ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#1181 Postby brunota2003 » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:30 pm

ouragans wrote:For people in Guadeloupe and Martinique, here's a recap of the situation:

Guadeloupe and the Northern Islands (St Martin & St Barths) are still on Storm Watch, while Martinique surprisingly remains on a Severe Weather Watch... the weather observed since this morning was just due outer rainbands from 97L. The worst part is yet to come (more than likely tomorrow by sunrise).

Can someone please explain me why with a close circulation, 45 kts winds and 1006 mb, NHC does not issue an Special Outlook at least? :roll:

The circulation is very weak at best...so the issue is, does it meet the criteria for a TC? This is definitely one of the most on the fence systems I've seen in a long time.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#1182 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:30 pm

ouragans wrote:For people in Guadeloupe and Martinique, here's a recap of the situation:

Guadeloupe and the Northern Islands (St Martin & St Barths) are still on Storm Watch, while Martinique surprisingly remains on a Severe Weather Watch... the weather observed since this morning was just due outer rainbands from 97L. The worst part is yet to come (more than likely tomorrow by sunrise).

Can someone please explain me why with a close circulation, 45 kts winds and 1006 mb, NHC does not issue an Special Outlook at least? :roll:

First be welcomed my friend :) I'm agree with you and i don't understand why an Special Outlook has not be issued... the night is coming and this feature is becoming franckly too CLOSE for comfort near Martinica, Dominica and Guadeloupe!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#1183 Postby AdamFirst » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:30 pm

Hello TD9, or Irene. Probably Irene.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#1184 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:31 pm

NRL doesnt show Invest 97L anymore
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#1185 Postby johngaltfla » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:32 pm

tolakram wrote:BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al972011_al092011.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201108202225
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END

INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 09, 2011, DB, O, 2011081812, 9999999999, , , , , , WARNING, 4, AL092011


Yup, just flashed...here we go boys and girls. :eek:
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#1186 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:32 pm

better be Irene with the winds they found.. lol
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#1187 Postby johngaltfla » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:32 pm

HurricaneMaster_PR wrote:NRL doesnt show Invest 97L anymore


Yup, getting ready to update the page...This is the time of year I dread. 2004-2005 is still fresh in our memories. :eek:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#1188 Postby AdamFirst » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:33 pm

Best Track

BEST TRACK: AL09, 146N 572W, 45kts, 1006mb, TS IRENE
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#1189 Postby Dean4Storms » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:33 pm

I believe they must make it a TC if they are going to be consistent. This is moving west at a pretty good clip yet they find a west wind and 50+ kt winds NE of the center???

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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#1190 Postby Nikki » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:33 pm

BEST TRACK: AL09, 146N 572W, 45kts, 1006mb, TS IRENE
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#1191 Postby wxman57 » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:33 pm

chrisjslucia wrote:
madinina wrote:Martinique : Rain but no winds. The weather report is late so we are always in yellow alert.
Chris: Do you have some news in sainte lucia?


Madinina, I've just checked again and no weather report at the local Saint Lucia met office site since yesterday at 6 pm. The three day forecast is for Wednesday, Thursday and Friday....
But given the location being highlighted here of the centre of the system and the wind speeds from the recon, I think we are both due to get some strong winds and plenty of rain tonight as there doesn't seem much movement to the north. Maybe Gusty has some more up to date information?


madinina/chrisjslucia:

Given the current state of disorganization and the fact that the center of what will be Irene will pass to the north of Martinique in the early morning hours, I don't think your weather will be too bad. The heavy squalls with 50-60 mph winds appear to be on a track to pass to your north tonight. South of the center/track, winds are generally light, less than 20 mph. Though it's possible Irene-to-be could become a bit better organized over the next 6-8 hours before passing to your north, I think you can expect winds generally in the 10-20 mph range but you could see some gusts as high as 40-50 mph if any squalls develop to the south of the center tonight. You may have already seen heavier rain today than you'll see tonight.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#1192 Postby BatzVI » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:33 pm

At least the NWS in San Juan issued a Flash Flood Watch for the USVI and PR for Sunday morning through Monday afternoon...
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#1193 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:33 pm

yep Its Irene ...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#1194 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:33 pm

Hello Irene!!!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#1195 Postby johngaltfla » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:34 pm

Hello storm #9

From the NRL:

09L.NINE, IR, 20 AUG 2011 2215Z
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#1196 Postby SouthDadeFish » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:34 pm

So are we getting six hour fixes from recon now?
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#1197 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:34 pm

Yep Irene has been born folks!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#1198 Postby SFLcane » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:35 pm

Here we go...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion

#1199 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:35 pm

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al972011_al092011.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201108202225
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
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#1200 Postby WmE » Sat Aug 20, 2011 5:35 pm

I'm curious about the intensity forecast by the NHC.
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