Texas Winter 2010-2011

[DentonGal]

Winter Storm Watch has been posted for much of Oklahoma...this is for the storm Tuesday into Wednesday!!

I'd have more 'warm fuzzies' if it was extended all the way to the Red River.

[Ntxw]

I'd have more 'warm fuzzies' if it was extended all the way to the Red River.

My bet is they will at least by tomorrow night. Oklahoma will be effected earlier hence the watches go up first. 36-48 hours lead time is usually when to hoist watches I think.

[DentonGal]

I'd have more 'warm fuzzies' if it was extended all the way to the Red River.

My bet is they will at least by tomorrow night. Oklahoma will be effected earlier hence the watches go up first. 36-48 hours lead time is usually when to hoist watches I think.

Ahhhh....good info to know! Thanx!

[Cav0]

Meanwhile, its snowing again in Abilene

[DentonGal]

Meanwhile, its snowing again in Abilene

Lucky!

[Turtle]

I thought NE TX would have a better chance at snow than North Central TX.

[orangeblood]

I thought NE TX would have a better chance at snow than North Central TX.

That's where the best moisture will be.. Snowfall accumulations will all depend on the timing of the cold front

[somethingfunny]

Why is it snowing in Abilene while it rains in Vernon and Wichita Falls? Is it some cold patch, caused by the ULL or something? Would it translate east?

[iorange55]

NAM is still pounding Northeast Oklahoma. I find it hard to believe we'd be so short of moisture, though. Think it has the wrong idea.

[Ntxw]

NAM is still pounding Northeast Oklahoma. I find it hard to believe we'd be so short of moisture, though. Think it has the wrong idea.

Yep, NAM adamant about it being an Oklahoma/Arkansas ordeal. The 1 inch line comes to a halt at the Red River.

[downsouthman1]

When I look at the most recent WV loop, I'm concerned about the depth of the base of the trough. It doesn't seem far enough south for this to be a huge TX storm. That is, of course, unless the ULL itself pushes the base of the trough further south like our last ULL did, but that was a special, rare breed of ULL.

http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/products/wx ... 0mbwv.html

[wall_cloud]

Why is it snowing in Abilene while it rains in Vernon and Wichita Falls? Is it some cold patch, caused by the ULL or something? Would it translate east?

could be a number of things.

1. dyanamic cooling (cold pool aloft) as stronger farther south closer to the path of the h7 low.
2. its 9 degrees cooler at the surface.
3. elevation - not significant difference but Abilene is ~300 ft higher.
4. Wichita Falls could be located in the trowal instead of the cold core...

[orangeblood]

Why is it snowing in Abilene while it rains in Vernon and Wichita Falls? Is it some cold patch, caused by the ULL or something? Would it translate east?

Elevation... Abilene is about 600ft higher than Wichita Falls and that should be enough to cause rain vs. snow

[Ntxw]

Abilene was also under very high reflectivity band of precip. Cooling of the column also probably.

[funster]

An area of snow continues south of the rain as the precip moves east. Odd.

http://www.wfaa.com/weather/radar?radar ... img=22&c=y

[Ntxw]

Jerry's anti-weather machine worked! Seems the precip died out or made a hole over Arlington lol

[somethingfunny]

Jerry's anti-weather machine worked! Seems the precip died out or made a hole over Arlington lol

Yeah but you know our DFW Ice Hell Week had to have scared the Armani pants off of the NFL executives. Imagine that storm and deep freeze hitting on Sunday morning instead of Tuesday morning.

So it's not looking too likely that the Abilene snow patch will scoot east to us, is it? We haven't had much precip here yet and I feel like it's still too warm....if we can get heavy reflectivity over us though, we could wake up to another blanket of white.

[iorange55]

I like the 0z GFS

[Ntxw]

Mr No says YES! Amg. Good start, hopefully the NAM is on crack and we can trend wetter for Canadian/Euro/UKMET. 12ish hours of snow on the GFS for DFW.

[Turtle]

Wow, is the 00z GFS pretty much showing much less .25"? I think it's colder, but the moisture is much less.