Pouch PGI50L in NW Carribean - Code Orange - (Is Invest 96L)

[SouthFloridawx]

What about a solution between the low to the east of Jamaica and the more broad low in the NW Caribbean?

[Ivanhater]

Goes east of Florida this run

[Vortex]

H204 just off the SE fl coast



http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_204l.gif

[SFLcane]

H192




http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_192l.gif

Yea thats pretty wild vortex if it indeed come to fruition.

[Vortex]

H216 pulling away....Those in FL in particular SFL this aint looking good....the hits just keep on coming...

[Blown Away]

So from point of development the low generally moved NNE until passing SFL?

[Macrocane]

If the GFS is right that system will be so large and embedded within so much moisture that it will affect with heavy rains Central America, Cuba, Hispaniola and Florida.

[caneseddy]

I keep thinking about Irene in 1999 which flooded out all of South Florida.....question us how strong will it be because this us shaping up to be one huge storm if GFS is right

[caneseddy]

I keep thinking about Irene in 1999 which flooded out all of South Florida.....question us how strong will it be because this us shaping up to be one huge storm if GFS is right

[Vortex]

all the models indicate this will be very large...many people and several countries will likely deal with a real flooding threat....

[SouthFLTropics]

I know intensity is very difficult to forecast but with the recent GFS runs what are they showing as far as winds? Middle part of next week could be very difficult for the Keys and South Florida emergency managers. They will have some big decisions to make and maybe some short time to do it in.

SFT

[tlopes1980]

much slower run than last few... if it verifies, S FL is looking at possibly 48-60 hrs of trop storm force (and greater) winds. Crazy setup.

[Vortex]

Take a look at the 500mb and just how large this storm may be....

H180


http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal180.gif

[boca]

Lets see something develop first right now all models are predicting development.Lets see if it actually happens.

[Vortex]

H192 the keys would deal with a serious surge.....



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal192.gif

[Vortex]

H204 a pretty powerful hurricane along and just offshore the SE FL coast....



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal204.gif

[ConvergenceZone]

Not to seem skeptical, but can someone point me to the wave/pouch that Nicole suppose to develop from? I looked at all the maps and I can't see the wave that this suppose to develop from... Where is the convection located?

[SFLcane]

[boca]

Not to seem skeptical, but can someone point me to the wave/pouch that Nicole suppose to develop from? I looked at all the maps and I can't see the wave that this suppose to develop from... Where is the convection located?

I think its from the monsoonal trough created from Matthew remnants which is supposed to spark another low from what I'm reading.

[SouthFloridawx]

Not to seem skeptical, but can someone point me to the wave/pouch that Nicole suppose to develop from? I looked at all the maps and I can't see the wave that this suppose to develop from... Where is the convection located?

I think its from the monsoonal trough created from Matthew remants which is supposed to spark another low from what I'm reading.

Which could be the reason why the system is so large?