ATL: DON - Remnant - Discussion

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Meteorcane
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#2181 Postby Meteorcane » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:04 pm

Hey guys is Corpus in the clear?
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#2182 Postby Snow Deprived365 » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:05 pm

I couldnt remember from last year. Thanks!
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Florida1118

Re:

#2183 Postby Florida1118 » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:06 pm

Meteorcane wrote:Hey guys is Corpus in the clear?

Not yet, No. Only when its very close to the coast will it be a for sure thing who is clear.

Snow Deprived365 wrote:I couldnt remember from last year. Thanks!

No problem! Were all here to help :D
Last edited by Florida1118 on Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#2184 Postby artist » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:07 pm

Meteorcane wrote:Hey guys is Corpus in the clear?

no, you need to keep your eye on it.
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#2185 Postby WeatherGuesser » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:07 pm

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Re:

#2186 Postby HurricaneBrain » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:07 pm

Meteorcane wrote:Hey guys is Corpus in the clear?

Corpus is high at risk according to the NHC track.
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#2187 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:10 pm

Not sure I agree with the initial motion and speed. but otherwise conservative is the way to go right now. they did say however that the motion is uncertain....
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#2188 Postby HurricaneBrain » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:11 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:Not sure I agree with the initial motion and speed. but otherwise conservative is the way to go right now. they did say however that the motion is uncertain....

Agreed, I think it is moving slower to the NW.
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Re: Re:

#2189 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:16 pm

HurricaneBrain wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:Not sure I agree with the initial motion and speed. but otherwise conservative is the way to go right now. they did say however that the motion is uncertain....

Agreed, I think it is moving slower to the NW.


I'm waiting for the wobble wars to start :wink:
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Re: Re:

#2190 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:19 pm

HurricaneBrain wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:Not sure I agree with the initial motion and speed. but otherwise conservative is the way to go right now. they did say however that the motion is uncertain....

Agreed, I think it is moving slower to the NW.



Looks NW to me too, but I hate to be a wobble watcher .
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Re: ATL: DON - Recon Discussion

#2191 Postby ROCK » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:20 pm

I think they are going to find a beefy TS by morning

I do not like this presentation and the potential at alll
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Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2192 Postby KWT » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:23 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:Man this is great news for Texas. Even the weather channel was saying this tropical storm is good news and you don't see that very often!


A TS would indeed be great, a RI 80-90kts hurricane probably wouldn't be so great, though the broader effects would still be positive outside of the high wind zone...
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#2193 Postby KWT » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:26 pm

Agreed, unless the presentation alters, I wouldn't be shocked to see a 50-55kts system by then.

Gonna get lots of recon in the next 48hrs!
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Re: Re:

#2194 Postby WxEnthus » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:29 pm

fci wrote:
BigB0882 wrote:Would anyone like to take bets on the first "is that an EYE?" comment?


Don't forget "wobble-watching".

Hmm, I think it just wobbled slightly to the east, it seems to be developing an eye (or two!) in that last frame, and it's looking rather annular...
There, I think that covered everything, right? I win! :cheesy:

[This post is not backed by sound meteorological data! Nor is it endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.]

Now back to regular programming... which brings me to a question -- what model run will initialize with the RECON data?
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Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2195 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:34 pm

KWT wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:Man this is great news for Texas. Even the weather channel was saying this tropical storm is good news and you don't see that very often!


A TS would indeed be great, a RI 80-90kts hurricane probably wouldn't be so great, though the broader effects would still be positive outside of the high wind zone...



Yea, I don't think they think the Weather Channel thinkgs it's going to make it to hurricane status. But you can never say never, so it's always best to at least include the possibility.
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mpic
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Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2196 Postby mpic » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:35 pm

Local weather is saying that the dry air ahead of it probably won't even give us much rain in Houston. Does that have any merit?
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Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2197 Postby ROCK » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:37 pm

Impact last discussion was a possible cat 1 or minimal cat 2 not out of the question...I tend to agree with current look...
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Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2198 Postby TexWx » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:38 pm

I think that has merit...
Haven't kept up with it, but is that high still moving east?
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#2199 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:39 pm

While everything is died down a bit. I've been cruising around other weatherboards just to see what other mets are thinking. There are quite a few who think this will indeed make hurricane status, and not just minimal cane status either. I'm seeing 85mph upwards to around 100 mph predicted. You guys in Texas, plan on a cane when making your preparations, its always better to be safe and prepare too much, than to be taken off guard and not prepare enough. Hopefully everyone will just get the rain they need with minimum amounts of the hazards that go along with tropical cyclones..i.e. downed trees and power outages.
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Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2200 Postby Air Force Met » Wed Jul 27, 2011 5:39 pm

mpic wrote:Local weather is saying that the dry air ahead of it probably won't even give us much rain in Houston. Does that have any merit?


Who is "local weather?"
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