Texas Winter 2010-2011

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iorange55
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8181 Postby iorange55 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:15 am

downsouthman1 wrote:
iorange55 wrote:
Parker_County1 wrote:CF has entered the northwestern part of the NWS-FW forecast region and is making better southeast progress now. Moving SE about 20 MPH. Located roughly Putnam-Caddo-Bryson-Bowie-Nocona-Madill (Oklahoma). Just 40 miles from here (Weatherford) now.



I can't wait to stand outside and feel the difference as it plows through here. I'm excited.


Better have a couple good hours of awake left.



I'm pretty much a vampire.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8182 Postby orangeblood » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:17 am

Hmmm, One concerning thing I've noticed: The GFS has Graham, TX receiving 0.15 inches of precip before midnight while NAM only has 0.01 inches....unless radar returns explode in the next 30 minutes, the NAM will win that battle. GFS maybe over doing QPF amounts !!!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8183 Postby downsouthman1 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:19 am

iorange55 wrote:

I can't wait to stand outside and feel the difference as it plows through here. I'm excited.


Better have a couple good hours of awake left.[/quote]


I'm pretty much a vampire.[/quote]
I used to be. I'm older now, but weather gives me a ridiculous amount of adrenaline. Last Thursday night, I drank extra to make me crash. LOL. I wound up getting 3.5 hours of sleep & had to drive to work. Normal commute, 30 mins. Last week, 1 hour. Not a good recipe for success, but I made it without incident.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8184 Postby iorange55 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:19 am

orangeblood wrote:Hmmm, One concerning thing I've noticed: The GFS has Graham, TX receiving 0.15 inches of precip before midnight while NAM only has 0.01 inches....unless radar returns explode in the next 30 minutes, the NAM will win that battle. GFS maybe over doing QPF amounts !!!!!



Or maybe it's just taking a bit longer for things to get going! Hope so at least.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8185 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:19 am

orangeblood wrote:Hmmm, One concerning thing I've noticed: The GFS has Graham, TX receiving 0.15 inches of precip before midnight while NAM only has 0.01 inches....unless radar returns explode in the next 30 minutes, the NAM will win that battle. GFS maybe over doing QPF amounts !!!!!


NAM also gives Amarillo 3-6 inches of snow. Looks like they're going to surpass that based on observers.

It also put a lot of emphasis on the northern shortwave over Kansas moving into Oklahoma. That's not happening. The southern wave is exploding.
Last edited by Ntxw on Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:22 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#8186 Postby DonWrk » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:20 am

No rain in the forecast for here now. They changed it to all snow.
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#8187 Postby Rgv20 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:23 am

Bastardi thinks the lows for the Lower Rio Grande Valley will range from 22-28 tomorrow night and Thursday night :cold:
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8188 Postby downsouthman1 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:23 am

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radbl ... ightning=0

Check it! Front pushing ahead of developing area of precip!!
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Re:

#8189 Postby downsouthman1 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:23 am

Rgv20 wrote:Bastardi thinks the lows for the Lower Rio Grande Valley will range from 22-28 tomorrow night and Thursday night :cold:


That is not out of the question at all.

Current HRRR seems completely contrary to current trends.
Last edited by downsouthman1 on Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:26 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#8190 Postby Rgv20 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:24 am

Wow subzero temps and heavy snow in Amarillo.. :froze:
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8191 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:25 am

orangeblood wrote:Hmmm, One concerning thing I've noticed: The GFS has Graham, TX receiving 0.15 inches of precip before midnight while NAM only has 0.01 inches....unless radar returns explode in the next 30 minutes, the NAM will win that battle. GFS maybe over doing QPF amounts !!!!!

I dunno...the radar already looks to be exploding south of abilene. 0.15 is probably slightly overdone for the before midnight period, but after that id feel pretty good.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8192 Postby Parker_County1 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:25 am

Cold Front is making rapid progress now. You can see it racing southeast on the radar. Roughly from Eastland-Possum Kingdom Lake-Muenster. Looks like it will get to my place before I get to sleep.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8193 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:27 am

Eastland went from 54 to 31 lol wow. Flash freeze.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8194 Postby downsouthman1 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:28 am

Ntxw wrote:Eastland went from 54 to 31 lol wow. Flash freeze.


Duration?
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8195 Postby DFW Stormwatcher » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:31 am

Ntxw wrote:
orangeblood wrote:Hmmm, One concerning thing I've noticed: The GFS has Graham, TX receiving 0.15 inches of precip before midnight while NAM only has 0.01 inches....unless radar returns explode in the next 30 minutes, the NAM will win that battle. GFS maybe over doing QPF amounts !!!!!


NAM also gives Amarillo 3-6 inches of snow. Looks like they're going to surpass that based on observers.

It also put a lot of emphasis on the northern shortwave over Kansas moving into Oklahoma. That's not happening. The southern wave is exploding.


Yep, there was already 6 inches of snow on the ground here in Amarillo according to local reports an hour ago, and it's still coming down hard. I don't know how much is on the ground now, but I can say I can't see where the feeder road on the interstate is anymore.

Looks like a straight white line across the feeder road to the main lanes of I40, which is currently closed west of the exit my hotel is at. So the snow is deep enough where you can't see the curbs at all anymore.
Last edited by DFW Stormwatcher on Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:34 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8196 Postby Parker_County1 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:31 am

The front is continuing to pick up speed and is getting close to the metroplex. Now through Jacksboro . . . 29° in Jacksboro.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8197 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:34 am

downsouthman1 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Eastland went from 54 to 31 lol wow. Flash freeze.


Duration?


I think an hour not sure, but temps behind the front is falling very fast. 31 in Eastland 50 miles away in Abilene it's beginning to fall into the teens.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8198 Postby downsouthman1 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:34 am

Parker_County1 wrote:The front is continuing to pick up speed and is getting close to the metroplex. Now through Jacksboro . . . 29° in Jacksboro.


Great. I'm not getting no sleep 2nite. :eek:
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#8199 Postby Cav0 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:35 am

Starting to sleet here in Northeast Abilene. Some rain (presumably freezing) mixed as well
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#8200 Postby Turtle » Wed Feb 09, 2011 12:35 am

The temp has dropped 2 degrees at Shreveport, LA down to 38, but 43 at Longview.
Some news channel was predicting I-20 at the bottom edge of 1-2". Here is the local NWS.
Image
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