Ntxw wrote:0z GFS ensembles is frigid for Texas. GFS is obviously on crack regarding temps....
Dealer must have dropped the price this year. It seems to be on it a lot more lately.
Btw, Euro at 192hrs has the -10 line reaching the coast.
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Ntxw wrote:0z GFS ensembles is frigid for Texas. GFS is obviously on crack regarding temps....
iorange55 wrote:Ntxw wrote:0z GFS ensembles is frigid for Texas. GFS is obviously on crack regarding temps....
Dealer must have dropped the price this year. It seems to be on it a lot more lately.
Btw, Euro at 192hrs has the -10 line reaching the coast.
BigB0882 wrote:How far does the Euro show the cold air getting, all the way to the Gulf coast? Does it spread east into LA?
BigB0882 wrote:How far does the Euro show the cold air getting, all the way to the Gulf coast? Does it spread east into LA?
Ntxw wrote:Alright so we've got the Canadian and Euro (ensembles too) all saying cold cold cold. But they are a bit less happy about one big storm (0z). GFS is not so cold cold but is more happy about a big cut off low spinning in the southwest into TX (6z). I say we take the best of both (frankly because I like it that way![]()
)!
Portastorm wrote:Pipe busting cold and no snow vs. cold and snow/sleet/ice ... we'll always prefer the latter.
The PWC is also curious why no one last night mentioned our friends, the Brits? The UKMet brings winter fun for everyone in Texas by Tuesday.
wxman57 wrote:My "best guess" is that Texas will see the coldest air of the season as Canadian/Arctic air races southward lee of the Rockies starting Sunday morning. The Canadian/Arctic air reaches the Red River around mid afternoon on Monday and the upper TX coast before sunrise Tuesday. I think that the Euro and Canadian are most likely correct with the upper air pattern, which is a very sharp upper trof across the eastern Rockies next week. This would limit (or possibly eliminate) the possibility of post-frontal precipitation across Texas.
How cold? A good guess might be low 20s in Houston, low teens in Dallas. Way too early to be very confident in temps. Could be colder, could be "warmer". Would I actually put low 20s in the forecast for our Houston clients yet? Probably not. I'd indicate mid to upper 20s for now, waiting for the weekend to see what the airmass up north looks like.
wxman57 wrote:My "best guess" is that Texas will see the coldest air of the season as Canadian/Arctic air races southward lee of the Rockies starting Sunday morning. The Canadian/Arctic air reaches the Red River around mid afternoon on Monday and the upper TX coast before sunrise Tuesday. I think that the Euro and Canadian are most likely correct with the upper air pattern, which is a very sharp upper trof across the eastern Rockies next week. This would limit (or possibly eliminate) the possibility of post-frontal precipitation across Texas.
How cold? A good guess might be low 20s in Houston, low teens in Dallas. Way too early to be very confident in temps. Could be colder, could be "warmer". Would I actually put low 20s in the forecast for our Houston clients yet? Probably not. I'd indicate mid to upper 20s for now, waiting for the weekend to see what the airmass up north looks like.
wxman57 wrote:My "best guess" is that Texas will see the coldest air of the season as Canadian/Arctic air races southward lee of the Rockies starting Sunday morning. The Canadian/Arctic air reaches the Red River around mid afternoon on Monday and the upper TX coast before sunrise Tuesday. I think that the Euro and Canadian are most likely correct with the upper air pattern, which is a very sharp upper trof across the eastern Rockies next week. This would limit (or possibly eliminate) the possibility of post-frontal precipitation across Texas.
How cold? A good guess might be low 20s in Houston, low teens in Dallas. Way too early to be very confident in temps. Could be colder, could be "warmer". Would I actually put low 20s in the forecast for our Houston clients yet? Probably not. I'd indicate mid to upper 20s for now, waiting for the weekend to see what the airmass up north looks like.
srainhoutx wrote:wxman57 wrote:My "best guess" is that Texas will see the coldest air of the season as Canadian/Arctic air races southward lee of the Rockies starting Sunday morning. The Canadian/Arctic air reaches the Red River around mid afternoon on Monday and the upper TX coast before sunrise Tuesday. I think that the Euro and Canadian are most likely correct with the upper air pattern, which is a very sharp upper trof across the eastern Rockies next week. This would limit (or possibly eliminate) the possibility of post-frontal precipitation across Texas.
How cold? A good guess might be low 20s in Houston, low teens in Dallas. Way too early to be very confident in temps. Could be colder, could be "warmer". Would I actually put low 20s in the forecast for our Houston clients yet? Probably not. I'd indicate mid to upper 20s for now, waiting for the weekend to see what the airmass up north looks like.
With rain in the forecast for the weekend and the 'coldest air of the season' expected around Tuesday, I suspect folks are wondering will they need to make some preparations prior to the foul weather. How long of duration (24/48 hours) are you thinking wxman57 regarding below freezing temps, should that senario play out?
southerngale wrote:srainhoutx wrote:wxman57 wrote:My "best guess" is that Texas will see the coldest air of the season as Canadian/Arctic air races southward lee of the Rockies starting Sunday morning. The Canadian/Arctic air reaches the Red River around mid afternoon on Monday and the upper TX coast before sunrise Tuesday. I think that the Euro and Canadian are most likely correct with the upper air pattern, which is a very sharp upper trof across the eastern Rockies next week. This would limit (or possibly eliminate) the possibility of post-frontal precipitation across Texas.
How cold? A good guess might be low 20s in Houston, low teens in Dallas. Way too early to be very confident in temps. Could be colder, could be "warmer". Would I actually put low 20s in the forecast for our Houston clients yet? Probably not. I'd indicate mid to upper 20s for now, waiting for the weekend to see what the airmass up north looks like.
With rain in the forecast for the weekend and the 'coldest air of the season' expected around Tuesday, I suspect folks are wondering will they need to make some preparations prior to the foul weather. How long of duration (24/48 hours) are you thinking wxman57 regarding below freezing temps, should that senario play out?
Obviously if we're below freezing for any longer than usual (like an overnight hard freeze), then that is a big deal. But unless we see precip with the cold temps mentioned above, that's no different from what we've already seen this winter, several times. I realize I'm talking about my location (just west of Beaumont, along Hwy. 105), and you probably mean Houston proper, but I've been in the mid-20s quite a bit this winter and even the low 20s a few times. (not down TO 20 though... 22 or 23ish).
wxman57... I like your scenario that brings the cold in, but not too cold, along with the pretty snowflakes falling from the sky, on the trees and housetops, soft and thick they lie.
southerngale wrote:
Obviously if we're below freezing for any longer than usual (like an overnight hard freeze), then that is a big deal. But unless we see precip with the cold temps mentioned above, that's no different from what we've already seen this winter, several times. I realize I'm talking about my location (just west of Beaumont, along Hwy. 105), and you probably mean Houston proper, but I've been in the mid-20s quite a bit this winter and even the low 20s a few times. (not down TO 20 though... 22 or 23ish).
wxman57... I like your scenario that brings the cold in, but not too cold, along with the pretty snowflakes falling from the sky, on the trees and housetops, soft and thick they lie.
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 27 guests