ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm HERMINE - Discussion

[Bailey1777]

i dont have the resouurces right now can someone post a radar loop showing if its headed to the water again?

[Texashawk]

It's just kind of running parallel to the coast right now; about 10 or so miles to the west of the Gulf. Heading pretty much north, maybe a shade west wobble, but mostly north. For reference, it's just about to enter southern-central Kenedy County, if you are familiar with Texas counties.

[supercane]

Compare:
2AM CDT obs:
TXZ229>234-239>247-070800-
TEXAS COASTAL BEND AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
VICTORIA HVY RAIN 79 77 94 SE9 29.88R FOG
*BEEVILLE CLOUDY 77 76 98 E7 29.83S
ROCKPORT RAIN 78 76 93 E22G28 29.81F FOG
*PORT ARANSAS HVY RAIN 79 77 94 E17G24 29.84S
*PORT LAVACA NOT AVBL
*INGLESIDE RAIN 79 75 89 SE14 29.80F
CORPUS CHRISTI RAIN 79 75 89 E23G37 29.79F
CORPUS NAS LGT RAIN 77 32 19 E17G23 29.78F
*ROBSTOWN DRIZZLE 80 77 92 E10 29.79F
ALICE CLOUDY 79 75 89 E12 29.78F
KINGSVILLE NAS RAIN 81 75 83 E22G30 29.78S FOG
COTULLA CLOUDY 76 74 93 NE5 29.85S
*FAITH RANCH CLOUDY 77 73 88 E8 29.84F
LAREDO CLOUDY 81 75 81 CALM 29.84F
$$

TXZ248>255-070800-
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BROWNSVILLE CLOUDY 79 78 97 S26G39 29.71R
PORT ISABEL LGT RAIN 81 78 91 S30G54 29.67R
*SOUTH PADRE N/A 81 77 89 S33G43 29.71R
HARLINGEN RAIN 79 77 94 S40G54 29.56R FOG
*HEBBRONVILLE RAIN 77 75 92 NE9 29.80F
MCALLEN LGT RAIN 77 75 94 W14G21 29.64R
*WESLACO DRIZZLE 77 75 95 W23G35 29.54R
FALFURRIAS CLOUDY 79 76 91 NE9G18 29.74F
EDINBURG LGT RAIN 78 75 92 N23G31 29.55F
*ZAPATA CLOUDY 78 74 88 N3 29.78F
$$

to 1AM CDT obs:
TXZ229>234-239>247-070700-
TEXAS COASTAL BEND AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
VICTORIA CLOUDY 79 78 97 E3 29.87S
6HR MIN TEMP: 79; 6HR MAX TEMP: 80; 6HR PCP: 0.04;
*BEEVILLE CLOUDY 76 76 98 E7 29.84R
ROCKPORT CLOUDY 80 76 87 SE16 29.83S
6HR MIN TEMP: 77; 6HR MAX TEMP: 82; 6HR PCP: 0.34;
*PORT ARANSAS RAIN 82 79 89 E18G24 29.85S HX 93
*PORT LAVACA NOT AVBL
*INGLESIDE RAIN 81 79 94 E16 29.82S
CORPUS CHRISTI HVY RAIN 81 77 89 E23G29 29.81S FOG
6HR MIN TEMP: 77; 6HR MAX TEMP: 82; 6HR PCP: 0.30;
CORPUS NAS RAIN 78 N/A N/A MISG 29.80F
6HR PCP: 0.42;
*ROBSTOWN LGT RAIN 80 76 89 E12 29.81S
6HR MIN TEMP: 78; 6HR MAX TEMP: 83; 6HR PCP: 0.15;
ALICE CLOUDY 78 77 96 E10 29.80S
6HR MIN TEMP: 77; 6HR MAX TEMP: 84; 6HR PCP: 0.06;
KINGSVILLE NAS HVY RAIN 81 77 88 E15 29.80R FOG
6HR MIN TEMP: 80; 6HR MAX TEMP: 83; 6HR PCP: 0.24;
COTULLA CLOUDY 77 74 90 E7 29.85F
6HR MIN TEMP: 75; 6HR MAX TEMP: 88; 6HR PCP: 0.01;
*FAITH RANCH CLOUDY 77 73 88 E9 29.85F
LAREDO CLOUDY 82 75 79 CALM 29.85S
6HR MIN TEMP: 82; 6HR MAX TEMP: 89;
$$

TXZ248>255-070700-
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BROWNSVILLE LGT RAIN 78 32 18 S45G56 29.63R
6HR MIN TEMP: 77; 6HR MAX TEMP: 81; 6HR PCP: 2.52;
PORT ISABEL HVY RAIN 82 N/A N/A SE45G56 29.60F VSB 1
6HR MIN TEMP: 80; 6HR MAX TEMP: 84; 6HR PCP: 1.54;
*SOUTH PADRE N/A 81 79 94 SE37G51 29.67R
HARLINGEN RAIN 77 77 100 S52G72 29.30F FOG
6HR MIN TEMP: 76; 6HR MAX TEMP: 80;
*HEBBRONVILLE CLOUDY 77 75 92 NE8 29.82S
6HR MIN TEMP: 77; 6HR MAX TEMP: 85;
MCALLEN LGT RAIN 79 75 89 NW16G26 29.63F
6HR MIN TEMP: 78; 6HR MAX TEMP: 82; 6HR PCP: 0.07;
*WESLACO HVY RAIN 77 75 95 N29G38 29.50F
6HR MIN TEMP: 76; 6HR MAX TEMP: 81; 6HR PCP: 0.43;
FALFURRIAS CLOUDY 79 76 91 NE17G24 29.78R
6HR MIN TEMP: 79; 6HR MAX TEMP: 85; 6HR PCP: 0.29;
EDINBURG DRIZZLE N/A N/A N/A N17 29.67F
6HR PCP: 0.32;
*ZAPATA CLOUDY 78 75 90 CALM 29.79F
6HR MIN TEMP: 78; 6HR MAX TEMP: 80;

Looking at radar, looks like Hermine earlier made another large trochoidal wobble but is now back on a NNW heading, just crossing US 77.

[Texashawk]

Well... if it makes it to Baffin Bay going the same general direction that it has for the last 2 hours, it will be officially outside the cone - and Corpus will have a *very* interesting morning ahead.

[WeatherGuesser]

I need the 7PM Thursday position to be further SE though. We need a good drought buster without the winds.

[lantanatx]

Pretty strong rain band woke me up in Kingsville a few minutes ago. Sure looks like the eye is heading North more towards us rather than NW as predicted in the cone. From radar in CC, it is just to the W of US 77 but in the last few loops, it seems to be drifting more toward US 281, so we may end up missing what remains of the eye.

We get street flooding here with anything over 1in/hr, so I imagine morning will surprise some people predicting we would see nothing of note from this storm.

[Texashawk]

Pretty strong rain band woke me up in Kingsville a few minutes ago. Sure looks like the eye is heading North more towards us rather than NW as predicted in the cone. From radar in CC, it is just to the W of US 77 but in the last few loops, it seems to be drifting more toward US 281, so we may end up missing what remains of the eye.

We get street flooding here with anything over 1in/hr, so I imagine morning will surprise some people predicting we would see nothing of note from this storm.

It's interesting - by the time Hermine was at Baffin Bay's latitude, it was supposed to be near Laredo. Well, it's only about 15 miles from that latitude, and it is nowhere near Laredo. I guarantee you there will be some surprised Corpus folks as well.

[mpic]

Tornado Watch for the following counties:
# Aransas
# Austin
# Bee
# Brazoria
# Calhoun
# Colorado
# DeWitt
# Fayette
# Fort Bend
# Goliad
# Gonzales
# Jackson
# Jim Wells
# Karnes
# Kleberg
# Lavaca
# Live Oak
# Matagorda
# Nueces
# Refugio
# San Patricio
# Victoria
# Waller
# Washington
# Wharton

http://abclocal.go.com/ktrk/severeweather?state=TX

[lantanatx]

Eye is passing just to the west of me at the moment. Strong winds both sustained and gusts. TV reported 37 mph sustained w/ 58 mph gust about 15 minutes earlier. I had several gusts that blew unlocked doors open.

[wxman22]

As I thought it looks like the storms maintaining some of its strength could maybe bring tropical storm conditions all the way into San Antonio later today.

[WeatherGuesser]

^^^ I would imagine it'll slow down quite a bit once it gets fully on-shore, but I have to remember that Ike did heavy wind damage all the way into Missouri, Illinois, Kentucky and Ohio.

[O Town]

Rockport TX
Some pretty high gusts

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[tolakram]

Latest saved loop, still rolling.

[cperez1594]

Morning everyone from South Texas, Harlingen area. Wow what a night we had. I had a peak gust of 73mph. I live near the airport and there is pretty good damage and lost of power lost. Trees, light poles, roof singles all on the ground. Lost of power lost in the area, lastnight look like a light show, so many transformers blowing all over the place. It sure did not seem like a Tropical Storm lastnight , maybe a Minimal Cat 1 Hurricane. The eye went right over us lastnight and seem liked forever.

[mcallum177]

Wow very interesting storm, it seems to continue to display an eye like feature well inland, and even more exciting DFW may actually get tropical storm/depression rain!

[wxman57]

That's what a moderate to strong tropical storm can do. Sustained Cat 1 hurricane force winds with gusts of 100 mph or greater are quite a bit worse.

[yzerfan]

It's starting to remind me a little bit of Erin 2007.

[HURAKAN]

Hermine remains impressive

[jasons2k]