ATL: IGOR - Ex Hurricane - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Still looks like an amazing hurricane to me and this one may well pass very close to Bermuda and so hopefully we may get good radar images though hopefully it does miss, 100-110kts sounds reasonable sort of strength at Bermuda IMO...though dry air by then may start to weaken it a little as well if the models are right.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Re: ATL: IGOR - Hurricane - Discussion
rosethornil wrote:Still waiting for one of the smart people to offer a prediction as to when this thing will get close to the East Coast. In other words, when should we panic?
No. This one should stay well away from the East Coast and Virginia. Only problems the East Coast should have is the rip currents like they faced with Danielle. Now, Canada is a different story though.
0 likes
Small 6-9hr motion 'wobbles' now may already start to either slightly decrease or raise the risk to Bermuda. The fact its currently tracking close to the track isn't a great sign though unless the NHC nail the 5 day position it will probably be a touch east/west of Bermuda...
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1794
- Joined: Wed Mar 03, 2010 6:20 am
- Location: Toms River, NJ
Re: ATL: IGOR - Hurricane - Discussion
The worst case is if Igor is just to the west of Bermuda. They could potentially be dealing with the same conditions as they did with Hurricane Fabian. I'm not sure what to make of Igor right now, the eye has recently contracted quite a bit and the outflow seems to be constricted on its west side, but regardless of that, it's still a breathtaking hurricane to look at.
From a tropical enthusiast point of view, the data from Igor as it passes near Bermuda from the island should prove very interesting plus any webcams will be cool to see.
From a tropical enthusiast point of view, the data from Igor as it passes near Bermuda from the island should prove very interesting plus any webcams will be cool to see.
0 likes
- Riptide
- Category 2
- Posts: 753
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 23, 2010 3:33 pm
- Location: Cape May, New Jersey
- Contact:
Re: ATL: IGOR - Hurricane - Discussion
Wow, Igor is becoming absolutely massive. This one will be fun to track.
0 likes
Yeah HCW, that being said the good news is the odds of Bermuda getting the eyewall are still very slim at this stage even if they were to get a direct hit, still obviously people should still pay very close attention to this, esp if you are in Bermuda!
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1794
- Joined: Wed Mar 03, 2010 6:20 am
- Location: Toms River, NJ
Re: ATL: IGOR - Hurricane - Discussion
I don't see dry air being as big of a problem as with Earl, Igor has a broader area of moisture around it. It might be undergoing an EWRC. Dry air tends to be more present during storms that undergo EWRC and this one has been very intense for a while. I can't wait to get recon into this storm to see what's really going on. I think Igor may have even reached Cat 5 intensity for a brief time yesterday, but we'll never know. It could still become a Cat 5 given conditions are still rather ideal for the next couple of days.
0 likes
- FLpanhandle91
- Category 5
- Posts: 1033
- Age: 34
- Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2010 3:50 pm
- Location: Fort Walton Beach, FL
-
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 177
- Joined: Thu Sep 02, 2010 9:55 pm
Re: ATL: IGOR - Hurricane - Discussion
FLpanhandle91 wrote:Anyone else seeing strong westerly wobbles?
http://vortex.plymouth.edu/sat.irE1_an.gif
another wobble to the W, maybe even WSW, gonna wait to see in the next couple of frames.
0 likes
Lim_Fao on IRC.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5205
- Age: 52
- Joined: Wed Sep 07, 2005 9:37 pm
- Location: Orlando, Florida 28°35'35"N 81°22'55"W
Re: ATL: IGOR - Hurricane - Discussion
FLpanhandle91 wrote:Anyone else seeing strong westerly wobbles?
No, just the last frame was a slight westerly wobble. Its stair stepping right on NHC track it seems.

0 likes
#ORLANDOSTRONG
Re: ATL: IGOR - Hurricane - Discussion
yes i see the wobbles....but ....the NHC did mention this in the 5pm disco ...that igor may take on a more westerly wobble for the next few hours.....
the biggest difference in forecast track future....is the synoptic setup i see on the 12z euro and wether the euro is consistent with this feature tonite .....if so it's an eye opener....if not.....then these wobbles may matter for bermuda.
fyi the 12z euro takes igor well SW of bermuda via a north/central atlantic high that noses/builds SW and on top and around igor late thur nite thru sat....and brings him close enough to scare the folks on the outerbanks...before recurving very sharply out to see at around 36 N
the biggest difference in forecast track future....is the synoptic setup i see on the 12z euro and wether the euro is consistent with this feature tonite .....if so it's an eye opener....if not.....then these wobbles may matter for bermuda.
fyi the 12z euro takes igor well SW of bermuda via a north/central atlantic high that noses/builds SW and on top and around igor late thur nite thru sat....and brings him close enough to scare the folks on the outerbanks...before recurving very sharply out to see at around 36 N
0 likes
Re: ATL: IGOR - Hurricane - Discussion
latest frame on ramdis (seems to be ahead of the other sites) 745....shows deep convection on the NW side now....and the best igor this pm
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_1
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_1
0 likes
-
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 177
- Joined: Thu Sep 02, 2010 9:55 pm
Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:14/2345 UTC 18.9N 53.4W T7.0/7.0 IGOR -- Atlantic
CAT5???
0 likes
Lim_Fao on IRC.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 2263
- Joined: Wed Jul 09, 2003 12:42 pm
- Location: Pensacola, Florida
-
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Re:
Battlebrick wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:14/2345 UTC 18.9N 53.4W T7.0/7.0 IGOR -- Atlantic
CAT5???
That alone supports Cat 5, but other agencies may not yet. I personally don't have enough confidence to go up there yet.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest