Texas Winter 2010-2011

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
downsouthman1
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 663
Age: 45
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 8:14 pm
Location: Rowlett, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6301 Postby downsouthman1 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:09 pm

iorange55 wrote:
downsouthman1 wrote:
iorange55 wrote:Looks like the 18z NAM is wanting to give DFW 1-2 inches of snow.

Still don't think we'll get that much.


Actually the 18Z NAM shows considerably more moisture than the 12Z did.



Yes that is the `1-2 inches of snow. NAM wasn't showing near that much earlier. I still am not sure I believe it, though.


But this now is 2 models that I'm aware of that are showing precip develop in south central TX & move north, the HRRR & NAM. Any others?
0 likes   
Not a professional MET! My posts are merely speculation.

Brandon8181
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 424
Age: 41
Joined: Tue Jan 04, 2011 4:52 pm
Location: Tyler, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6302 Postby Brandon8181 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:10 pm

iorange55 wrote:Looks like the 18z NAM is wanting to give DFW 1-2 inches of snow.

Still don't think we'll get that much.


The NAM also shows precip going all the way up through N. TX and southern OK.

FYI: NWS updated forecast for my area to 1/2 inch of snow accumulation.
0 likes   
I am not a meteorologist. Any post from me should be taken as hobby or fun educational information, but not an accurate source for weather information. Please, refer to your local weather station or National Weather Service for the most up to date information. :flag:

snow4444
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 29
Joined: Tue Feb 01, 2011 1:25 pm

#6303 Postby snow4444 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:10 pm

It is going to be interesting. Can anybody post a link to the radar that the HRRR has
0 likes   

User avatar
iorange55
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2388
Joined: Thu Nov 13, 2008 9:47 pm
Location: Big D

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6304 Postby iorange55 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:12 pm

downsouthman1 wrote:But this now is 2 models that I'm aware of that are showing precip develop in south central TX & move north, the HRRR & NAM. Any others?


That was the first run of the NAM that has really showed it, so that is a good sign. GFS sorta has it but it's verrrry light. I'm thinking we'll see precip develop, I'm just skeptical that'll it'll be anything more than some very light snow. For the DFW area.

Latest HRRR continues to hold strong. Even a little bit stronger. By tonight we'll be able to look at the actual radar and see it play out. No more model runs.
0 likes   

User avatar
TeamPlayersBlue
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3445
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
Location: Denver/Applewood, CO

#6305 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:12 pm

From friends and people at work, Snow in the medical center, sleet in pasadena and sleet in Friendswood
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
iorange55
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2388
Joined: Thu Nov 13, 2008 9:47 pm
Location: Big D

Re:

#6306 Postby iorange55 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:13 pm

snow4444 wrote:It is going to be interesting. Can anybody post a link to the radar that the HRRR has



http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrrconus/ Has all the links.
0 likes   

HockeyTx82
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2540
Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
Location: Ponder, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6307 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:14 pm

Well I am not sure if this is any indication for other areas around DFW, but UNT is closed tomorrow.

http://www.unt.edu/features/winter-weather-closed.htm
0 likes   
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.

Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)

downsouthman1
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 663
Age: 45
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 8:14 pm
Location: Rowlett, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6308 Postby downsouthman1 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:14 pm

Brandon8181 wrote:
iorange55 wrote:Looks like the 18z NAM is wanting to give DFW 1-2 inches of snow.

Still don't think we'll get that much.


The NAM also shows precip going all the way up through N. TX and southern OK.

FYI: NWS updated forecast for my area to 1/2 inch of snow accumulation.


I believe WWAs & WSWs will be expanded north & west. But I am curious to see the 18Z GFS.

Not an official forecast!
0 likes   
Not a professional MET! My posts are merely speculation.

orangeblood
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3714
Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2009 6:14 pm
Location: Fort Worth, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6309 Postby orangeblood » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:17 pm

iorange55 wrote:
downsouthman1 wrote:
iorange55 wrote:Looks like the 18z NAM is wanting to give DFW 1-2 inches of snow.

Still don't think we'll get that much.


Actually the 18Z NAM shows considerably more moisture than the 12Z did.



Yes that is the `1-2 inches of snow. NAM wasn't showing near that much earlier. I still am not sure I believe it, though.


It appears that models are showing the ULL staying together longer than they showed earlier - this should mean moisture making it further north and possible greater accumulations due to higher ratios


The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
0 likes   

Turtle
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 285
Joined: Wed Jan 20, 2010 9:02 pm
Location: East Texas

#6310 Postby Turtle » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:19 pm

Brownsville is currently reporting Unknown Precip Fog/Mist at 29f.

Brownsville is colder than Bismark, ND right now. Pretty crazy stuff. :double:
0 likes   

DonWrk
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 488
Age: 37
Joined: Mon Jan 03, 2011 11:54 pm
Location: Collinsville, TX

#6311 Postby DonWrk » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:20 pm

At least this time I won't be let down if we don't get anything up this far north. Expectations weren't high so anything that falls up here is just an added plus. Still looking into that system for next week. Might be the one to top off the winter season of 2011 to be remembered.
0 likes   

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6179
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6312 Postby Texas Snowman » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:22 pm

Norman sure seems to be getting on board with the idea of accumulating snowfall further north.

Image
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6179
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6313 Postby Texas Snowman » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:25 pm

Norman also putting out its ideas for next week's storm.

The track of that low on this graphic would give Red River counties a good shot at snow.

Image
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

tdgreen08
Tropical Wave
Tropical Wave
Posts: 9
Age: 64
Joined: Tue Jan 04, 2011 3:55 pm
Location: Allen, Texas

Re:

#6314 Postby tdgreen08 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:29 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:From friends and people at work, Snow in the medical center, sleet in pasadena and sleet in Friendswood



Does anyone know how this evenings weather in the Houston are will affect flights in and out of Houston Hobby? I heard a rumor of possible closure around 6pm. I find that strange since no event has officially occurred as of this time.
0 likes   

User avatar
Tireman4
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5853
Age: 59
Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

Re: Re:

#6315 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:31 pm

tdgreen08 wrote:
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:From friends and people at work, Snow in the medical center, sleet in pasadena and sleet in Friendswood



Does anyone know how this evenings weather in the Houston are will affect flights in and out of Houston Hobby? I heard a rumor of possible closure around 6pm. I find that strange since no event has officially occurred as of this time.



Well, you could use this site:

http://www.fly2houston.com/
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22786
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Re:

#6316 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:32 pm

tdgreen08 wrote:
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:From friends and people at work, Snow in the medical center, sleet in pasadena and sleet in Friendswood



Does anyone know how this evenings weather in the Houston are will affect flights in and out of Houston Hobby? I heard a rumor of possible closure around 6pm. I find that strange since no event has officially occurred as of this time.


Could be a precautionary thing. If you have flights in and out of Houston today I would probably check your local airlines for changes. They aren't well equipped for something like this so even chatter about it could cause a slowdown.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

downsouthman1
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 663
Age: 45
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 8:14 pm
Location: Rowlett, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6317 Postby downsouthman1 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:33 pm

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radbl ... rainsnow=1

Moisture developing south of Fort Worth.
0 likes   
Not a professional MET! My posts are merely speculation.

User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4227
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6318 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:44 pm

How are totals for SA and CLL looking as of now? Havn't been able to check much today because I am in class.
0 likes   

tdgreen08
Tropical Wave
Tropical Wave
Posts: 9
Age: 64
Joined: Tue Jan 04, 2011 3:55 pm
Location: Allen, Texas

Re: Re:

#6319 Postby tdgreen08 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:46 pm

Tireman4 wrote:
tdgreen08 wrote:
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:From friends and people at work, Snow in the medical center, sleet in pasadena and sleet in Friendswood



Does anyone know how this evenings weather in the Houston are will affect flights in and out of Houston Hobby? I heard a rumor of possible closure around 6pm. I find that strange since no event has officially occurred as of this time.



Well, you could use this site:

http://www.fly2houston.com/



Thanks, I will check it out.
0 likes   

benrayrog
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 53
Age: 66
Joined: Mon Feb 22, 2010 4:35 pm
Location: Malakoff

#6320 Postby benrayrog » Thu Feb 03, 2011 3:52 pm

Assuming forecasts hold true for tonight, what would the estimated time of arrival be for precipitation in East Texas in the Tyler area?
0 likes   


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests