Caribbean - Central America Weather

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4218
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7941 Postby Macrocane » Sat Jan 08, 2011 10:19 am

Pretty cold temperatures have been registered this morning in Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador. Quetzaltenango, Guatemala experienced its first frost since December 28 :cold: and Guatemala city and San Salvador experienced their coolest morning since the same date. These cold temperatures were produced by a cold front that reached the northern part of Central America yesterday and now it is stationary in the northwestern Caribbean. These are the lows registered this morning:

Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 15.6°C (60.1°F)
Belize city, Belize 17°C (63°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 10.3°C (50.5°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala -2°C (28°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 14.2°C (57.6°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 6.3°C (43.3°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 12°C (54°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 5°C (41°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 20°C (68°F)
Esteli, Nicaragua 14.1°C (57.4°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 15.7°C (60.3°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 4.9°C (40.8°F)
Panama city, Panama 21.4°C (70.5°F)
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145336
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7942 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jan 08, 2011 3:08 pm

A New Record High Temperature for January 8 was broken in San Juan


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
234 PM AST SAT JAN 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTEND FROM THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC THROUGH THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN. A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT. A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD THEN ACROSS THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC...TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS WERE NOTED THIS MORNING ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF PUERTO RICO...WITH MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS PREVAILING ELSEWHERE
WITH SOME SUNSHINE IN FEW PLACES. MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY DISSIPATED
NEAR NOON TODAY...WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES PREVAILING THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. ENOUGH DAYTIME HEATING...COMBINED
WITH A SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW...PRODUCED THE DEVELOPMENT OF SOME
SHOWERS ACROSS THE WESTERN INTERIOR AND NORTHWEST SECTION OF PUERTO
RICO. WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS MAINTAIN A LIGHT TO MODERATE
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WIND FLOW ACROSS THE REGION SINCE YESTERDAY. THIS
HAS BEEN PROMOTING HIGHER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALONG THE
NORTHERN SLOPES OF PUERTO RICO...WITH MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 80S ACROSS THIS REGION...INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN METROPOLITAN
AREA. REFER TO CLIMATE SECTION BELOW FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT EXTEND FROM THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC INTO
THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN...HAS BEEN THE MAIN WEATHER FEATURE
AFFECTING THE REGION FOR THE LAST TWO DAYS...AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO
SO AT LEAST THROUGH MONDAY. IN FACT...COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE A
DRIER AIR MASS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE EAST STARTING
TOMORROW AND LASTING PROBABLY THROUGH MID WEEK. A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...EXITING THE EASTERN U.S. LATE
THIS AFTERNOON...IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL NORTH OF THE
AREA...WITHOUT ANY SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ON OUR WEATHER LOCALLY. THE
ONLY EFFECTS WILL BE FOR MARINE INTEREST. REFER TO MARINE SECTION
BELOW FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

LOOKING AHEAD IN THE WEEK...BEHIND THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT...A
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BUILD ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC BEGINNING
ON TUESDAY. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE REGION WHICH WILL PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN WINDS
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. ALSO...THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT MORE
EASTERLY...WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR MORE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
REGION. COMPUTER MODELS INDICATED THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL PREVAIL
AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS...WITH ONLY PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE MOVING FROM TIME TO TIME ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. LATE NEXT
WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND...COMPUTER MODELS INDICATED A COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN...INCREASING SOMEWHAT THE
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR NEXT
DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR PREVAILS ALL TAF SITES AS SE FLOW 5 TO 15 KTS TO FL100 CONT
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THEREAFTER E FLOW RETURNS AND WILL DOMINATE
THE COMING WEEK AS A DEEP E-W RIDGE DEVELOPS AROUND 20N-25N. SHRA
RESULTING IN BRIEF MVFR CIGS ARE POSSIBLE FOR TJSJ/TJMZ/TJBQ THIS
AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...AS PREVIOUS SHIFT MENTIONED...SEAS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY
TRANQUIL THROUGH THIS TONIGHT. A SMALL NORTHERN SWELL IS EXPECTED
TO REACH OUR LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS LATER THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER...A LARGER SWELL IS FORECAST TO REACH THE LOCAL
ATLANTIC WATERS ON MONDAY. IN ADDITION INCREASING WINDS CAN BE
EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...THEREFORE EXPECT CHOPPY
AND CONFUSED SEAS ARE LIKELY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CLIMATE...AT 1236 PM AST...A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 89 DEGREES
WAS SET AT THE LUIS MUNOZ MARIN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN SAN
JUAN/P.R. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 88 SET IN 1996.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 72 83 72 82 / 10 20 20 20
STT 74 85 75 84 / 20 20 30 30

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4218
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7943 Postby Macrocane » Sat Jan 08, 2011 7:22 pm

This afternoon was one of the warmest (if not the warmest) of the year in most of Central America except for El Salvador and Panama where below average maximum temperatures were registered (at or above 90°F are in red):

Belize city, Belize 28°C (82°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 26.6°C (79.9°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 25°C (77°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 36°C (97°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 29.3°C (84.7°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 21.8°C (71.2°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 34.9°C (94.8°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 29°C (84°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 34°C (93°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 32°C (90°F)
Esteli, Nicaragua 29.9°C (85.8°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 23.8°C (74.8°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 17.2°C (63.0°F)
Panama city, Panama 29.9°C (85.8°F)
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145336
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7944 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jan 08, 2011 8:33 pm

This is a graphic that shows how is the annual rainfall distributed in Puerto Rico in a normal pace.Will 2011 be like 2010 and turns out to be an above average year of rainfall? Or it will be on average or below normal? Time will tell down the road.Already in the first 8 days of this new year,1.72 inches has fallen in San Juan. Remember that the all time record was broken last year with 89.51 inches.

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7945 Postby Gustywind » Sat Jan 08, 2011 9:02 pm

cycloneye wrote:Gusty,have things returned to normal in the butterfly island after those floods?

Hi Luis, yeah things returned to normal in Guadeloupe, thanks my God :roll: :). I check you the latest updates concerning this tragic episod :cry: :cry: from our news website Franceantilles.fr. Concerning the death toll looks like this episod was so tragic! (5 dead) compared to Hurricane Hugo 1989 in Guadeloupe (4 dead). This number is the higher (hope i'm wrong but i've made many researches :( ) since Hugo in terms of death ... HURTING :eek: :cry: :cry: :oops: Whereas i'm glad proud and happy to confirm you that one of my friend has escaped from these nasty floodings! Thanks to its strong self-control maybe associated to its job (he's an airplane pilot at Air Caraibes Guadeloupe, he travels often at St Barth, St Marteen, his name is Gilles Zelbin, view one of the articles i posted below). He told me that he swims more than 25 minutes against the strong intensity of the floods!!! He stays each minute pretty confident, hoping for the best! That was a very scary moment worst than escape from a crash given its words :double: :double: :( ! Amazing and incredible story, i was so happy to see my friend Gilles safe but not dry (see pic associated to the article intituled: ROBERT and GILLES, stories of two might). Hopefully the outcome was :D thanks to LORD :)

Tribute to Robert Noyon
Harry MAPOLIN France-Antilles Guadeloupe 08.01.2011 :rarrow: http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 108147.php
(Sylvère SELBONNE)
After the loss of the waters of Doubs Chazeau. Robert Noyon, 38 years old, the first of five victims of rising waters Tuesday night to be buried, was entitled to poignant tributes, yesterday afternoon. A large crowd accompanied his remains first in the chapel of Fatima, that he was attending family and then to the cemetery of Morne-to-l'Eau. He was a man helpful, generous, available for all and love mechanics, said different facts testimonies to the Chapel and in private. France-Caribbean address condolences to his family and relatives.
A last service to Robert
Brothers Robert and close friends took to carry his coffin, a way for them to make a last service to one who was always willing to help others or receive them in his house or his garage.
Rony gave moving testimony to his brother
(Sylvère SELBONNE) "My brother was good." It was helpful, it was very devoted to her family, and he had a great passion for welding and mechanical. This area was a great among the great. "I always alongside his children and his wife", Rony, the brother of the deceased testified.
Lovers of beautiful cars have lost their favorite welder
(Sylvère SELBONNE) A procession of cars Subaru formed for express recognition that lovers of beautiful cars he wear the deceased. Because this welder was always available for repairs and advice.
A family overwhelmed by sentencing
(Sylvère SELBONNE)
Myriam, wife of Robert and his two children Natacha and Anthony had a hard time to realize that this family father who was so good for them is gone forever.
A final blessing for her husband
(Sylvère SELBONNE) Myriam Noyon, née Boucher, overrun by sorrow for her husband the gesture of blessing with the belief that all they will review a day as directed by the Christian doctrine.
Too small Fatima Chapel
(Sylvère SELBONNE)
The chapel of Fatima in the mould Grands-Fonds was too small to contain the crowd. Wife of Robert and his children who are part of the choir of the chapel held ceremony will be in this place of worship Robert attended itself.
Robert was very believer
(Sylvère SELBONNE) The Gillot father and father Cylène which commits the coffin knew Robert Noyon whose son is clergy in the chapel. On January 1, Robert attended mass with the whole family.
Death brings men
(Sylvère SELBONNE)
Front of the Chapel, a kind of prophecy is achieved. Socialist men who are not in the best terms in recent times found themselves in the same circle of discussion, Eric Jalton, Deputy-Mayor of les Abymes, Senator Daniel Marsin and Victorin Lurel, President of the region.
Cycling club Center pedal has rendered tribute
(Sylvère SELBONNE) Young Central pedal cyclists, club which belongs Anthony, the son of Robert and which the latter was himself a member a few years ago, made a last tribute to the deceased.
Solidarity biker
(Sylvère SELBONNE)
Bikers had from time to time to repair their pots of exhaust in the garage of Robert who was always available. They accompanied the funeral procession in solidarity with Rony is a lover of the motorcycle.


Namely
Floods: assessment of damage
franceantilles.fr 07.01.2011
:rarrow: http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 108049.php

Due to damage caused by significant rain on 4 and 5 January 2011 on agricultural activities of Guadeloupe, is now quickly make their assessment. To this end, a fact-finding mission is installed immediately. Comprising representatives of unions, agricultural organisations, the Chamber of agriculture and administration, she collect information and findings of loss to assess global impacts for each of the channels. Posted aims to transmit an expert's report at the latest within a month and a half at the Department of the overseas. This report will be previously presented and discussed with agricultural organisations.
In light of this report, the Minister of him overseas decide the intervention of the relief fund which will allow the capture of the prefectoral recognizing the nature of the agricultural disaster and open up the individual claims filing period. Operators will be then informed by.
(Ü) State services are responsible for coordinating these expertises and to keep track of this procedure will be conducted in the most diligent manner possible.
As regards the first phase (comprehensive assessment of damage), fact-finding mission will move from a large sample of farms affected this during the next 15 days.
"All operators to benefit from compensation rights are fully preserved at the end of this first phase of overall evaluation mission cannot clearly travelling on all holdings." "Is that in the phase of individual statement that everyone will have to establish his claim according to instructions to be provided at that time", informed, yesterday the Prefecture.


[size=200]LES ABYMES
Boricaud District prepares funeral
[/size]
Harry MAPOLIN France-Antilles Guadeloupe 07.01.2011
:rarrow: http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 107998.php

Another bridge of Doubs, a team of national television took pictures. (H. M.) Following the death of five people, washed away by water. In the aftermath of the death of five people washed away by water from a 4 x 4 vehicle attempting to cross a small bridge to Chazeau Doubs, submerged by water torrential Tuesday evening, Jean-Bart family prepares the funeral of his three missing members. "Everything will be here." "La veillée, this Friday night and the religious ceremony tomorrow, Saturday", explains Mauril Shipworm, the municipal councillor of Ward, indicating hand space that officers of the technical service of the city are 1,328,000. It lies between the houses of the brothers Jean-Bart, Harry elder, 59 years old, and his brother Vilar said Chaben and his wife Huguette, born Guicheron. Just a small strip of lawn separates these two homes where children, parents and relatives activate and try to deal with to evacuate the grief. All wait for the arrival of body, when both anticipated and so feared. When confirming that this is not a bad dream.
Why them? Why this family? All questions relatives and that still remain unanswered.
Phones stop ringing. Calls come from everywhere. Comfort messages are numerous. Friends and neighbors who have left the scene later than the day before, returned the morning to go to work. Those available are there, ready to lend a hand. "Over time, it would already made an Arbour, from wood cut in the forest." "It would have already made benches to make people sit", noted, nostalgic, a man of a certain age. Today, things have changed. The city has already made plastic chairs. A team of agents monte capitals of the other side of the street, while another team installs an electric lamp with a tower. One of the sons of the deceased steals a wheelbarrow and helps agents expand bitumen, history of caring. Visitors continue to arrive and each tries to find a word of comfort for families.
Some use drinking among the bottles on a table at the end of the porch. But these "small blows" will never have the same taste than those offered Harry and Vilar friends in times of feast and especially the day of the year. Now in the neighbourhood there is a front and a weighing after.
Les Abymes technical service team is working to prepare the place of the ceremony. (H. M.)The 4 x 4 was away Tuesday night, then qu he crossed a bridge in Doubs, les Abymes.Many motorists to renege on the bridge where the tragedy took place.-One of the victims buried today
Robert Noyon, age 38, father of two teenagers, one of the victims of this tragedy will be credited in Earth this afternoon. The religious ceremony will take place at 4 p.m., at Fatima, the mould Grands-Fonds chappelle. Funeral Jules Amédée Féliciane, another victim, aged 42, living section Chazeau Doubs will be held at a later date.-THEY SAID...
EULOGIUS ALFRED, PARENT of the family: "I saw them grow, I married sister.
I married the sister of Harry and Vilar Jean-Bart. I live just behind them. When I got married, Harry was even not yet born, so I saw them grow. Really, it did not expect such drama. Each year, we celebrate the new year's day. But this year Harry was not there. It was her niece in Guyana. He returned Monday night during heavy rains and he died Tuesday evening. In the morning, I saw him heal his chickens, we talked about.
MAURIL SHIPWORM, CONSEILLER MUNICIPAL: I thank those who support us. "
In the area, we are one big family. We are in solidarity in good and bad times. These three people were killed in a family endured throughout the area and even the entire city of les Abymes. I believe that the Mayor will declare a day of mourning. Death is made to reconcile men. For the people of Boricaud, I thank all those who support us, among other Mayor and especially the logistics team and team coated who agreed to work while on leave, to the vicinity of the two family homes.
DANIEL VINDEX, PARENT of the family: "it was my cousins".
It is Harry that we used to celebrate the new year's day. Harry and Vilar were my cousins, we grew up together. Vilar has lived a long time as a metropolis, but Harry has always remained here, we were often together. I accompanied him in the pitts, it was a great lover of cock fighting, but he was also a very helpful man. In the neighbourhood, it was a reference. It will be difficult to get accustomed to his absence.
BREVIL THICOT, A friend of the family: "A big empty".
Harry was my Sidekick. I am the godfather of his eldest son, this reflects the great friendship there was between us. We've often together with our respective spouses. Wherever he was, he felt, it was a good living. He also put people at ease. He often told me that he would not like his wife dies before him, because without it he could not live. With these deaths, we now have a great vacuum in the neighbourhood. We are struggling to turn.-ÉRIC JALTON EVOKES THE STATE OF NATURAL DISASTER
After flooding on January 3, 4 and 5 Deputy-Mayor of the city, Éric Jalton seized the competent authorities so that recognition of the State of natural disaster. This procedure will allow the concerned insurance compensation. A census is already proceedings. Deputy Mayor here reiterates this call for declaration of all those affected by the disaster.


EARLY LESSONS FROM FLOODS ARE DRAWN
France-Antilles Guadeloupe 07.01.2011
:rarrow: http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 108013.php

In such circumstances, a Minister should not skimp on ways to learn. (Dominique Chomereau-Lamotte) Lessons from floods, respond to short, medium and long term: it was the objective of the meeting chaired yesterday by the Minister of the overseas.
Marie - Luce Penchard brought, yesterday morning, in the Sub-Prefecture of Pointe-à-Pitre, the mayors of most affected by weather - Les Abymes, Morne-to-l'Eau, Saint-François- and chiefs of services of the State concerned. This meeting had a twofold objective: firstly, an update on the situation in the affected municipalities and take stock of the damaged structures, on the other hand, work in the long term. "We have mainly discussed the merits of things, because we must draw lessons from this event, explained the Minister of the overseas." It is the responsibility of the authorities public both locally and nationally. ".
"Let's shorten deadlines."
In the short term, the ball is essentially local camp. "For works which must be completed as soon as possible, it can be very hard a partnership between region and Department, offers Ms. Penchard. Subsequently, if State collaboration is necessary, should enjoy the fact that we are the operational programme mid-term: the European commission will review where we are contracts state-region-Europe and we can take this opportunity to register as a priority works which must be completed in the coming years. ".
Beyond of these problems of works, the question regarding wastewater and storm water management gave rise to a wide-ranging debate. "It considerably spoke responsibility of each and others to the flushing of rivers." The issue is complex. Local authorities already assume their responsibilities, the State assumes its own. But it raises the question of the establishment of a number of schemes which currently do not exist. "Decision was taken very quickly determine what the basins of rivers concerning several communes - which require therefore a concerted community and services of the State - then plan operations in the coming year standing in the long term.
"But it does not mean, however, that we will not act immediately", said Marie - Luce Penchard, which evokes such damage caused in the agricultural sector: in certain sectors - notably Saint-François-75% of surfaces are affected. "I ask that it minimizes delays." Farmers will be encouraged to make themselves known Directorate of agriculture in a way that in a month and a half, I have a report in order to trigger of agricultural disaster to compensate affected farmers. ".
-"Relief fund may be engaged".
"Communal social action centres mobilized to help families, note the Minister." If an additional need is expressed, the State relief fund may be hired. But we're not here: mayors have taken these situations with stigmata. It should be noted in this regard, the Guadeloupians are responsible, are supported and are not specific intervention seeking. Furthermore, the initiation of the procedure of natural disaster for the involved communes will enable individuals to play their insurance. » Board of EXPERT - How driving on flooded roads?
These latter-day torrential resulted in multiple car crashes. What is the course for flooded roads? Lighting Yves Pineau, managing a pointois garage.
Yves Pineau Manager of garage Pineau Meca to Bergevin at Pointe-à-Pitre: "people who don't know where air intake on their vehicle should not take risk." (S B)
"Everything is a matter of air intake", launches Yves Pineau Manager of garage Pineau Meca to Bergevin at Pointe-à-Pitre. Indeed, all cars are are not hoarded in the same fashion when it comes to roll in the water. "Before embarking on a good depth of water, a motorist needs to know where his pipe for air intake, explains the garage." Based on the brand of the vehicle, this pipe can be found in height under the hood or much further down behind the front bumper. "In the latter case, the driver takes the risk damaging its engine by passing in the water. Indeed, if the pipe is in contact with water, the engine will inevitably suck it. And unlike the air, water is compressible by the piston. Consequences: when the piston goes back, the rod may be broken or damaged resulting in damage to the engine. "When the Rod has just twisted, it is still possible to catch the shot, says specialist." "However, if it is broken, the block is corrupted, it change engine". Indicative, nine motor costs between 4000 and 5000 euros and can reach the 18000 euros for top range cars. Conclusion: "people who don't know where air intake on their vehicle should not take risk." For those who know, it is possible to divert or elevate the pipe momentarily to cross water without fear. 4X4s have an advantage on this point since they are highest at the base.
"Do not restart".
"But beware, some vehicles show failures, particularly at the level of sensors, a few days after having been in contact with water.
But once it is committed in the water, what conduct should be adopted? "The best is to ride in a stabilized regime." Isn't the sentence change report, slow down or speed up. Best is to drive slowly in the 1st or in second by avoiding going too fast. One way to avoid splashing other and limit damage in case of deep ruts, says Yves Pineau. However, engine hold should not attempt to restart, could exacerbate the damage to the engine. "Should leave the car and get out as soon as possible. Then, it is strongly recommended to move closer to a specialist who will assess the damage. In case of disposal of the vehicle, not until the door, there is little chance that it can roll again. "With any electronics that there are now about cars, such incidents is fatal." "Experts categorize these elsewhere as a wreck, they don't want to take risks because damage will be too large."-THEY SAID...
ÉRIC JALTON MP and Mayor of ABYMES: "of interesting ideas.
(Dominique Chomereau-Lamotte)I had claimed a prevention plan risk flood, we just live in order to prevent tragedies like that. My appeal seems to have a few echoes at the State level that offers some features in the short, medium and long term.
In the short term, to deal with damage on housing and agriculture. On the ground, which takes much to heart, is announced a companion - but at what level? -on the small works, including public and private bridges on some gullies, works which are to recalibrate, or even rebuild to mitigate the risk. Over the longer term, the idea of a gathering of all partners and institutions that deal with the various streams and channels maintenance seems to me a very interesting idea, which I fully supported, just like that of bringing the financing of large works for the operational programme.
In les Abymes, we estimated the damage repair and upgrading infrastructure likely to prevent this type of risk or even 4, 3, 5 million euros.
Jean-Claude LOMBION Mayor of MORNE-À - water: "intercommunale solidarity."
(Dominique Chomereau-Lamotte)"This meeting is a good thing, but I consider that the mayors of concerned must rely on themselves to rely on outside, even if State intervention and major communities must accompany the Commons to prevent this type of situation and find a timely solution to address these issues."
Two million euros, is the invoice to Morne-to-l'Eau, if you want to minimize flooding hazard. There are more important than other things. About Perrin, for example, must be a structure that will cost at least EUR 600000. But as this sector are also interested in les Abymes, let's see what we can do together. It seems to me essential that Commons which are adjacent and who have the same issues of flooding the gullies and channels work together. » -Insurance: what does do?
Damaged cars, flooded houses... Heavy rains from the beginning of week have left traces. Can insurance cover everything? Not so sure.
Those who have damaged their vehicle floods have to worry. According to an agency of insurance brokers "there is no guarantee natural disaster for vehicles. "Insured persons"all risks"are covered for any accident," explained Councillor. However, an accident is an impromptu and unforeseeable event and floods are not considered as such. "Therefore, them convey damaged during floods are the responsibility of the owner. Only consolation, if these people agreed to guarantee assistance, they will not pay the troubleshooting and a rental car will be loaned. Exceptional situations, it will be the assessment of each insurance. "A commercial gesture is still possible," said Councillor.
TAKE PHOTOGRAPHS
Concerning housing, victims must be insured for consequential relief. Tenants must have purchased insurance comprehensive housing (which is mandatory). Owner has two choices: owner not occupying insurance which guarantees the property (roofing, exterior or in the case of a rental furniture) or mutlirisque home insurance which guarantees it furniture and real estate where he lives at home. Disaster, several steps are critical: it must first take "precautionary measures", i.e. the need to attempt to protect the maximum risk so the situation does not worsen. If order of sites is inevitable before the passage of an adjuster (between three and eight days of delay), is obviously advisable to take a maximum of pictures of the disaster and contact less than five days after his insurance facts. To handle the case and lead the disbursement of funds (the company has four months to do), the expert must collect a certain number of pieces: pictures, valuables and specifications for repair bills. However, all contracts are not identical and do not necessarily cover the risks. It is therefore important to check that appear risks: water runoff, flood, natural disaster and tidal wave. The publication of the Decree of natural disaster will certainly facilitate compensation subject to not exceed ten days.



Weather. Back to green for Guadeloupe
franceantilles.fr 06.01.2011
:rarrow: http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 107904.php

Cloud front is disaggregated and should no longer give a few flurries residual, less frequent and less sustained. With the relative lull in these past 12 hours, the recession is underway in flooded areas.


Rising waters. Why what happened?
France-Antilles Guadeloupe 06.01.2011
:rarrow: http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 107865.php

Exceptional event true, but according to Jack Sainsily, Director of the Board of architecture, urbanism, and l'environnement (CAUE), and Bertrand Masur, CEO Deputy of infrastructure and transport of the Regional Council, obey planning documents and stop building along the shoreline and at high-risk locations.
JACK SAINSILY Director of the Board of ARCHITECTURE, d'urbanisme ET DE L'ENVIRONNEMENT (CAUE): "it fails the rules contained in the planning documents.
"The establishment of a master plan development and management of water (SDAGE) is underway.". This device is intended to support the distribution of drinking water, but also maintains water sewerage and rain waters. 2007 Legislation proposed implementing stormwater management when building permits deposits. Today, on a duty of channelling of rainwater, manage, treat them before discharge into the public domain. Legacy of a story, a number of planning documents (plans, land-use plans premises of urbanism) 1980s, and need to manage spontaneous habitat problems with undivided, etc.
Overall, land (Pos) plans noncompliance is built on dry streams, gullies, etc. Communities closed their eyes here above. Permits are granted without that there is a serious consideration of soil morphological reality. Mouth nozzles, it does not respect the rules contained in the planning documents. Rain waters are dismissed en masse on the pavement and gutters and is not clearing correctly. Channel of the Raizet was an open channel, Vatable Street was a small gutter channel. All waters of the Grands-Fonds de Sainte-Anne, les Abymes foothills are channelled to Pointe-à-Pitre and move toward the sea by channels including that of Perrin. It is worse but can hold them, reduce the calibration.
It must therefore be put in place a true blueprint. It is obvious that the impoundment shall have a prominent place in the local Commons (PLU) urban plan. Les Abymes, one of the most affected communes, shall in its PLU consider basins that naturally exist to Perrin, Boisripeaux, basin basin of Golden Peak, etc. This is valid for the Basse-Terre, Rivière-des-pères, etc.
Popular unconsciousness, who wanted that I build on the ground that me had been bequeathed, is gone. In bon père de famille, cannot do anything. We must stop the spontaneous habitat along the shores. ".
BERTRAND MASUR CEO Deputy of infrastructure and transport SERVICES of the Regional Council: "nature is stronger, it is necessary to adapt."
"Case was an exceptional event." 150 millimetres of water per square metre, is enormous. At the time of the passage of Hurricane Jeanne, in 2004, he fell 200 millimetres of water per square metre. Exceptional overlapping of rain were recorded in the areas in question. There are recurring problems: the natural topography of the ground, the major drainage, etc. Always there climbs to water flooding in these places. The area of Morne-à - water was built due to washouts, deposits of materials. These are locations, by nature, exposed. The behavior of each and others often is for something. It happens that it undervalues the risk. However, nature is the greatest, must adapt. Highway EBIT impacted, it is the secondary road network. It serves areas, sections, etc. These roads are not designed by modern engineering. These are local channels are the legacy of a story. Originally from dirt roads that became communal, routes of highways. Communities conduct, according to their financial ability, upgrades, and recalibrages by improving drainage, the drainage etc. Colossal work should be to overcome the problems of the Grands-Fonds.
Must be respected (PBD) risk prevention plans. Everyone has a role to play: State, major communities, Commons for privacy and security of populations. We combine our efforts on large projects. Must be vigilant, and not to take risk. Do not hesitate to lose four minutes or more to make a detour or wait. ".
-3 QUESTIONS was Jean-Yves LAMBERT DIRECTION DÉPARTEMENTALE equipment: "flood risks are clearly identified.
How can flooding still surprise us?
The set of plans for preventing risks (PBD) on Guadeloupe, apart from the Saintes and Marie-Galante, is validated. Abymes and Morne-to-l'Eau, these plans are validated since September 2008. Among other things, it means that these plans are considered for any application for authorization of urbanism.
Is flood risk studied?
These PPR are comprehensive plans and flood risk is taken into account. Specifically, in the development of PPR des Abymes, specific hydraulic study was conducted by a specialty Board. The aim of this study was to understand and describe the functioning of sector gullies become torrents soon. The PPR takes into account the risk here. If you look at the PPR sector map, you'll find a myriad of beds of ravines and rivers is red, and flood risks they are clearly identified.
Yet the damage are...
Once the event occurs, among other areas: prevention, crisis management, communication, municipal emergency plan... It is the policy domain. And then, prevention, it is also a personal approach, a matter of prudence.

"Channel line is not at issue.
Technical services of the city of les Abymes, it defends that default flushing Canal is responsible for the rise of water. "Part of the flushing is supported by the city and another is made by the region taking on his own account the jurisdiction of the State. The city voted 30,000 euros in budget 2010 for the dredging of channels. "With allocations of the two local assemblies, General Council and Regional Council are 1.2 million euros were invested in the curages of les Abymes channels this year", says Max Biabiany, Director, technical centre of the city.
Regional Council launched a multi-annual programme of restoration and maintenance work on 34 streams in Guadeloupe. In this context, several channels flushing operations started Chazeau, Petit-Peru, the Raizet Besson, three months ago. Doubs where the tragedy occurred at work is well advanced. Flushing system provided by the region program also covers: Royal Palace, canal lapsed ravine, the ravine carrack, Nérée Ravine contended Directorate of technical services. Always from the same source the following details are given: "Unfortunately, there are natural phenomena which cannot do much." With the flow of water, there is an intake of plants and sometimes old materials which obstruct nozzles and causes a rise in water. This area of the city drains much water comes from Sainte-Anne and the Grands-Fonds and we have a habitat that has developed in the vicinity of these streams. Was also adapted road Habitat already in place, without being able to take into account water gullies. In addition, there also riparian clog the pipes. The combination of these factors causes the unfortunate effects that we know. »


OVERNIGHT TRAGICFrance-Antilles Guadeloupe 06.01.2011
:rarrow: http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 107879.php

Five deaths. Yesterday morning, Guadeloupe woke shocked learn the deaths of five people trapped in floods caused by heavy rains that fell on Tuesday archipelago.
Tuesday night which was seen as a huge mess on roads and great misery for people submerged by the waters suddenly turned to drama. In the evening, a 4 x 4 was reported swept by waters, les Abymes, section Chazeau Doubs. It is in an attempt to cross a Ford with its 4 x 4 that a motorist with four passengers on Board was swept by violent waves.
It must be said that the weather was particularly fierce Tuesday. 250 litres of water per m2 in just under 24 hours! Memory meteorologist, it does not remember registering such a flood in the region. These torrential rains which amassed any Tuesday afternoon in les Abymes Grands-Fonds have dissected to form real torrents surprised drivers at the time where most of them were returning home.
Among them, five Abymiens who knew yet this Guadeloupe as the Palm of their hand. Parties to rescue a member of their family, they have not imagined that their powerful 4x4s could be carried away by the fury of the waters. And yet. A habitué of the scene says that the place is not deemed particularly dangerous: "the channel has been maintained not so long ago." From loaders came dredge water at this location. "But as explained a waterfront"water is mounted very quickly.
Residents section also attended the drama and quickly alerted relief which came quickly to sites. But the irreparable arrived. Towards an hour in the morning, firefighters have recovered three bodies in the 4 x 4. Ceux those Harry Bernis Jean-Bart, his brother, Villard Jean-Bart, and his wife, Huguette Jean-Bart, born Guicheron - all originating from Boricaud (Les Abymes). Colonel Bazir men had to stop for the night and weather research. They resumed, yesterday morning, at dawn. And sad news continued to recite. Aquatic rescuers of the Sdis have recovered Jules Félicianne between 7: 30 a.m. and 8 hours. Then worms 10 hours, is the body of Robert Noyon was drawn on the Bank of Doubs.
Whenever a terrible test for families busied a thin thread of hope. Each time a hard blow for Les Abymes, municipality of Eric Jalton who will have paid the heaviest toll this disaster. In this section of the Grands-Fonds it yesterday cried these tragic disappearances. Elsewhere, les Abymes and Morne-to-l'Eau, of Guadeloupian washed their houses defiled by mudflows.
And already a few votes amounted to hold accountable.
In the fault? We have been sufficiently well informed? Why my neighbor was right to built this wall which prevents water pass?
These questions address to elected officials, State.
The State became aware of the magnitude of the disaster of the Council of Ministers. Marie-Luce Penchard, Delegate Minister for overseas, took the plane yesterday morning and arrived early evening. She participated in a meeting with Eric Jalton emergency work les Abymes, Mayor before to go to the families of the victims.
-Béatrice mourns her husband, Jules Félicianne
Jules Amédée Félicianne (42 years) is not returned to work Tuesday night. His body was found yesterday morning in the ravine of Doubs, of his home.
Béatrice Félicianne found solace with relatives. She learned the death of her husband yesterday morning. (Sylvère Selbonne)Yesterday morning, his house in road pavement to Chazeau / Les Abymes, Béatrice is collapsed. Her husband, Jules Amédée Félicianne (age 42), is one of the five recovered victims drowned in Doubs / Les Abymes.
Béatrice Félicianne stood on the place of research, yesterday morning, when it was announced that a body had to be found in the ravine. With a satchel. When police showed him the bag, she immediately knew it was him. "A Brown Satchel."
Her husband, accountant at Pointe-à-Pitre, had left his work around 17 hours Tuesday. A colleague and his employer, from supporting his wife yesterday explained he was joking before. "He rigolait." He did not know if he could go home. He knew the dangers waiting for him... »
Yesterday, it was his birthday
It is true that Chazeau, water issues, Béatrice know her, like other residents: "Often, Chazeau route is cut off." Where it happened, it rises. But never as much. "At 3 p.m., it always was.
When she saw how the rain fell later in the day Tuesday, Béatrice worried. She tried to join her husband. "I wanted to tell him to keep sleeping with his uncle in Beausoleil." But he did not answer...
Concern grew again when she heard that a 4 x 4 has been swept. She hasn't thought it could be her husband, a Peugeot 206. In the evening, still waiting for her husband, she heard a helicopter. There, she understood that it had happened next door.
His brother visited on-site. "He told me that he has not seen with people waiting on the other side." Apparently, Jules Félicianne tried to return home no matter what. "He parked his car and it is mounted in the pick-up to pass. It has never returned...
Béatrice and Jules Amédée Félicianne were married for four years. Béatrice cries "a nice and very considerate man." He worried lot for me, my well-being. ", It is that yesterday, it was his birthday...-Robert Noyon leaves a wife and two children
The body of Robert Noyon (38 years) was found in mid-morning yesterday, at the bottom of the ravine. The Mornalien was married and father of two teenagers.
At end, Beatrice, a niece by Robert Noyon, alliance has kept hope. Yesterday morning, like many other members of the family, she attended the research. Unfortunately, there was not was miracle.
The body of Robert Noyon was drafted around 10 a.m., at the bottom of the ravine. A tragedy for this family. Before the body of his son, Florentin Noyon holds her head in his hands. Béatrice was in tears. Florita, sister of Robert, burst into tears...
He did not intend to wait
Robert Noyon (38 years) was missing from the previous evening. From her sister, Florita, he had broken down of car. Of keypad, it seems. It would break first, then a second. He would go find what repairs. It is returning that things are complicated.
His brother Rony says that his father was unable to bring Robert until his vehicle. "There was too much water to pass with his car." According to Rony, their father have advised her to wait and get his car the next day. "He did not heard...". "Beatrice says that Robert, welder and mechanic to his account at Jabrun/Morne-to-l'Eau,"would never would leave his car.
He sought a way to move and he met the brothers Jean-Bart, Harry and Vilar. According that included Rony, wife of Vilar was hung-up due to rain of Beausoleil. The two brothers went to recover. "Robert took the opportunity to go with the Jean-Bart." And like them, he took away...
Robert Noyon was married and father of two children, Natacha (16 years) and Anthony (13 years). Relatives say he was "very generous and open. Everyone liked it and appreciated his work. »
Shortly after ten o'clock, aquatic rescuers of the Sdis have ascended on the Bank Robert Noyon body. His family was present. (Sylvère Selbonne)-Never seen in January
This rainy episode is totally atypical, explains Norbert Aouizerats, head of the weather centre.
"At the level of the amount of rain, it is exceptional: it has never occurred a month of January." Never was, in January of such important values, up to 250 litres mar m2 in great funds. However, as regards the time - it's raining since Sunday... - we have already been confronted with similar episodes.
The explanation? On the one hand, we have an anticyclonic area on the North Atlantic and off the coast of the United States, on the other, a low-pressure zone covering all South America and back southward Antilles. We are stuck between the two, with a front which is situated just about us, and which has practically not changed since Sunday. C'est ça is exceptional: rather than move, this front remains practically at the same location. Moreover, storm cells that have occurred have affected an area relatively limited, included an area between Sainte-Rose, Baie-Mahault, Gosier, Sainte-Anne, Saint-François, Le Moule, Morne-to-l'Eau. This is above all the water which was falling on Guadeloupe had fallen on this sector alone. »-Sadness and desolation in the Jean-Bart
The neighbourhood of Boricaud is excitement since the announcement of the death of brothers Jean-Bart, Harry and Vilar that everyone called Chaben. His wife née Huguette Guicheron, sister of Michel and Harry Guicheron former cycling champion mouliens of the 1970s, is also among the victims. Three members of this family were taken by Division of Doubs, waters Tuesday night while trying to cross a stretch of road flooded by the waters.
Wednesday morning, the early hours, the homes of victims were already full of world, parents and relatives and friends, as is customary in the campaigns. Everyone wanted to be useful, do something, find lyrics for comfort. "I have trouble believing that Uncle Harry I thought unconquerable is dead!" sighs a nephew of Harry Jean-Bart. Difficult to accept the disappearance of good living.
Remy Jean-Bart has trouble accepting this sad fate for her two brothers. It is now the only one of six brothers to be still alive. The siblings had 14 children. He l strives to not sink into sadness. Must support 8 sisters and her many nieces and nephews. Just 18 months ago disappeared accidentally Sidonius, another brother. The last three brothers lived in houses nearby, separated from a small strip of grass, but in Harry everyone has met. Chaben and his wife House is closed because their two children, a boy and a girl living in the hexagon. "It is Remy, that returned the difficult task of announcing the news to her niece by phone. "I called it in 6 hours." "It was difficult, but I took my courage in both hands."
Groceries on the other side, Boricaud gathering place is also packed world. A majority of men sitting on the veranda is silent. Difficult for them to believe that this good living, to voice Harry, serious, professional Tiler and big cock fighting fan either party so. "Him if had fear of water, to refuse to swim in the sea." It is difficult to believe that he died drowned. "There is no exception his destiny", coward, a friend of the family. How can we understand that Chaben, this welder by profession, who loved to give jokes died under these conditions? It still wondering. Harry children, seven in total, including Joël, champion of motocross, trying to stay fit, but are highly affected. Talking about preparing the Vigil, a great evening. It was the desire to Harry.-Grivy ' close to family
Singer "Grivy la" was very early from the Jean-Bart family is close. At the age of 15, I started working as a Tiler with Harry." Even the last time, he was often in my bar. It was like a big brother to me. When I was a foolish, he chided me as a father. When we work at la Désirade, he refused to take a bath of sea, so he feared water. And it is water that killed him. It's hard for me. I came to support the family, especially Remy who played saxophone on two of my albums, "Bel and good" and "Ti re la".


FIVE BODY RECOVERED IN A RAVINE
V.D. France-Antilles Guadeloupe 06.01.2011
:rarrow: http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 107878.php

Aquatic rescuers of the Sdis have searched the bed of the ravine until the discovery of the body of the fifth and final missing person. (Sylvère Selbonne)
Passengers in a 4 x 4 pickup swept by waters Tuesday night were found dead drowned in a ravine in Doubs / Les Abymes. They attempted to cross a Ford...
Yesterday morning, it is the effervescence in Doubs / Les Abymes. Four bodies were already out of the water and research continues to find a missing fifth person.
The crowd press on the place of the tragedy. Of riparian, onlookers, but relatives and relatives of the victims also. The prefect Jean Fabre, was also come to realize on the spot.
Divisional Commissioner Frédéric Peyran (1) and the Director of the departmental Service fire and rescue (Sdis), colonel Gilles Bazir him show the car. A 4 x 4 pickup grey metallic partly immersed in the middle of the ravine.
Three body in were extracted during the night, two brothers, Harry and Vilar Jean-Bart, and the wife, Huguette. Inhabitants of Borricaud (see page 2). From the fire, the doors were not locked, but with the strength of the current occupants were likely unable to open and found themselves trapped...
A fourth body was found more downstream from the shore, early in the morning, that of Jules Amédée Félicianne (age 42), who lived at Chazeau. His wife is on the premises, in tears. Inconsolable.
At the bottom of the ravine
In the ravine, research continues. Aquatic rescuers of the Sdis searched tirelessly the bed of the stream, while firefighters roam the shores.
In the crowd, the family of the last disappeared, Robert Noyon (38 years, domiciled in Jabrun/Morne-to-l'Eau), is in anguish. Florita, sister of Robert, seeks his father, Florentin. It's there somewhere... "Dad will not go away until his son will not found."
A few minutes later, the clamour announces the bad news: "found!" The crowd Street on shore, behind the houses. The body lies on the water, covered with oilcloth, given by a neighbor to protect it from prying eyes.
While the police keep onlookers remotely, Florita, Florentin father and other relatives surrounded, reddened eyes. Béatrice, niece by the deceased, alliance accuses the blow. She had kept the hope that it could be found living. "It was someone from fort, he was doing sports everyday...". ".
Lieutenant Fritz Brosseau says that the fifth victim's body was found a little more upstream than discovered earlier in the morning. "Aquatic rescuers found him at the bottom of the River, in approximately 2 meters of water, 600 metres approximately downstream of the place where the 4 x 4 has been away."
The body was recovered at the bottom of the ravine. (Sylvère Selbonne)Hundreds of people attended search, yesterday morning, Doubs. (Sylvère Selbonne)Thirty police intervention départementale company was mobilized. (Sylvère Selbonne)(1) The Divisional Commissioner Frédéric Peyran is the new Director of public safety.
-BENCHMARKS
Alert to 19 h 15, Tuesday
Are residents who gave warning Tuesday night, seeing a vehicle borne Doubs waters / Les Abymes. Relief have been alerted about 7: 15 p.m. and firefighters were dispatched a reconnaissance team.
Research
It was first to locate the vehicle swept away by the waves. The lack of visibility and importance of flood made difficult research. 4 X 4 pickup truck finally was spotted by the air force helicopter. Three bodies were discovered inside, to 1 hour. Interrupted around 3 p.m., research resumed around 6: 30 p.m. yesterday. They have led to the discovery of two new bodies, more downstream, in the ravine.
Means incurred
A large number of police were deployed in Doubs yesterday morning. National, whose thirty départementale intervention company (ILC) officials and municipal police officers. 20 Firefighters were involved in research, as well as aquatic lifeguard (Sav). Two helicopters have helped research, the army air and Sécurité civile.
An investigation
A research of the causes of death investigation, entrusted to the departmental security. The first elements, it would appear that three people were in the cockpit and at least another in the dumpster of the pickup, rear.-Reaction: "national solidarity" with Guadeloupe
President Nicolas Sarkozy said Wednesday at the Council of Ministers "national solidarity" to Guadeloupe, spokesman of the Government, François Baroin has reported. The head of State "reaffirmed national solidarity to the families who are bereaved and for Guadeloupe and Guadeloupian which are currently in difficulty", said Mr. Baroin at the end of the Council.
"He asked the Minister in charge of the overseas to anticipate his departure", while he will visit itself in the West Indies at the end of the week.
Marie-Luce Penchard announced left for Guadeloupe as early as Wednesday afternoon to express "support for severely tested population", "to realize the damage caused and evaluate additional means should be deployed if necessary".-3 QUESTIONS to COLONEL GILLES BAZIR, Director, departmental fire and rescue SERVICE: "witnesses observed a vehicle switch road."
Alerted you and how have you spotted the vehicle?
We intervened to call witnesses who saw a vehicle switch road to the ravine with several people on board. After a first recognition, it has not seen much. The vehicle was covered by water. Could locate through the competition of the helicopter.
How the research took place?
Have been intervening divers to do recognition within the vehicle and extract, unfortunately, the bodies of three victims to 1 hour. There, it was decided to stop research, because it was rather complicated. Has twice them this morning and found a fourth victim somewhat washed away by the current (Editor's note, a fifth victim is rescued a little later in the morning).
Was an idea of what is past?
People tried to cross a Ford with a river flowing quite strongly, thinking that they might cross. Water on body force took the vehicle. Apparently, someone was walking next to the vehicle to guide, according to testimony. This person would have washed first.- 15
Between Tuesday night and yesterday morning, firefighters performed fifteen interventions linked to flooding, including 3 implemented safety of animals (cattle, Morne-à - water and mold.) They have helped 6 persons to exit their vehicle and 4 blocked their homes and school at Sainte-Rose, les Abymes and Morne-to-l'Eau. They performed several rescues, including that of two cyclists at Vieux-Bourg/Les Abymes (see page 4). All these operations have mobilized nearly 70 firefighters for some thirty hours.
The prefect Jean Fabre visited the scene drama, accompanied by Frédéric Peyran Divisional Commissioner and the Director of the Sdis, colonel Gilles Bazir.


[b]ROBERT and GILLES, stories of two might
B.C. / V.D. / S.B. France-Antilles Guadeloupe 06.01.2011
:rarrow: http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 107876.php
His car was found in the ravine. Robert Mathias and Gilles Zelbin are the might. They were both successful out of their cars washed away by water. Lionel and Christelle tell their real obstacle course to return home, Tuesday night.

-"I hung from a tree and the firemen rescued me."
Robert Mathias was able to get out of his car washed by the waters in Doubs / Les Abymes. He was aware of having very lucky to be alive.
"I almost died...". "Robert Mathias, 36 years, saw death up close, Tuesday evening, les Abymes. His car was swept away by the water and had emerged miraculously.
"I live in Moreau, le Gosier." I got to work. "It was about 19heures and he was alone in his car. He wanted to go through Chazeau. But while he was crossing a small bridge, his car was swept away by water. Not far from the place where five people were killed.
Robert Mathias recognizes, he was very frightened and he panicked. "There are water returning in the car and a lot of power." Water exceeded even the car. I couldn't open the door. »
Robert Mathias does not know how he did out of his vehicle. "Something that I am kind." I've pushed very, very... "It finally was able to go out and swim to a tree. "I myself am hanging in the tree."
"I thought that he killed him also.
He thinks that he remained close to an hour before arrival relief. "Firefighters came with a rope." I was exhausted and I was scared to descend into the water and whooshing. I didn't force me to tie. I held the rope and they saved me. »
On his release from the hospital yesterday morning, Robert Mathias equals Doubs / Les Abymes. To see where his car and retrieve its affairs. This is where he heard that firefighters were looking bodies.
His mother, Marguerite Mathias, and his aunt, Jacqueline Kancel, accompanied him. "It's a miraculé," they repeat. Marguerite is relieved. It well thought he lost his son.
Not seeing the return Tuesday evening, it is not too worried. She thought that he had stopped at Morne-to-l'Eau. But when the phone rang around 4 a.m., she panicked. "I heard that he had been killed." I thought that he was dead he also... "Its a nice interlocutor saying do not panic, he is hospitalized and saved, it is only when she was able to talk to her that she was completely reassured. »
Robert is aware of having very lucky to be alive. His mother believed that "if he didn't, he believes today." It has a thought for the families of the victims: "people who died, we know also...". »
Robert Mathias car was swept away by water, not far from the place where five people drowned. (Sylvère Selbonne)-"I managed to escape through the glass while the car was below 2 m of water.
Gilles Zelbin is line Air Antilles express driver. Tuesday, it was is improvised swimmer, in eradicating his car. The latter, after having swept away by the current, Golden Pointe / Les Abymes, dropped to the bottom of a ravine.
Gilles Zelbin (right) alongside a waterfront of Golden Peak, which did not hesitate to mobilise a crane truck to get the car of the ravine. (B.C)Gilles Zelbin knows that too: "I am part of a few might flood." Last night (Tuesday evening, Editor's note), I had to be protected by the Almighty. "Naked torso and in short despite a persistent thin rain, this airline pilot attended in the afternoon of yesterday in the operations for his Peugeot 307, stuck under a bridge, rue Camille Loyson, Pointe-d'Or/Les Abymes.
"For most large weatherproof, water continuously climbing this ravine up to submerge the road." This is a classic. "Since September, it has not yet fully dried it", gave his side a waterfront come lend a hand to neighbors, to extract the faster car. Here again, solidarity turned into full throttle. A truck with plateau has even dégoté to do this.
"It was dark: never I I am doubted cross a ravine".
The misadventure lived Tuesday evening this pilot saved the waves, is comparable to that of thousands of motorists, "taken courses by the sudden rise of waters." Adrenaline and more. "Me too, I'd just leave my work at Air Antilles Express." It was 9: 45 pm. I wanted to join my home in Saint-François. "Faced with the problem of caps and deletions roads, Gilles Zelbin has done as much. And is never doubted to implement risk. Logically, we are in the dry season." A rising waters like this has surprised everyone. "Never I had seen it", he eloquently yesterday. Sincere. His search for secondary axes eventually lead up until rue Camille-Loyson. "A sector that I didn't." That is, suddenly his car has become caught in current, while it agreed on a bridge.
"It was dark, it was raining: never I am doubted me cross a ravine.". The suite? A few moments of anxiety: "I nothing could do." My vehicle has resulted in the ravine and quickly found himself overwhelmed. I was still on board. I then tried to maintain my composure: after undoing my belt, I tried to open the door. But there were too many current... "Salvation, Gilles Zelbin it has finally had its battery:"There was enough load to allow me to lower my electric glass." Thanks to it, I have come to out me of the cabin. There, I should still fight against the current to achieve reach a shore. Fortunately, a lady went by car, and drove me home. »
If this line driver today thanked residents of Pointe-d'Or "who expressed concern" by discovering my car under the bridge in the early morning, and salutes the courage of the firefighters who "have undertaken certificates to see if I had not remained stuck behind the wheel", it means now "relax a little." It does not preclude a call: "every parent must register their children for swimming lessons." Learn to swim and to understand the water. "It can always be used" Gilles Zelbin is living proof!
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145336
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7946 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jan 09, 2011 6:21 am

Good Morning.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
437 AM AST SUN JAN 9 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAKLY INDUCED SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN...
SUPPORTED BY A BROAD AND DEEP LAYERED MID TO UPPER LONG WAVE TROUGH
LIFTING EAST NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WEST ATLANTIC...WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS... AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC BASIN AND TIGHTEN THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT OVER THE ENTIRE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE END OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK. MOISTURE FRAGMENTS FROM A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT
EXTENDS SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE WEST CENTRAL ATLANTIC...WHILE A
SECONDARY COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUED
TO EXIT THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
ATLANTIC...WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC WILL GRADUALLY
TURN THE SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW MORE EASTERLY...AND INCREASE THE LOCAL
TRADE WINDS AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. THIS WILL
EVENTUALLY LEAD TO BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION BY MONDAY
AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE
AND SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCTS...
SUGGESTED NO SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE ADVECTION ACROSS THE
REGION FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS FAIRLY STABLE AND RELATIVELY
DRY LOCAL AIR MASS WILL PREVAIL.

EXCEPT FOR BREEZY CONDITIONS...EXPECT LIMITED CONVECTION ACROSS THE
ISLANDS...WITH ONLY QUICK PASSING TRADE WIND CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
WITH MINIMAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS EACH DAY. DUE TO THE CURRENT
AND EXPECTED WIND FLOW...SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND
ADJACENT ISLANDS WOULD BE FOCUSED MAINLY ALONG THE NORTHEAST AND
EAST COASTAL SECTIONS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...WITH LIMITED
ACTIVITY DURING THE AFTERNOONS ACROSS THE WEST SECTIONS OF THE
ISLAND. FOR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...ONLY FEW TO ISOLATED PASSING
SHOWERS ARE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...AS OVERALL FAIR
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. NO MAJOR CHANGES TO WEATHER AND
POPS FORECAST GRIDS...AS LATEST GFS MODEL GUIDANCE INITIALIZED
FAIRLY WELL WITH PRESENT WEATHER PATTERN..AND CONTINUE TO SUGGEST
AN OVERALL DRIER TREND AT LEAST THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDS EXPECTED ALL TAF SITES IN LLVL
SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW OF 5 TO 10 KTS. EASTERLY FLOW RETURNS
TODAY WITH AN AFTERNOON SHRA POSSIBLE ACROSS TJMZ AND TJBQ FROM
09/16Z-09/22Z...RESULTING IN VERY BRIEF MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS.

&&

.MARINE...WITH THE ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...THE INCREASING TRADE WINDS IN COMBINATION WITH
OCCASIONAL PULSES OF LONG PERIOD NORTHERLY SWELLS...ALONG WITH THE DOMINANT
EASTERLY WIND GENERATED SWELL ACTION...EXPECT HAZARDOUS AND CONFUSED
SEAS...STARTING LATER TONIGHT OR MONDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH
OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. SMALL CRAFTS ADVISORIES WILL THEREFORE REQUIRED
FOR PARTS OF THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 84 73 83 73 / 20 20 20 20
STT 84 74 85 74 / 10 40 40 30

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145336
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7947 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jan 09, 2011 2:26 pm

A mostly dry week ahead is instored for the NE Caribbean,so enjoy it.

AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
313 PM AST SUN JAN 9 2011

.SYNOPSIS...LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY AND BREEZY EASTERLY TRADE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN
ATLANTIC WILL ACT TO INCREASE THE LOCAL PRESSURE
GRADIENT...RESULTING IN INCREASINGLY BREEZY TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. PATCHY MOISTURE
CAUGHT IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW WILL STREAM ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS
FROM TIME TO TIME...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD OF HEAVY
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. LATEST GFS
INDICATES A COLD FRONT MAY BRING A SURGE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA NEXT WEEKEND...BUT STILL TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY IN
TIMING AND INTENSITY OF THIS FRONT TO MAKE ANY LARGE CHANGES TO
FORECAST AT THIS TIME. IN GENERAL...WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL
IN THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE AND VERY LIMITED LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE...EXPECT GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER FOR THE UPCOMING
WORK WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ALL TAF SITES
TONIGHT. SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST
AT 10 KTS...BUT WILL SHIFT TO A MORE EASTERLY DIRECTION ON MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS
MARINE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS
BEGINNING LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON...AND SPREADING ACROSS MOST OF
THE REMAINING WATERS BY THE MID WEEK. IN ADDITION...MODERATE
NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL MAKE FOR CONFUSED SEAS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 72 83 72 82 / 20 20 20 20
STT 74 84 74 85 / 20 20 20 20

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4218
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7948 Postby Macrocane » Sun Jan 09, 2011 9:57 pm

Hi! I'm going to divide my post in two parts one for the minimum temperatures and one for the maximum.

Minimum Temperatures

The lows this morning were pretty cool in Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador. The other countries experienced some of their warmest minimum temperatures in weeks.

Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 17.8°C (64.0°F)
Belize city, Belize 23°C (73°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 12.8°C (55.0°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 4°C (39.2°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 18°C (64°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 14.8°C (58.6°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 6.5°C (43.7°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 20.1°C (68.2°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 13°C (55°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 8°C (46°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 23°C (73°F)
Esteli, Nicaragua 14.6°C (58.3°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 16.7°C (62.1°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 4.8°C (40.6°F)
Panama city, Panama 21.1°C (70.0°F)

Maximum Temperatures

The highs were similar to yesterday highs in most of the region:

Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 28.8°C (83.8°F)
Belize city, Belize 28°C (82°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 26.3°C (79.3°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 23°C (73°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 36°C (97°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 29.2°C (84.6°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 20.0°C (68.0°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 34.6°C (94.3°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 28°C (82°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 33°C (91°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 32°C (90°F)
Esteli, Nicaragua 26.3°C (79.3°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 22.7°C (72.9°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 15.1°C (59.2°F)
Panama city, Panama 29.7°C (85.5°F)
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145336
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7949 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jan 10, 2011 5:36 am

Good morning.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
441 AM AST MON JAN 10 2011

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG MID TO UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL REMAIN
IN CONTROL OF THE LOCAL ATMOSPHERE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...
AS BROAD MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTHWEST ATLANTIC
WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EAST NORTHEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC BASIN WHILE TIGHTENING THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT OVER THE ENTIRE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. MOISTURE FRAGMENTS FROM A DISSIPATED COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
WEST CENTRAL ATLANTIC IS BEING PICKED UP BY A SECONDARY COLD FRONT
AND ASSOCIATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT EAST
NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A WEAK LOW LEVEL EASTERLY PERTURBATION MOVING ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN AND THE LOCAL AREA THIS MORNING... WILL BRING
SHALLOW MOISTURE AND A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS TO PARTS OF THE EAST COASTAL
SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND SOME OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. THE OVERALL UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL HOWEVER HELP SUPPRESS
AND LIMIT SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LIMITED MOISTURE ADVECTION ACROSS THE REGION WILL
LEAD TO MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER SKIES ...WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS
FORECAST ACROSS PARTS OF THE INTERIOR AND WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO. AS THE ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS...AND SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS...EXPECT INCREASING EASTERLY WIND FLOW
ACROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY. THIS WILL EVENTUALLY LEAD TO BREEZY
CONDITIONS STARTING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE AND SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS
PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCTS...SUGGESTED NO SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
MOISTURE ADVECTION ACROSS THE REGION WITH ONLY INTERVALS OF
SHALLOW PASSING TRADE WIND SHOWERS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

FAIRLY STABLE AND RELATIVELY DRY LOCAL AIR MASS WILL PREVAIL...
MODELS DO HOWEVER SUGGEST THAT A LARGE PATCH OF MOISTURE FROM AN
OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE ATLANTIC... WILL EVENTUALLY MAKE
IT ACROSS THE ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING WATERS BY THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY AND THEREFORE INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY.
OTHERWISE STILL DO NOT FORESEE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AT THIS TIME
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...AS MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL.

&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDS EXPECTED ALL TAF SITES EARLY THIS
MORNING IN LLVL EASTERLY WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KTS. EASTERLY WIND FLOW
WILL INTENSIFY AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...EXPECT LLVL WINDS TO INCREASE
TO 10 TO 15 KTS WITH LOCALIZED GUSTS...20 AND 25 KTS POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS MARINE
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS BEGINNING
LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AND SPREADING ACROSS MOST OF THE REMAINING
WATERS BY TUESDAY. IN ADDITION...MODERATE NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL
MAKE FOR CONFUSED SEAS TUESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 83 73 82 72 / 20 20 20 20
STT 84 73 84 73 / 30 20 20 10

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145336
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7950 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jan 10, 2011 2:41 pm

AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
303 PM AST MON JAN 10 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WIND FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVER
THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS WHILE AT MID LEVELS SUBTROPICAL HIGH WILL
MAINTAIN ITS GRIP OVR THE REGION INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS OVR THE NEXT 24-36 HRS IN
RESPONSE TO BUILDING HIGH PRES TO THE NORTH AND LOW PRES OVR
SAMERICA WITH WINDS INCREASING OVER 18KT TUE-WED. MODELS DO NOT
SHOW ANY SIG MOISTURE ADVECTION UNTIL LATE WED WHEN PW VALUES AND
K INDEX RISE OVER 1.5 INCHES AND 30 RESPECTIVELY. MODELS ALSO SHOW
SUBSIDENCE INVERSION LIFTING/WEAKENING TO ABOUT 650 MB. THIS
APPEARS TO BE ASSOCIATED TO A SFC TROF AND/OR WIND SURGE EMBEDDED
WITHIN THE TRADE WIND FLOW. INCREASED POPS WED AFTERNOON/WED NIGHT
TO SCT WEST/NMRS EAST AND USVI TO INDICATE A CHANGE TO WETTER
CONDITIONS. DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK WITH WINDS DIMINISHING SOMEWHAT. NO POLAR FRONTS ARE EXPECTED
TO IMPACT THE AREA OVR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS NEXT FIVE DAYS WITH NO SIG WX EXPECTED.
WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH EAST WINDS 15G25KT.


&&

.MARINE...SEAS EXPECTED TO BUILD TONIGHT ON EAST GENERATED WIND
WAVES. NORTH SWELLS WILL ALSO BUILD TOMORROW WITH 7-8 FT LIKELY
ACROSS BOTH ATLC AND CARIB WATERS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 72 80 71 82 / 10 20 40 70
STT 74 84 74 85 / 10 20 60 60

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4218
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7951 Postby Macrocane » Mon Jan 10, 2011 3:21 pm

Hi, I've updated the Central American Cold Surges Thread with the observation of the cold front that reached the region last Friday.

The models have been predicting that a strong high pressure will build in North America and will extend a ridge over Mexico and Central America. These event may produce the strongest winds of this cold season so far plus it could produce some of the coldest temperatures. According the the models the winds may start on Tuesday night and will last through Sunday morning, the strongest wind gusts will be experienced from Thursday night through Saturday.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145336
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7952 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jan 10, 2011 9:39 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1038 PM AST MON JAN 10 2011

.UPDATE...THE FAA/NWS RADAR SHOWED ISOLATED TO LOCALLY SCATTERED
SHOWERS OVER THE LOCAL WATERS...A FEW OF THESE SHOWERS MOVED ON
SHORE AND AFFECTED THE NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. WIND HAD
BEGAN TO SHIFT TOWARD A MORE NE COMPONENT AND THE LATEST
OBSERVATIONS ARE ALSO REPORTING INCREASING WINDS. MORE SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF PR THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145336
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7953 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jan 11, 2011 5:36 am

Good morning.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
442 AM AST TUE JAN 11 2011

.SYNOPSIS...MODERATE TO STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE
ATLANTIC NEAR 32N70W TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH FRIDAY WHILE
MAINTAINING A MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WIND FLOW THROUGH NEXT
TUESDAY.


&&

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES PREVAILED ACROSS THE AREA DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SHOWERS REMAINED WIDELY SCATTERED ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS WHILE OVER LAND ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS WERE
DETECTED. WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY WILL CONTINUE FAIRLY STABLE AS
GFS MODEL DEPICTS A NARROW DRIER AIR TONGUE MOVING ACROSS USVI
AND PR LATER THIS MORNING AND PERSISTING THROUGH THE NIGHT.
SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW SOME SHALLOW MOISTURE THIS MORNING BETWEEN
USVI AND THE SAINT MARTIN THAT SHOULD ACCOUNT FOR SOME PARTLY
CLOUDY PERIODS AND ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS. GFS BRINGING INCREASING
MOISTURE FOR WEDNESDAY AS AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS
APPROACHING 60 WEST CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD. THIS AREA SHOULD
LINGER THROUGH THURSDAY. OTHERWISE FAIRLY STABLE WEATHER FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY.


&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDS EXPECTED ACROSS PR AND USSVI TAF
SITES THROUGH 12/04Z. BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR DUE TO CEILINGS
EXPECTED VCNTY TNCM AND TAPA. EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND FLOW OF 15 TO
20 KTS EXPECTED UP TO 10 THSD FT.


&&

.MARINE...SEAS EXPECTED TO BUILD TODAY WITH NORTH SWELLS WILL ALSO
IMPACT THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS TODAY THROUGH LATE THURSDAY WITH
SEAS 7-8 FT LIKELY ACROSS BOTH ATLC AND CARIB WATERS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 80 71 82 72 / 20 40 70 70
STT 84 74 85 74 / 20 60 60 40

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4218
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7954 Postby Macrocane » Tue Jan 11, 2011 12:56 pm

WARMEST LOWS IN CENTRAL AMERICA SINCE NOVEMBER

Usually the lowest minimum temperatures of the year occur in January but the temperatures registered this morning were more October-like than January-like and most of the region had not experienced such warm minimum temperatures since the last week of November. Thankfully a strong cold high pressure and associated cold front are going to bring a relief in the next few days. The minimum temperatures registred this morning (below 10°C/50°F are in blue):

Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 20.1°C (68.2°F)
Belize city, Belize 25°C (77°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 13.9°C (57.0°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 2°C (36°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 22°C (72°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 19.2°C (66.6°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 11.4°C (52.5°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 21.1°C (70.0°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 17°C (63°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 13°C (55°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 24°C (75°F)
Esteli, Nicaragua 15.5°C (59.9°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 17.3°C (63.1°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 3.9°C (39.0°F)
Panama city, Panama 22.9°C (73.2°F)
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145336
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7955 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jan 11, 2011 2:20 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
246 PM AST TUE JAN 11 2011

.SYNOPSIS...MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WIND FLOW WILL PREVAIL INTO
NEXT WEEK. AT MID AND UPPER LEVELS...SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL
HOLD ITS GRIP ACROSS THE REGION INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...PRETTY QUIET NEXT 18 HRS WITH LITTLE IF ANY SHRA
ACTIVITY EXPECTED AS A STRONG INVERSION HOLDS. A SFC TROF
CURRENTLY LOCATED BETWEEN 55 AND 60W WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND BE ACCOMPANIED WITH A SURGE IN MOISTURE.
NESDIS BLENDED TPW IMAGERY SHOWS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR
1.4 INCHES IN THIS AREA. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT K INDICES
WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID AND UPPER 20S AND SUBSIDENCE INVERSION
LIFT/WEAKEN TO 650 MB. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A MARKED INCREASE IN
SHRA ACTIVITY TOMORROW BEGINNING AROUND NOON IN THE USVI AND
SPREADING WESTWARD ACROSS PR DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS. ANOTHER SFC TROF WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY
THU WITH SHOWERS LIKELY OVERNIGHT WED NIGHT AND THU MORNING ACROSS
ERN PR. THINGS DRY OUT QUICKLY THU AFTERNOON. REST OF THE WEEK
LOOKS FAIRLY STABLE WITH JUST ISOLD SHOWERS UNDER A MODERATE TRADE
WIND FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDS EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST 12/04Z IN
ERLY WIND FLOW OF 15 TO 25 KTS. AFT 12/04Z...A VCSH OR PASSING SHRA
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS TNCM...TKPK...TJSJ...AND THE VI...RESULTING
IN VERY BRIEF MVFR CONDS...WITH VFR CONDS EXPECTED REMAINDER OF TAF
SITES.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD UP TO 9 FT ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE ATLC WATERS IN EAST GENERATED WIND WAVES AND NORTH
SWELLS. ACROSS THE OFFSHORE CARIB WATERS...SEAS EXPECTED TO BUILD
UP TO 8 FT TOMORROW ON EAST GENERATED WIND WAVES. SEAS WILL BEGIN
TO SUBSIDE LATE THU AS PRES GRADIENT SLACKENS AND SWELLS SUSBIDE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED WHAT APPEARED TO HAVE
BEEN A SMOKE PLUME ORIGINATING FROM A FIRE IN GUAYAMA THAT
EXTENDED WESTWARD INTO SALINAS. THIS FIRE APPEARED TO HAVE
STARTED AROUND 1651Z BUT WAS EXTINGUISHED BY 18Z AS THE SMOKE
PLUME NO LONGER BECAME DISCERNIBLE ON RADAR IMAGERY. WFABBA
ALGORITHM FROM CIMSS ALSO INDICATED A PROCESSED FIRE IN THIS AREA.
HOWEVER...THERE WAS NO OFFICIAL CONFIRMATION ON THIS FIRE.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE CRITICAL FOR FIRE WEATHER TOMORROW...
HOWEVER...MOISTURE ADVECTION TOMORROW SHOULD RESULT IN NMRS SHRAS
WITH SHOULD ACT TO MITIGATE THE FIRE DANGER THREAT ACROSS THE
SOUTH COASTAL ZONES AND SRN SLOPES OF PR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 72 83 72 81 / 70 70 60 40
STT 73 84 74 84 / 50 50 40 20

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4218
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7956 Postby Macrocane » Tue Jan 11, 2011 6:44 pm

Today was a very warm day in El Salvador and the warmest temperature since May 2009 was registered this afternoon in San Miguel. These are the maximum temperatures registered today in the region (above 32°C are in red):

Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 28.3°C (82.9°F)
Belize city, Belize 29°C (84°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 25.7°C (78.3°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 22°C (72°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 34°C (93°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 32.6°C (90.7°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 19.7°C (67.5°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 37.7°C (99.9°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 21°C (70°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 33°C (91°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 33°C (91°F)
Esteli, Nicaragua 24.1°C (75.4°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 26.2°C (79.2°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 11.6°C (52.9°F)
Panama city, Panama 32.0°C (89.6°F)
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145336
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7957 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jan 11, 2011 6:48 pm

Macrocane wrote:Today was a very warm day in El Salvador and the warmest temperature since May 2009 was registered this afternoon in San Miguel. These are the maximum temperatures registered today in the region (above 32°C are in red):

Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 28.3°C (82.9°F)
Belize city, Belize 29°C (84°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 25.7°C (78.3°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 22°C (72°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 34°C (93°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 32.6°C (90.7°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 19.7°C (67.5°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 37.7°C (99.9°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 25°C (77°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 21°C (70°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 33°C (91°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 33°C (91°F)
Esteli, Nicaragua 24.1°C (75.4°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 26.2°C (79.2°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 11.6°C (52.9°F)
Panama city, Panama 32.0°C (89.6°F)


What a contrast from the recent cold temps to those very warm readings.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
tropicana
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8056
Joined: Sat Sep 27, 2003 6:48 pm
Location: Niagara Falls, Ontario, Canada
Contact:

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7958 Postby tropicana » Tue Jan 11, 2011 8:24 pm

..finally back after a week-long bout of severe flu and pnemonia.

Regional Highs and Rainfall (rain is 7pmET Mon-7pmET Tues)
for Tues Jan 11 2011

Piarco Airport, Trinidad 31.5C 89F 0.7mm
Maraval, NW Trinidad 29.8C 86F
Crown Point, Tobago 30.5C 87F 2.0mm
Arnos Vale, St Vincent 30.2C 86F 2.2mm
Point Salines, Grenada 29.8C 86F 1.0mm

Grantley Adams, Barbados 29.5C 85F 2.0mm
Hewanorra, St Lucia 28.7C 84F 2.8mm
Melville Hall, Dominica 27.5C 82F 28.2mm
LeLamentin, Martinique 29.2C 85F 4.8mm

VC Bird, Antigua 27.7C 82F
Golden Rock, St Kitts 28.8C 84F trace
San Juan, Puerto Rico 27.2C 81F 1.0mm

Owen Roberts, Grand Cayman 28.3C 83F
Kingston, Jamaica 30.3C 86F
Montego Bay, Jamaica 30.2C 86F
Havana, Cuba 28.2C 83F
Key West, Florida 26.1C 79F
Miami, Florida 27.8C 82F
Nassau, Bahamas 27.9C 82F
Hamilton, Bermuda 18.1C 65F 0.3mm

-justin-
0 likes   

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4218
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7959 Postby Macrocane » Tue Jan 11, 2011 11:22 pm

cycloneye wrote:What a contrast from the recent cold temps to those very warm readings.


Yep that's right, in just a couple of days the temperatures rose from cold to warm and now in just a couple of days they may change again. Here's the gap winds excerpt from the latest TWD:

GAP WINDS...
WITH A STRONG ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN ACROSS EASTERN
TEXAS AND EASTERN MEXICO...
GALE FORCE CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY
OCCURRING OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AREA WITH NORTHERLY WINDS
UP TO 40 KT. OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS...IXTEPEC MEXICO HAS REPORTED
SUSTAINED N WINDS AT 30 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT...SO
THEREFORE HAVE INCREASED THE SYNOPSIS CONDITIONS TO REFLECT THIS
DATA. THIS EVENT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO STORM FORCE BY
12/0600 UTC...AS DRAINAGE FLOW REACHES A DIURNAL MAXIMUM
OVERNIGHT AND THE MAIN SURGE OF NORTHERLY WINDS FROM THE WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO MAKES IT WAY THROUGH THE CHIVELA PASS AND EXITS
THROUGH THE ISTHMUS INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

WINDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 25
KT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS EASTERLY SURGES IN THE SOUTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA BLOW THROUGH THE PASSES THE NEXT FEW DAYS.



By the way tropicana is great to have you back, I hope you have a fast and full recovery
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145336
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather Thread

#7960 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jan 12, 2011 6:00 am

Good morning.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
448 AM AST WED JAN 12 2011

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST
COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA...UNTIL LATER NEXT WEEK WHEN IT SHIFTS TO
VENEZUELA CARRYING THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH WITH IT.

AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS EAST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC UNTIL THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK
WHEN IT MOVES OVER THE LOCAL AREA.

AT LOWER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVES
NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHEAST ATLANTIC DURING THE WEEK WHILE
MAINTAINING A MODEST CONNECTION WITH THE STRONG HIGH MOVING INTO
THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES THAT WILL WEAKEN IN THE PROCESS.
THESE HIGHS WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS THROUGHOUT
THE PERIOD.


&&

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWER ARE NOTED ON RADAR...MAINLY OVER
THE ATLANTIC WATERS...AND NOW APPROACHING THE EAST COAST OF PUERTO
RICO SOUTH OF CEIBA. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS A PATCH
OF CLOUDS VISIBLE IN IR IMAGERY SAILS INTO THE AREA ON FRESH TRADE
WINDS. SOME OF THESE AREAS HAVE ALREADY BROUGHT LOWER CEILINGS TO
SAINT MARTIN. THE BULK OF THE SHOWERS SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS MIDDAY AND ONTO PUERTO RICO`S EAST COAST BY MID
AFTERNOON. PASSING SHOWERS SHOULD THEN SPREAD OVER MOST OF THE
ISLAND WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS MOST EVERYWHERE...THOUGH THE
SOUTHWEST MAY BE SLIGHTED. THIS PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE REST
OF THE WEEK AND BEYOND THE WEEKEND WITH ALTERNATING BANDS OF
PASSING SHOWERS AND DRIER AREAS MOVING BRISKLY ACROSS THE ISLAND.
TIMING IS THE MOST DIFFICULT ASPECT OF THE FORECAST...AS AMOUNTS
WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT...WITH WINDWARD SLOPES MORE FAVORED IN
PUERTO RICO...AND FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT ANY TIME DURING THE
NEXT WEEK. WINDS CHANGE LITTLE AS THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
LOW BRINGING SNOW TO MUCH OF THE REST OF THE EASTERN UNITED
STATES IS NOT ABLE TO TRACK SOUTH OF 25 NORTH AT 66 WEST AND IS
PULLED NORTH AGAIN ON SUNDAY.


&&

.AVIATION...
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED UNTIL 12/152Z NEAR TJBQ...TJMZ...TJPS
AND TJSJ. AFT 15Z CONDS DETERIORATING FROM THE EAST IN SCT TO NMRS
SHRA. HIER TERRAIN OBSCD. VCNTY TIST/TISX OCNL MVFR EXPECTED DUE
TO CIGS NEAR FL020 IN SCT SHRA. FREQUENT MVFR VCNTY TNCM AND TKPK
DUE TO CIGS AROUND FL020 IN SCT TO NMRS SHRA. LOW LVL EAST WINDS
15-20 KTS VCNTY PR/USVI AND NEAR 25 KTS AT FL050. VCNTY TNCM/TKPK
EAST LOW LEVEL WINDS NEAR 25 KTS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 30 KTS
AROUND FL050.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS KEEP MARINE CONDITIONS ROUGH IN BOTH THE ATLANTIC
AND CARIBBEAN SIDES FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 82 72 82 73 / 70 70 30 20
STT 84 74 84 75 / 60 60 30 20

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: snownado and 18 guests