ATL: EMILY - Remnants

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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#3421 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:20 pm

Skyhawk wrote:Not many readings in the 180 - 270 range and they were light. Most of the "west" winds between 270 and 360.


becasue they could not sample that area due to the islands..
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#3422 Postby TheDreamTraveler » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:20 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:just continuing to explode..

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-rgb.html


Wow, that explosion of convection is really impressive. If anything, this shows 91L is really starting to become better organized.
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#3423 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:21 pm

Saint lucia...

wsw winds

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TLPC.html
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#3424 Postby jonj2040 » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:21 pm

Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
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Re:

#3425 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:21 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:just continuing to explode..

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-rgb.html


Amazing convective expansion, look at how the convection has relocated from the old MLC through to the LLC...just as we've been saying for the last 24hrs Aric!!
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#3426 Postby SouthDadeFish » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:22 pm

We have Emily!!!!

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al912011_al052011.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201108012219
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
Last edited by SouthDadeFish on Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:24 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#3427 Postby Hylian Auree » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:22 pm

With the curved rainband trailing near the mean convective mass and extending into the extreme southeastern Caribbean, the structure looks like a convection embryo on latest frames :lol:
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#3428 Postby AdamFirst » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:23 pm

How about that Eddy huh?

Edily. I mean, Emily.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#3429 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:23 pm

Here we go...Game on!!! It's about time!!!

SFT
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion - RENUMBER

#3430 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:23 pm

Emily is born 8-)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion - RENUMBER

#3431 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:24 pm

Live Loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=15

Speed it up for the best effect. LLC solidifying and being pulled under the convection.
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#3432 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:24 pm

yeah... its a lot stronger this run...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#3433 Postby CourierPR » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:24 pm

Joe Bastardi tweeted that Emily should be christened this evening.
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#3434 Postby Cainer » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:24 pm

And here comes Emily. Completely understandable why the NHC waited till more recon data came in - indicated more westerly winds to the southwest of the LLC, and also allowed the convection to expand, showing that it wasn't just a transient feature. Now the real fun begins, good luck and stay safe to everyone in Emily's path!
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Re:

#3435 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:24 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:We have Emily!!!!

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al912011_al052011.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201108012219
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END


Well there we go!!

As expected, here comes Emily...
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#3436 Postby Hylian Auree » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:24 pm

Welcome Emily. You kept us waiting long enough, I'd say
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#3437 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:26 pm

Yep stronger on this run and weaker ridging equals a further east run...

Means little in isolation however people, remember that...I'd like to see a few more model runs first from different models showing something similar (NOT just based off the GFS) before seeing if there is a east trend.
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#3438 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:26 pm

Finally ... lol
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#3439 Postby HurricaneWarning92 » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:26 pm

Emily is finally born.
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Re: Re:

#3440 Postby knotimpaired » Mon Aug 01, 2011 5:26 pm

fci wrote:
painkillerr wrote:It crashed for a few minutes! I had to restart the pc to get back on.

And a little crashing went on right about when Don got upgraded.
Doesn't necessarily bode well for when there is serious action and traffic; potentially in the next few days and certainly over the next 2+ months.


Donations are what keeps this site going. I popped over a small donation the other day and if everyone else did (and many, many have) it would possibly pay for another server if needed for the heavy periods such as this. Our website now has 5 servers and if it was not for donationns :cry:

So help Storm2k out by hitting that paypal button :D




*edited by sg to fix the quotes
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