 and September 25.
Ike ceased to exist as a tropical cyclone on September 14.


Yeah but we already had a significant lull this year during July and the first three weeks of August. We can't afford to have another lull now!
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#236 Postby Tireman4 » Sun Sep 05, 2010 10:45 am

Bring on Fall, Football, Frolicking and Running!!!
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Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (UGH! SO BORING!)

#237 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 05, 2010 1:43 pm

No active storms on September 5th? Season cancel!
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#neversummer

Weatherfreak000

Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (UGH! SO BORING!)

#238 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Sun Sep 05, 2010 10:15 pm

dwsqos2 wrote:Blah...Gaston's chances of regeneration appear to be nil. I'm not optimistic about the Bay of Campeche system. All systems appear to be go for a significant lull.


Talk about a misfire! :lol:


Season Cancel is dead. We may as well close this thread. Naysayers lost. :lol:
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Florida1118

Re: The Official 2010 Season Cancel Thread (UGH! SO BORING!)

#239 Postby Florida1118 » Sun Sep 05, 2010 10:40 pm

Weatherfreak000 wrote:
dwsqos2 wrote:Blah...Gaston's chances of regeneration appear to be nil. I'm not optimistic about the Bay of Campeche system. All systems appear to be go for a significant lull.


Talk about a misfire! :lol:


Season Cancel is dead. We may as well close this thread. Naysayers lost. :lol:

Ya this thread hasnt seen much activity since Daniele. But still. Sept. 5th and weve only had 10 TCs? Man I was more interested at my lawn growing. :lol:
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Weatherfreak000

#240 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Sun Sep 05, 2010 10:47 pm

The rate we are going since Danielle formed 16 days ago we have now seen 5 storms. I mean geez...do the math on that, if we continued this current pace 100% through September and the beginning of October and perhaps 25% of the pace in Mid October to November, we would be in 2005's range. It's just madness.
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