ATL: DON - Remnant - Discussion

[SunnyThoughts]

Sure seems to be small in size. Don't these small storms ramp up very quickly as well as poof fairly quickly also?

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

Sure seems to be small in size. Don't these small storms ramp up very quickly as well as poof fairly quickly also?

If conditions are favorable, yes. Smaller systems such as this tend to ramp up very quickly if conditions allow it.

[wxman57]

I have just found a west wind reading at 25 knots from a ship nearby:

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/s ... 000&loop=0

1011 mb pressure, winds west northwest @ 25 knots...looks believable to me...

Click on ship reports

I found a ship through noaa reporting at 2100hrs GMT 22kts I think it might be different or maybe the same.
http://tropicwatch.info/ship.jpg

Same ship. Report appears bogus. Wind direction 180 deg off.

[barometerJane61]

12z NOGAPs - Tx/La Border area.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_loop.cgi?&area=ngp_troplant&prod=prp&dtg=2011072612&set=Tropical

YES please! In Dallas we've had 25 straight days of temps of at least 100 degrees and no measurable rainfall since mid June.A TX?LA border landfall would most likely bring some rain our way

[Rgv20]

The latest analysis of the 12z Forecast Steering charts for 90L suggest a WNW to NW thru at least Thursday morning with a bend to the West to WNW beyond that.

In my opinion from Port La Vaca to NE Mexico need to keep a very close eye on 90L.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Been playing catch up, reading through pages of posts on 90L. Doesn't look like much has changed strength wise since this morning. Organizational wise looks somewhat better. No definite llc yet either but looks to be slowly getting there. Found it funny that our NWS office didnt even mention this in the forecast discussion this morning or afternoon. They usually at least have something to say about the tropics when something is at least in the caribbean. Days ago they talked about 90L before it fell apart when it was nearing the islands, now nothing. Will hold off on making any predictions of where I think it could go and how strong as want to see what it does tonight and how it looks in the morning.

[South Texas Storms]

12z NOGAPs - Tx/La Border area.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_loop.cgi?&area=ngp_troplant&prod=prp&dtg=2011072612&set=Tropical

YES please! In Dallas we've had 25 straight days of temps of at least 100 degrees and no measurable rainfall since mid June.A TX?LA border landfall would most likely bring some rain our way

I think a TX landfall would be best for you and all of drought parched TX.

[SETXPTNeches]

All I know is, that everytime the models suggest Corpus Christi, the storm decides otherwise and makes TX/LA border the target....

[flwxwatcher]

12z GFS - not surprising the GFDL goes to the same location.

18Z GFS even further East, now into LA.

[lrak]

All I know is, that everytime the models suggest Corpus Christi, the storm decides otherwise and makes TX/LA border the target....

Yep I agree, but this time of year it's possible.

[SETXPTNeches]

Lightening popping all around Mid County/Jefferson County TX right now!!!!

Back on topic...waiting for KFDM weather report!

Dang it, just lost my satelite....

[HurricaneBrain]

^ Crazy storms here in Orange. Just waiting for the NHC to update in this awesome weather.

[SETXPTNeches]

All I know is, that everytime the models suggest Corpus Christi, the storm decides otherwise and makes TX/LA border the target....

Yep I agree, but this time of year it's possible.

I know y'all need rain bad....I have friends at the Frio River....I bet you could walk across the river right now and never get wet...praying for some rain for y'all but nothing too serious!!!

[HURAKAN]

Latest closeup visible

[lrak]

^ Crazy storms here in Orange. Just waiting for the NHC to update in this awesome weather.

Ya'll are killing me! Enough with the bragging

Brown grass, slab cracks, NO Mosquitoes

[HouTXmetro]

Looks like the left side is getting squeezed and flatening

[rockyman]

18z GFS:

[stormywaves]

^ Crazy storms here in Orange. Just waiting for the NHC to update in this awesome weather.

Downtown Houston as usual we are getting nothing not a drop! It gets dark and then thats it

[NDG]

Well, the SW winds I was hoping to see from buoy 42056 have not happened, on top of the hour now reporting light SSE winds, looking at vis loop there is plenty of N to S moving low clouds to the west of the buoy, and perhaps convergence is happening right on top of the buoy.

Conditions at 42056 as of
(5:50 pm CDT)
2250 GMT on 07/26/2011:

Wind Direction (WDIR): SSE ( 150 deg true )
Wind Speed (WSPD): 7.8 kts
Wind Gust (GST): 9.7 kts
Wave Height (WVHT): 2.3 ft
Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 7 sec
Average Period (APD): 5.1 sec
Mean Wave Direction (MWD): E ( 101 deg true )
Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.81 in
Pressure Tendency (PTDY): -0.02 in ( Falling )
Air Temperature (ATMP): 84.0 °F
Water Temperature (WTMP): 88.2 °F
Dew Point (DEWP): 75.2 °F
Heat Index (HEAT): 92.1 °F

[Rgv20]

I trust the Euro the most right now. It has shown the best consistency imo.

Yes it has, GFS and NAM has been hit or miss with 90l