WPAC: INVEST 90W
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- Extratropical94
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WPAC: INVEST 90W
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54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards! Go Niners!
- Daniel
Boomer Sooner!
Go Broncos! Go Cards! Go Niners!
- Daniel
Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W
HKO appears to have it developing into something minor in the next 48 hours
http://www.hko.gov.hk/nhm/nhmsfcpp48e.htm
http://www.hko.gov.hk/nhm/nhmsfcpp48e.htm
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W
Next Name: Sarika - Singing bird
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
The models don't seem all that keen on this system...it does have a decent look circulation and the structure isn't bad either at this stage.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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- WestPACMet
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W
GFS on the system taking it N, do want to mention though they keep the intensity very light.
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Satellites, Charts and Forecasting tools for East Asia at WESTERNPACIFICWEATHER.COM
Were the GFS does develop it more then the ECM, both models aren't exactly keen on strengthening it much though...
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The structure of the system is quite obvious looking at that Hurakan, still the convection needs to improve.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
- HURAKAN
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.5N
117.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 116.8E, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS INCREASED CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION DEVELOPING OVER A
WEAKLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS RAPIDLY
TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. A 301357Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS
15-20 KNOT NORTHEASTERLIES ALONG THE NORTHERN FLANK AND 15 KNOT
SOUTHERLIES ALONG THE EASTERN FLANK OF A BROAD LLCC WITH 5-10 KNOT
WINDS AT THE CENTER. WEAK LOW LEVEL BANDING IS EVIDENT IN A 301749Z
AMSRE PASS, WHICH ALSO SHOWS DRY COLD AIR BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT FROM THE NORTHWEST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED BENEATH THE RIDGE AXIS IN A
REGION OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT.
HOWEVER, A DIGGING SHORTWAVE TROUGH, OVER HAINAN, IS CAUSING
SUBSIDENCE AND INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE WESTERN EXTENT OF
THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.
117.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 116.8E, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS INCREASED CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION DEVELOPING OVER A
WEAKLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS RAPIDLY
TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. A 301357Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS
15-20 KNOT NORTHEASTERLIES ALONG THE NORTHERN FLANK AND 15 KNOT
SOUTHERLIES ALONG THE EASTERN FLANK OF A BROAD LLCC WITH 5-10 KNOT
WINDS AT THE CENTER. WEAK LOW LEVEL BANDING IS EVIDENT IN A 301749Z
AMSRE PASS, WHICH ALSO SHOWS DRY COLD AIR BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT FROM THE NORTHWEST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED BENEATH THE RIDGE AXIS IN A
REGION OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT.
HOWEVER, A DIGGING SHORTWAVE TROUGH, OVER HAINAN, IS CAUSING
SUBSIDENCE AND INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE WESTERN EXTENT OF
THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.
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