ATL: DON - Remnant - Discussion
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- Ivanhater
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Continuing to expand deep convection rapidly over the (possible) LLC
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=25
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=25
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Michael
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
Come on 90L. You can do it! Texas needs the rain bad. 

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hurricanelonny
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
plasticup wrote:ROCK wrote:not to beat a dead horse but if this does become a hurricane this close to the US mainland without any media coverage then someone is going have some egg on their face....Here in Galveston no one has a clue whats brewing....
Why? This system is days away from Texas. If it becomes even a Tropical Depression you know the media will saturate coverage with it. But right now, why should they? This is a Invest that may become a Tropical Storm that may become a hurricane that may reach the US mainland. That is hardly something to get worked up over.
I am a big fan of the media limiting its wild speculation on all kinds of issues, but existential threats in particular. If they reported on every Invest the population would be fatigued in weeks and wouldn't respond when a serious threat emerged.
Bro, I got family that lives on the beach (maybe 2 feet above sea level) no sea wall....Dad passed this year so its just my mom. There is all kinds of stuff you have to do and I live about 2 hours away....You werent here for Ike..I was in the water on the west end up to my knees 48hrs before they called for evacs. Sorry if I get a itchy trigger finger every once in a while but living on the coast this crap is real life and death type stuff.
Now pardon me while I go watch some more Nancy Grace coverage of the Casey Anthony case.....

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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
How likely is the possibility of it moving onshore closer to Houston/Galveston (if it continues to develop)? I like to be prepared ahead of everyone else even if nothing comes of it.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Tireman/rnmm
I also rode out Alicia in Texas City. (When I was 11).
Creepy indeed.
Wxman, I mean to say that has been "parked," but I didn't know it was supposed to move that soon.
I also rode out Alicia in Texas City. (When I was 11).
Creepy indeed.
Wxman, I mean to say that has been "parked," but I didn't know it was supposed to move that soon.
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- Ivanhater
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
I see a lot of guests lurking today. Take some time to register and start posting, we don't bite
Mod duty done, back to the system

Mod duty done, back to the system

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Michael
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
sallytx wrote:How likely is the possibility of it moving onshore closer to Houston/Galveston (if it continues to develop)? I like to be prepared ahead of everyone else even if nothing comes of it.
Its been moving northwest today so its going north of forecast. It wouldn't hurt to be prepared though. If nothing happens, they you have more stuff for August/September when the season really gets going.
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- lrak
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models
HURRICANELONNY wrote:Come on 90L. You can do it! Texas needs the rain bad.
and waves....woot.
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AKA karl
Also
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My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Also
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- hicksta
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
ROCK wrote:plasticup wrote:ROCK wrote:not to beat a dead horse but if this does become a hurricane this close to the US mainland without any media coverage then someone is going have some egg on their face....Here in Galveston no one has a clue whats brewing....
Why? This system is days away from Texas. If it becomes even a Tropical Depression you know the media will saturate coverage with it. But right now, why should they? This is a Invest that may become a Tropical Storm that may become a hurricane that may reach the US mainland. That is hardly something to get worked up over.
I am a big fan of the media limiting its wild speculation on all kinds of issues, but existential threats in particular. If they reported on every Invest the population would be fatigued in weeks and wouldn't respond when a serious threat emerged.
Bro, I got family that lives on the beach (maybe 2 feet above sea level) no sea wall....Dad passed this year so its just my mom. There is all kinds of stuff you have to do and I live about 2 hours away....You werent here for Ike..I was in the water on the west end up to my knees 48hrs before they called for evacs. Sorry if I get a itchy trigger finger every once in a while but living on the coast this crap is real life and death type stuff.
Now pardon me while I go watch some more Nancy Grace coverage of the Casey Anthony case.....
I feel you on that bro.
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- Ivanhater
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Talk around the blogs from the pros feel this could be a significant event along the coast....get prepared if you have not already.
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Michael
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
850 mb vorticity looks stronger.

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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
nOOb here.. ;D Also my FIRST POST!!
Was wondering if there is still any good chance this will take a more northern track towards the TX/LA area. Most of the models seem to all take it across mexico....which would be a HUGE bummer!! We need the rain oh so bad here in east texas!!!
Was wondering if there is still any good chance this will take a more northern track towards the TX/LA area. Most of the models seem to all take it across mexico....which would be a HUGE bummer!! We need the rain oh so bad here in east texas!!!

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- hurricanedude
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- hicksta
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
nicole wrote:nOOb here.. ;D Also my FIRST POST!!
Was wondering if there is still any good chance this will take a more northern track towards the TX/LA area. Most of the models seem to all take it across mexico....which would be a HUGE bummer!! We need the rain oh so bad here in east texas!!!
Alot of the tropical models have moved farther north.... It is a wait and see game
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
nicole wrote:nOOb here.. ;D Also my FIRST POST!!
Was wondering if there is still any good chance this will take a more northern track towards the TX/LA area. Most of the models seem to all take it across mexico....which would be a HUGE bummer!! We need the rain oh so bad here in east texas!!!
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Texas is starting to look more and more likely. TX/LA might be a bit far north. I'm starting to get the feeling that could be something you don't want to make landfall near you.
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cycloneye, thats about the strongest I've seen the vort since this system was coming towards the Caribbean.
Any LLC is pretty small since looking at the lower level winds to the west are only showing very weak motion to the south, as you'd expect with a circulation. Still does look like we have some sort of circulation there where people have been pointing out.
Any LLC is pretty small since looking at the lower level winds to the west are only showing very weak motion to the south, as you'd expect with a circulation. Still does look like we have some sort of circulation there where people have been pointing out.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Radar was deceptive. It is just SW of Juventude. Should shoot the Channel...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Portastorm wrote: I think this ridge is quite comparable to 1980 but I also agree that there are a few weaker areas of the ridge and lately it seems like they've been mainly in the Central Gulf Coast area. Otherwise, this ridge has dominated the Four Corners/Plains/Great Lakes/East Coast ... until the last few days when a back-door cold front has eroded some of the ridge on the eastern end.
I'm gonna chime in here for the first time this season (since there is actually something worth talking about).
The ridge is comparable to 1980…as a whole…but there are differences. In 1980, as Allen was approaching the Texas Coast, the high was anchored over MS/AL and was ridging into OK…then over into NM/AZ…then BACK into FL. The setup with this system, according to the GFS, EURO and UKMET (and even the NAM), is that the upper level ridging will move NEward over the next 2 days so that by 48 hours (Thursday morning) when it is in the central Gulf, the ridge will be located from GA/SC NWwrd to TN to MO). Over the next 24 hours, the ridge will then build westward and in intensity.
In Allen’s case, the ridge did not move much 2 days before landfall…and built westward the week before landfall (probably due to the SIZE of Allen helping build it somewhat). That won’t happen here.
So…there are similarities and some differences. The MAIN difference (besides forecasted location of the ridge) is the size of the system. Allen was HUGE. Therefore…it bumped up against the ridge much sooner than this system will. Allen just moved along the edgeof the ridge once it stopped building westward. This system will have a chance to bump along the weaknesses.
So…IMO…landfall probably north of the Rio Grande…b/w Corpus and Matagorda. But as with anything…a lot depends on when it gets a LLC. Given the warm waters (higher than normal TCHP) unusually close to the coast, pretty moist environment and favorable FORECASTED (note the concern) upper level environment, I see no reason why we shouldn’t see a hurricane IF (BIG OLD IF) it can get going in the first place.
In other words: Once it GETS going…it SHOULD go.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
ROCK wrote:Ivanhater wrote:He's blowing up right over our (possible) LLC we found!![]()
http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/GOES ... noewAZ.jpg
thats it....and its only going to ramp up even more sitting over 88F water with light shear....
Remember who said first to look SW of the Isle of Youth

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