
Pouch PGI50L in NW Carribean - Code Orange - (Is Invest 96L)
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- SouthFloridawx
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Re: Hurricane possible NW carribean next week...
Take it for what it is... but at 336 It's still just to the east of Florida. Highly unlikely though.


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- SouthFloridawx
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- SouthFLTropics
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Re: Hurricane possible NW carribean next week...
SouthFloridawx wrote:Take it for what it is... but at 336 It's still just to the east of Florida. Highly unlikely though.
Yeah, and another storm on deck just below Haiti...
SFT
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Re: Hurricane possible NW carribean next week...
Run this loop and speed it up. You will see the evolution in the Nogaps run.
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_loop.cgi?&area=ngp_troplant&prod=z85&dtg=2010092600&set=Tropical
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_loop.cgi?&area=ngp_troplant&prod=z85&dtg=2010092600&set=Tropical
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Re: Hurricane possible NW carribean next week...
[quote="Ivanhater"]Shear is ripping across S Florida..starting to get consistency in models showing a strung out low pressure getting torn apart. The news is getting better
Yep. It's pretty remarkable how all these long range models keep stringing us along making us get worked up over something and when it finally comes to crunch time: nothing. This seems like it will be a non-event. I can't believe I've wasted so much time here following a mythical storm that never was and apparently never will be.
Yep. It's pretty remarkable how all these long range models keep stringing us along making us get worked up over something and when it finally comes to crunch time: nothing. This seems like it will be a non-event. I can't believe I've wasted so much time here following a mythical storm that never was and apparently never will be.
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Re:
Yep. As a cop on the street would say 'nothing to see here, move along folks!'dmbthestone wrote:It appears people are leaning away from this becoming a hurricane?
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- SouthFLTropics
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Re: Hurricane possible NW carribean next week...
If you look at the IR loop it appears you can already see the large, and I mean LARGE, circulation trying to take shape. Look for the center somewhere in the corner of the Bay of Honduras, right on the Honduran coastline. Look at all of the moisture that is rotating in to it from the EPAC. Talk about a massive circulation this will be.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/flash-avn.html
SFT
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/flash-avn.html
SFT
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- gatorcane
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Broad large rotation around the gulf of Honduras starting to become noticeable. Convection also building there as well..........This has got to be a code yellow at least by the morning.....
Last edited by gatorcane on Sat Sep 25, 2010 11:55 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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- CourierPR
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Re: Re:
Then we can expect to not see anymore posts from you?otowntiger wrote:Yep. As a cop on the street would say 'nothing to see here, move along folks!'dmbthestone wrote:It appears people are leaning away from this becoming a hurricane?
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Re: Hurricane possible NW carribean next week...
otowntiger wrote:Ivanhater wrote:Shear is ripping across S Florida..starting to get consistency in models showing a strung out low pressure getting torn apart. The news is getting better
Yep. It's pretty remarkable how all these long range models keep stringing us along making us get worked up over something and when it finally comes to crunch time: nothing. This seems like it will be a non-event. I can't believe I've wasted so much time here following a mythical storm that never was and apparently never will be.
Wasted? Because models still think there will be a storm, and that still could be? I dont think thats a waste of time at all. A model run or 2 of a weaker system doesnt automatically mean Shows over!
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- SouthFLTropics
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Re:
gatorcane wrote:Broad rotation around the gulf of Honduras starting to become noticeable. Convection also building there as well..........This has got to be a code yellow at least by the morning.....
We must have been looking at the same thing at the same time...Look at my previous post a short time ago with the IR sat link. And when you say broad you aint kidding...That is a BROAD circulation...
SFT
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- ConvergenceZone
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Re: Hurricane possible NW carribean next week...
Yep. It's pretty remarkable how all these long range models keep stringing us along making us get worked up over something and when it finally comes to crunch time: nothing. This seems like it will be a non-event. I can't believe I've wasted so much time here following a mythical storm that never was and apparently never will be.
I don't think it will be a non-event, as it could bring lots of rain to the state that can cause some problems. But yes, I don't think it's going to make it to hurricane status. As they say, it takes ALOT more than just warm bath water to get a hurricane. The conditions down the road just don't look very good at all to get anything other than a tropical storm out of this.
I'd be more concerned about what may come behind it.....
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- SouthFloridawx
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Re: Re:
SouthFLTropics wrote:gatorcane wrote:Broad rotation around the gulf of Honduras starting to become noticeable. Convection also building there as well..........This has got to be a code yellow at least by the morning.....
We must have been looking at the same thing at the same time...Look at my previous post a short time ago with the IR sat link. And when you say broad you aint kidding...That is a BROAD circulation...
SFT
Even at broad it deserves a 10% on the TWO...hopefully they will mention it there and not in Matts Adv.s anymore.
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- gatorcane
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Re: Re:
SouthFLTropics wrote:gatorcane wrote:Broad rotation around the gulf of Honduras starting to become noticeable. Convection also building there as well..........This has got to be a code yellow at least by the morning.....
We must have been looking at the same thing at the same time...Look at my previous post a short time ago with the IR sat link. And when you say broad you aint kidding...That is a BROAD circulation...
SFT
Ok well at least I'm not the only one that sees it. Large anticyclone sitting right over it also......
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- SouthFloridawx
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Re: Hurricane possible NW carribean next week...
Florida1118 wrote:otowntiger wrote:Ivanhater wrote:Shear is ripping across S Florida..starting to get consistency in models showing a strung out low pressure getting torn apart. The news is getting better
Yep. It's pretty remarkable how all these long range models keep stringing us along making us get worked up over something and when it finally comes to crunch time: nothing. This seems like it will be a non-event. I can't believe I've wasted so much time here following a mythical storm that never was and apparently never will be.
Wasted? Because models still think there will be a storm, and that still could be? I dont think thats a waste of time at all. A model run or 2 of a weaker system doesnt automatically mean Shows over!
Even if it is weaker that doesn't mean the show is over. Tell that to the people who will be flooded out of their homes or the potentially thousands that could die in Central America from mudslides. Just because roofs may not fly off of homes doesn't mean the show is over. There is a lot of time on the clock here...we got a 1st and 10 and we're on our own 5 yard line. A long way to go.
SFT
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Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
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