ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[brunota2003]

For people in Guadeloupe and Martinique, here's a recap of the situation:

Guadeloupe and the Northern Islands (St Martin & St Barths) are still on Storm Watch, while Martinique surprisingly remains on a Severe Weather Watch... the weather observed since this morning was just due outer rainbands from 97L. The worst part is yet to come (more than likely tomorrow by sunrise).

Can someone please explain me why with a close circulation, 45 kts winds and 1006 mb, NHC does not issue an Special Outlook at least?

The circulation is very weak at best...so the issue is, does it meet the criteria for a TC? This is definitely one of the most on the fence systems I've seen in a long time.

[Gustywind]

For people in Guadeloupe and Martinique, here's a recap of the situation:

Guadeloupe and the Northern Islands (St Martin & St Barths) are still on Storm Watch, while Martinique surprisingly remains on a Severe Weather Watch... the weather observed since this morning was just due outer rainbands from 97L. The worst part is yet to come (more than likely tomorrow by sunrise).

Can someone please explain me why with a close circulation, 45 kts winds and 1006 mb, NHC does not issue an Special Outlook at least?

First be welcomed my friend I'm agree with you and i don't understand why an Special Outlook has not be issued... the night is coming and this feature is becoming franckly too CLOSE for comfort near Martinica, Dominica and Guadeloupe!

[AdamFirst]

Hello TD9, or Irene. Probably Irene.

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

NRL doesnt show Invest 97L anymore

[johngaltfla]

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al972011_al092011.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201108202225
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END

INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 09, 2011, DB, O, 2011081812, 9999999999, , , , , , WARNING, 4, AL092011

Yup, just flashed...here we go boys and girls.

[Aric Dunn]

better be Irene with the winds they found.. lol

[johngaltfla]

NRL doesnt show Invest 97L anymore

Yup, getting ready to update the page...This is the time of year I dread. 2004-2005 is still fresh in our memories.

[AdamFirst]

Best Track

BEST TRACK: AL09, 146N 572W, 45kts, 1006mb, TS IRENE

[Dean4Storms]

I believe they must make it a TC if they are going to be consistent. This is moving west at a pretty good clip yet they find a west wind and 50+ kt winds NE of the center???

I don't see how you don't upgrade!

[Nikki]

BEST TRACK: AL09, 146N 572W, 45kts, 1006mb, TS IRENE

[wxman57]

Martinique : Rain but no winds. The weather report is late so we are always in yellow alert.
Chris: Do you have some news in sainte lucia?

Madinina, I've just checked again and no weather report at the local Saint Lucia met office site since yesterday at 6 pm. The three day forecast is for Wednesday, Thursday and Friday....
But given the location being highlighted here of the centre of the system and the wind speeds from the recon, I think we are both due to get some strong winds and plenty of rain tonight as there doesn't seem much movement to the north. Maybe Gusty has some more up to date information?

madinina/chrisjslucia:

Given the current state of disorganization and the fact that the center of what will be Irene will pass to the north of Martinique in the early morning hours, I don't think your weather will be too bad. The heavy squalls with 50-60 mph winds appear to be on a track to pass to your north tonight. South of the center/track, winds are generally light, less than 20 mph. Though it's possible Irene-to-be could become a bit better organized over the next 6-8 hours before passing to your north, I think you can expect winds generally in the 10-20 mph range but you could see some gusts as high as 40-50 mph if any squalls develop to the south of the center tonight. You may have already seen heavier rain today than you'll see tonight.

[BatzVI]

At least the NWS in San Juan issued a Flash Flood Watch for the USVI and PR for Sunday morning through Monday afternoon...

[Aric Dunn]

yep Its Irene ...

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

Hello Irene!!!

[johngaltfla]

Hello storm #9

From the NRL:

09L.NINE, IR, 20 AUG 2011 2215Z

[SouthDadeFish]

So are we getting six hour fixes from recon now?

[northjaxpro]

Yep Irene has been born folks!

[SFLcane]

Here we go...

[cycloneye]

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al972011_al092011.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201108202225
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END

[WmE]

I'm curious about the intensity forecast by the NHC.