Pouch PGI46L - Near Windwards - (Is invest 95L)
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Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
it sits in the carib for 3 days before lifting out....doesnt seem logical...but hey it saw it at 216hr.....it aint pushing it out.....
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- Ivanhater
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Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
Finally up to the Georgia/South Carolina border


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Michael
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Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
ROCK wrote:someone going to tell me that with all these lows in the carib not one is going to develop....
whats the web for this gfs model
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Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
that lifts out of Panama....that might be a phantom TC though....interesting...
120
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
120
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
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Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
Ivanhater wrote:Wilma track this go round
i want the link for this run inpartic.
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- Ivanhater
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Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
That is what the Canadian showed last night Rock..it is a different system but indicative of some of the globals wanting to pop something out of the NW Caribbean with all the lowering pressure.
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Michael
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Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... el_m.shtml
here it is kohlejgreene
here it is kohlejgreene
Last edited by South Texas Storms on Fri Sep 17, 2010 11:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
Ivanhater wrote:Wilma track this go round
I'd say more like hurricane king....again this is still way out but with all the octane down there its worth keeping tabs on.
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Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
I wonder if this system forms on its own or does it get a spark from the east.
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Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
Ivanhater wrote:That is what the Canadian showed last night Rock..it is a different system but indicative of some of the globals wanting to pop something out of the NW Caribbean with all the lowering pressure.
they might be on to something more immediate in the short term...that whole area right is fermenting like a good dark beer....

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- Ivanhater
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Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
ROCK wrote:Ivanhater wrote:That is what the Canadian showed last night Rock..it is a different system but indicative of some of the globals wanting to pop something out of the NW Caribbean with all the lowering pressure.
they might be on to something more immediate in the short term...that whole area right is fermenting like a good dark beer....
Tonight's canadian is still on it..someone might want to make another thread for this one

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Michael
Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
Ivanhater wrote:ROCK wrote:Ivanhater wrote:That is what the Canadian showed last night Rock..it is a different system but indicative of some of the globals wanting to pop something out of the NW Caribbean with all the lowering pressure.
they might be on to something more immediate in the short term...that whole area right is fermenting like a good dark beer....
Tonight's canadian is still on it..someone might want to make another thread for this one
as long as they dont call it a pouch....

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- SouthFLTropics
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Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
ROCK wrote:it sits in the carib for 3 days before lifting out....doesnt seem logical...but hey it saw it at 216hr.....it aint pushing it out.....
That doesn't seem that far fetched to me...Didn't Wilma camp out over Cozumel for quite some time before turning towards the North and then NE towards FLA?
SFT
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Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
SouthFLTropics wrote:ROCK wrote:it sits in the carib for 3 days before lifting out....doesnt seem logical...but hey it saw it at 216hr.....it aint pushing it out.....
That doesn't seem that far fetched to me...Didn't Wilma camp out over Cozumel for quite some time before turning towards the North and then NE towards FLA?
SFT
that high centered where its at doesnt make sense for it to sit for 3 days IMO....
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- Ivanhater
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Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
This phantom cane has the strongest support I have ever seen
All models are now on board with development in the NW Caribbean. Still ten days away, so track is gonna swing back and forth but development is likely imo.

All models are now on board with development in the NW Caribbean. Still ten days away, so track is gonna swing back and forth but development is likely imo.
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Michael
Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
agree this one at 240 is at the Yucatan....will have to see tomorrow if it delays it or pushes this out into the GOM or fires it off like a Wilma track....
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Re: Pouch PGI46L -SE of Julia, west of PGI45L
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT SEP 18 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 530 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...ON
TROPICAL STORM JULIA...LOCATED ABOUT 1525 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
THE AZORES ...AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL...LOCATED INLAND OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL MEXICO ABOUT 75 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PUEBLA.
A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE
FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT DRIFTS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT SEP 18 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 530 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...ON
TROPICAL STORM JULIA...LOCATED ABOUT 1525 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
THE AZORES ...AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL...LOCATED INLAND OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL MEXICO ABOUT 75 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PUEBLA.
A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE
FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT DRIFTS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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