ATL: JULIA - Ex-TC - Discussion

[brunota2003]

ex-Julia still has a really pretty, tight circulation...chances for it to regenerate increasing yet?

[Shuriken]

It's still firing sporadic convection -- and it does appear that center of the Bermuda High is going to rotate back overhead on WV. Also, it's nearing a patch of 29c water.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/flash-ir2.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/flash-wv.html

I'd guess it only has about another 36hrs to develop more persistent convection or it'll be unable to maintain itself any further.

[AJC3]

Gang, this thread has been moved back into TT in case anyone wishes to talk about it, since the remnant circulation has been tooting off some convection today.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=16

[HURAKAN]

the circulation is intact and convection has increased today

[Aquawind]

Evidently it's a non tropical now because the LLC is obvious and the NHC does not have it on an outlook. Persistant deep convection could change that in time but, that far north already and it's chances to threaten anyone are pretty much non-existant I would think.

[AJC3]

Evidently it's a non tropical now because the LLC is obvious and the NHC does not have it on an outlook. Persistant deep convection could change that in time but, that far north already and it's chances to threaten anyone are pretty much non-existant I would think.

Actually, both the 12Z GFS and ECM take the H85 vortmax associated with ex-J and swing it NW pretty close to Bermuda by Monday night. Granted it's a pretty small/weak feature right now, but it wouldn't hurt the folks out that way to keep an eye on it

[Aquawind]

Oh just leave those poor people alone..lol

[Shuriken]

Gang, this thread has been moved back into TT in case anyone wishes to talk about it, since the remnant circulation has been tooting off some convection today.

I wish they wouldn't move threads to the archives until the circulation no longer exists; it's not only disconcerting, but (as we see in this case) inadvisable for Atlantic systems.

[AJC3]

Gang, this thread has been moved back into TT in case anyone wishes to talk about it, since the remnant circulation has been tooting off some convection today.

I wish they wouldn't move threads to the archives until the circulation no longer exists; it's not only disconcerting, but (as we see in this case) inadvisable for Atlantic systems.

If there's a threat of a comeback, it will be left in the active storms forum for a few days. We play these by ear, as to prevent the active storms forum from getting too cluttered.

[brunota2003]

Well, convection has been sustained through today, there is a clear llc, and it is dropping south toward warmer waters.

[AJC3]

Well, convection has been sustained through today, there is a clear llc, and it is dropping south toward warmer waters.

Minor quibble....it's been pretty much moving due westward the last couple of days.

[Hurricanehink]

It looks better than would-be Nicole right now! It's got steady convection, a good circulation, and it is tracking toward Bermuda, so it's not like it would be a waste classifying it.

[Cyclone1]

Someone shoot the NHC an email?

[Shuriken]

Hot-tower convection directly over the center now with good outflow all directions. Julia is clearly winding back up fast, and ought to be re-classified as a TD this evening.

[Shuriken]

[cycloneye]

Hey,Ex Julia gets a mention at 2 PM TWO.

ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
JULIA...IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA AND IS
MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. CONDITIONS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

[HURAKAN]

Not looking too hot

[northjaxpro]

I have to say that this has been a rather fascinating feature to watch. Ex-Julia just refuses to go away and I have to also admit that this system definitely seems as if it wants to regenerate. It has NHC's attention again, with them now placing a 10% yellow circle back over it.

[Hurricanehink]

It looked better yesterday, for sure. Does anyone know if Julia is still being tracked in the RBT?

[HURAKAN]

It looked better yesterday, for sure. Does anyone know if Julia is still being tracked in the RBT?

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9/26/2010
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