SSD dvorak increases to 1.5 on CV system

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cycloneye
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SSD dvorak increases to 1.5 on CV system

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 26, 2003 1:55 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html

TD status at 5 PM or 11 PM???????
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#2 Postby alicia-w » Tue Aug 26, 2003 2:06 pm

i'm gonna step out on a limb and say 5pm today.
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#3 Postby Colin » Tue Aug 26, 2003 2:47 pm

I'm still sticking to my original prediction of by 12 PM Wednesday. ;)
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chadtm80

#4 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Aug 26, 2003 2:51 pm

Looking quite impressive.. Check out this vis shot
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/trop ... N-210W.jpg
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#5 Postby Lindaloo » Tue Aug 26, 2003 3:33 pm

Now THAT looks like a soon to be cane.
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chadtm80

#6 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Aug 26, 2003 3:43 pm

I think I can I think I can I think I can I think I can I think I can I think I can I think I can I think I can


Image

Convection still around the center... Will NHC wait is the question
Last edited by chadtm80 on Tue Aug 26, 2003 4:45 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#7 Postby Rainband » Tue Aug 26, 2003 3:58 pm

Most likely they will wait..it's no threat to anyone right now!! :o Guess they have budget constraints :lol: :lol:
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#8 Postby JetMaxx » Tue Aug 26, 2003 4:33 pm

If it continues to improve satellite presentation, I'll be surprised if they don't upgrade it to a TD at 11 p.m. (even though I predicted it to occur at 5 a.m. tomorrow).
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#9 Postby wx247 » Tue Aug 26, 2003 5:55 pm

I agree. If it can sustain itself just a little while longer it will be official. I think Perry probably has it right on. :)
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#10 Postby Anonymous » Tue Aug 26, 2003 6:03 pm

I think you are right Perry if not by 11:00 tonight it will be at 5:00a.m. tomorrow. I am leaning towards 5:00a.m.
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#11 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 26, 2003 6:06 pm

I think also that they will hold until 5 AM or 11 AM to see persistance of convection near the low center.
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#12 Postby zoeyann » Tue Aug 26, 2003 6:12 pm

She is looking pretty good. My opinion- she should be classified as a TD by tommorrow night at the latest. This one looks as if she could hold together better than the others did.
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#13 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Aug 26, 2003 7:07 pm

The wave had to recover from the large MCS that blasted out of there the other night (the WADL or West African Disturbance Line) - did anyone notice how fast some of that deep convection blasted to the WSW the other night???

Anyways, the structure looks very sound and moisture is sufficient. We have something out there. It may be a TD by 11 pm, but NHC will wait (considering what has happened to prior waves and TD #9).

SF
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