ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[Jevo]

According to Atlantic watch it is correct.

Here is the information from the latest vortex message

Maximum Flight Level Wind: 92kts (~ 105.9mph) in the northeast quadrant at 18:11:10Z

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Noting that Irene is just about done with her Bahamian adventure. She's just about over nothing but gulfstream and open water till North Carolina.

[SNOW_JOKE]

I'm not a mod, but know they have their hands full right now.. Please provide a disclaimer when making landfall/intensity projections. We have a lot of new people here that may not be able to discern an official statement from someones opinion.. If its easier just put a disclaimer in your sig... Like Me

Whats the deal with these disclaimers anyway? If this is a forum for talking about Hurricanes then obviously discussion about landfall/intensity comes into play most times. If the public wants to find official statements they know the NHC is the place to find it. Not a rant but just something that's been bugging me.

[Hogweed]

According to Atlantic watch it is correct.

What's "Atlantic watch"? I posted the latest VDM from recon back a bit in the thread. Doesn't support what you say at all. I did hear a Fox news reporter give a supposed gust about the value you gave but that's not recon or authoritative.

[Over my head]

I heard it fine. Thank you !
Moms alone in Northern Virginia so I am worrying.

[Aja]

That is why I posted it. I wanted your expert opinion that has been better on this site than any other site. Thanks so much.

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

I'm not a mod, but know they have their hands full right now.. Please provide a disclaimer when making landfall/intensity projections. We have a lot of new people here that may not be able to discern an official statement from someones opinion.. If its easier just put a disclaimer in your sig... Like Me

Whats the deal with these disclaimers anyway? If this is a forum for talking about Hurricanes then obviously discussion about landfall/intensity comes into play most times. If the public wants to find official statements they know the NHC is the place to find it. Not a rant but just something that's been bugging me.

Them's teh rules!!

Though you would THINK people wouldn't just believe something they read on the internet, people do that ALL the time. So use the disclaimer.

Basically sue-happy America is full of idiots.

[Nikki]

I'm not a mod, but know they have their hands full right now.. Please provide a disclaimer when making landfall/intensity projections. We have a lot of new people here that may not be able to discern an official statement from someones opinion.. If its easier just put a disclaimer in your sig... Like Me

Whats the deal with these disclaimers anyway? If this is a forum for talking about Hurricanes then obviously discussion about landfall/intensity comes into play most times. If the public wants to find official statements they know the NHC is the place to find it. Not a rant but just something that's been bugging me.

It's because new folks don't know the difference between you and me and actual pro mets. It takes awhile to learn who is who. When I first joined the board, I didn't know those in blue were pro-mets. Not to mention, the legality of things.

[Over my head]

I'm not a mod, but know they have their hands full right now.. Please provide a disclaimer when making landfall/intensity projections. We have a lot of new people here that may not be able to discern an official statement from someones opinion.. If its easier just put a disclaimer in your sig... Like Me

Whats the deal with these disclaimers anyway? If this is a forum for talking about Hurricanes then obviously discussion about landfall/intensity comes into play most times. If the public wants to find official statements they know the NHC is the place to find it. Not a rant but just something that's been bugging me.

Because my 80 year old mom might take what you say as gospel. I want her to be in the know with correct info and not just an opinion.

[jlauderdal]

Winds have picked up here in western broward county by about 10 mph. It's not raining at the present moment and winds are gusting I'd say around 25 mph....up from nearly calm hours ago.

another feeder running down the coast, that one a couple of hours ago caused street flooding, ;less wind today than yesterday...record heat building in this weekend on the back side of Irene, shouldnt have any problem generating thunderstorms this weekend

[Ivanhater]

Use the disclaimer when posting personal forecasts..period. If you have anymore questions regarding the S2K disclaimer, PM a Mod or Admin. Get back to Irene.

[Hogweed]

According to Atlantic watch it is correct.

Here is the information from the latest vortex message

Maximum Flight Level Wind: 92kts (~ 105.9mph) in the northeast quadrant at 18:11:10Z

That's not the latest VDM

Maximum Flight Level Wind: 99kts (~ 113.9mph) in the southeast quadrant at 19:26:30Z

[SNOW_JOKE]

That makes sense. Thanks for clearing things up.
Onto Irene and moisture inflow feeding well into the system from the SSTs to her north. http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/?index_region=at

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

Winds have picked up here in western broward county by about 10 mph. It's not raining at the present moment and winds are gusting I'd say around 25 mph....up from nearly calm hours ago.

another feeder running down the coast, that one a couple of hours ago caused street flooding, ;less wind today than yesterday...record heat building in this weekend on the back side of Irene, shouldnt have any problem generating thunderstorms this weekend

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Actually - the stifling heat might be exacerbated by the outflow - it would tend to put warm air up high and it might cause an inversion cap, thus making it miserable, sticky, hot, and no freakin rain.

[TheEuropean]

000
URNT15 KNHC 252025
AF306 2109A IRENE HDOB 30 20110825
201530 2715N 07540W 6967 03050 9940 +090 +042 174089 090 063 000 03
201600 2717N 07540W 6967 03051 9944 +088 +042 173090 090 065 000 03
201630 2720N 07541W 6966 03050 9945 +086 +042 173089 089 064 000 03
201700 2722N 07541W 6968 03050 9946 +087 +041 171086 086 066 001 03
201730 2725N 07541W 6967 03053 9942 +091 +041 170085 086 065 000 00
201800 2727N 07541W 6966 03051 9938 +095 +041 168079 080 065 001 03
201830 2730N 07542W 6970 03049 9951 +085 +041 166079 079 067 001 03
201900 2732N 07542W 6967 03055 9941 +094 +040 165076 077 065 001 00
201930 2734N 07542W 6962 03059 9936 +096 +040 163077 078 064 001 03
202000 2737N 07542W 6969 03053 9947 +089 +041 162078 079 064 004 00
202030 2739N 07543W 6966 03056 9959 +080 +041 163081 082 061 009 00
202100 2739N 07543W 6966 03056 9968 +075 +041 161084 086 063 009 00
202130 2744N 07543W 6969 03057 9972 +074 +040 161084 086 059 013 00
202200 2746N 07543W 6962 03067 9964 +082 +039 156085 085 058 007 00
202230 2749N 07544W 6970 03060 9959 +089 +038 152086 087 058 004 00
202300 2751N 07544W 6964 03068 9960 +089 +038 152085 087 057 003 00
202330 2754N 07544W 6969 03067 9976 +080 +037 152085 086 055 004 00
202400 2756N 07544W 6966 03072 9971 +086 +037 152085 086 050 004 00
202430 2759N 07545W 6966 03075 9979 +081 +037 151083 084 055 007 00
202500 2801N 07545W 6968 03073 9981 +081 +037 150084 086 061 013 00

Sorry, I missed one. Who can take over now? No more time, severe storms here...

[cyclogenesis]

August 25, 2011
this Thursday afternoon
324 PM CDT


Gang ~~ I have placed a NEW weather writing on to my website concerning Hurricane "Irene", this Thursday afternoon, August 25th.

It's at this website weblink appearing below:


http://cvamagic.tripod.com/





-- cyclogenesis

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

The surfers on the LBTS cam are about to get pummeled by the incoming rainband. The last couple were pretty darn windy.

[petit_bois]

Where is Ort when you need him?

[HPC]

Observations: 2.4 miles inland, Jupiter, FL. (time, wind and today's rainfall data)
10:15__ Current(mph):06.0__ CurrentGust(mph) 11.0__ MaxGust(mph):24.2 at 09:06__ 1HourAvg(mph):09.1__ Rainfall(in):0.06
11:15__ Current(mph):09.1__ CurrentGust(mph) 13.5__ MaxGust(mph):24.2 at 09:06__ 1HourAvg(mph):03.3__ Rainfall(in):0.06
12:15__ Current(mph):13.0__ CurrentGust(mph) 17.1__ MaxGust(mph):24.2 at 09:06__ 1HourAvg(mph):08.1__ Rainfall(in):0.06
13:15__ Current(mph):16.0__ CurrentGust(mph) 20.5__ MaxGust(mph):24.2 at 09:06__ 1HourAvg(mph):09.0__ Rainfall(in):0.24
14:15__ Current(mph):15.0__ CurrentGust(mph) 20.6__ MaxGust(mph):29.0 at 13:39__ 1HourAvg(mph):09.5__ Rainfall(in):0.24
15:15__ Current(mph):12.0__ CurrentGust(mph) 18.1__ MaxGust(mph):29.0 at 13:39__ 1HourAvg(mph):09.0__ Rainfall(in):0.24
16:15__ Current(mph):13.0__ CurrentGust(mph) 23.0__ MaxGust(mph):29.0 at 13:39__ 1HourAvg(mph):09.7__ Rainfall(in):0.43

[littlevince]