ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[GreenWinds]

There are actually 500+ people on-line but most are guests. There's a probably combination of 1. just tired of Irene, 2. "It's not going to hit me.." 3. Friday night and 4. Landfall won't be until the morning.

btw, great to see you katdaddy!

Haha. I like number 3, that I forgot about!

[CrazyC83]

I have a friend in Northfield, NJ which is inland about 10 miles from Atlantic City. He evacuated, but thinks that the barrier islands will protect them from the storm surge. Does that make sense?

Don't rely on myths. The surge could overtop.

[Dave]

065
URNT15 KNHC 270218
AF308 2909A IRENE HDOB 48 20110827
020900 3235N 07510W 6966 03025 9921 +081 +062 174080 081 056 005 00
020930 3235N 07512W 6962 03030 9905 +091 +060 175080 081 056 002 03
021000 3235N 07514W 6965 03017 9900 +094 +059 175079 080 057 002 00
021030 3235N 07516W 6963 03017 9899 +090 +060 177080 080 059 003 00
021100 3235N 07518W 6965 03011 9899 +086 +062 176082 083 059 004 00
021130 3235N 07520W 6962 03010 9892 +087 +063 177085 086 060 005 00
021200 3235N 07522W 6966 03004 9888 +088 +063 175084 084 061 005 00
021230 3235N 07524W 6964 03002 9892 +080 +061 175087 088 061 007 00
021300 3235N 07526W 6965 02993 9869 +096 +060 175089 089 060 006 00
021330 3235N 07528W 6969 02988 9859 +101 +059 173089 090 060 004 00
021400 3235N 07530W 6966 02985 9850 +103 +059 173090 090 062 003 00
021430 3235N 07532W 6960 02986 9852 +097 +060 173090 091 062 006 00
021500 3235N 07534W 6966 02976 9849 +095 +062 173089 089 061 007 00
021530 3235N 07536W 6962 02975 9838 +098 +063 168083 087 061 008 00
021600 3235N 07538W 6963 02972 9835 +098 +064 171073 079 063 004 00
021630 3235N 07540W 6963 02965 9816 +110 +066 175073 074 063 001 00
021700 3235N 07542W 6964 02959 9809 +113 +068 173075 075 064 003 00
021730 3235N 07544W 6969 02951 9798 +119 +071 173077 078 063 001 00
021800 3235N 07546W 6962 02953 9795 +115 +075 172078 079 064 002 03
021830 3235N 07548W 6966 02945 9784 +121 +081 170079 079 065 000 03
$$
;

[Junia]

I was thinking the same thing, this board was crazy last Friday/Saturday nights....I remember all those other storms well, especially the night of Katrina and how we saw it "breaking down" turning right and thinking hey maybe we dodged a big bullet...and then being here hearing the reports of the levees breaking and the devastation all over the gulf coast

Hey Cronk - you a Plymouth State alumn? I'm a 2002 grad.

And by the way, I live in Memphis and I've been reloading this board all day! First comment though. I think there are a lot like me on right now.

[mf_dolphin]

I don't know the elevation of the barrier islands in that area so it's hard to know. My rule is that it's always better to evacuate and be safe if there's any doubt.

[KatDaddy]

I will never forget IKEs waves crashing over the Galveston seawall under clear skies.

[fci]

Could be those in the path now have 'other' things to worry about than following posts on the internet currently, or power outages in the places currently experiencing TS winds are losing power or internet traffic speeds making any browsing difficult.
Could be anything, but definitely not anything down to people 'not caring.'

I think S2K management can probably answer this but I think from bring here a while that the vast majority of Tropics Enthusiasts live in FL or TXmor the Gulf Coast.
Kind of good that many have chosen to lurk rather than post too much while another region is under the gun; so to speak

[Chris_in_Tampa]

[mpic]

I have a friend in Northfield, NJ which is inland about 10 miles from Atlantic City. He evacuated, but thinks that the barrier islands will protect them from the storm surge. Does that make sense?

Don't rely on myths. The surge could overtop.

That's what I thought. I really don't think he understands how strong storm surges work.

[mf_dolphin]

I pulled something like 30 hours straight on the board during Ike and probably more during Katrina. Note to self - get a life!

[setxsunshine]

Gusts to 65 mph @ Cape Lookout, NC.....130 miles from the center.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=clkn7

I was about that far from Ike..we ended up with about 70mph sustained and gusts to 100mph or so. This really brings back memories.

I sure hope people further north are paying attention.

[CronkPSU]

I was thinking the same thing, this board was crazy last Friday/Saturday nights....I remember all those other storms well, especially the night of Katrina and how we saw it "breaking down" turning right and thinking hey maybe we dodged a big bullet...and then being here hearing the reports of the levees breaking and the devastation all over the gulf coast

Hey Cronk - you a Plymouth State alumn? I'm a 2002 grad.

And by the way, I live in Memphis and I've been reloading this board all day! First comment though. I think there are a lot like me on right now.

nope, Penn State...one of the best Meteorology schools in the world...even if Bastardi came from there took the gen ed class as an a elective and fell in love with it, just not smart enough to do it for a living, so i majored in history LOL

Bastardi did nail this forecast though...and you will hear about it for the next 10 years

[capepoint]

Roughly 1500 households without power in carteret and craven counties now according to Progress energy and New Bern Utilities.

[KatDaddy]

I am in N Galveston County setxsunshine and IKE's winds spread very far creating a CAT 4 storm surge E of Galveston. Peak gust at the house was 64mph. The surge was devestating.

[Aja]

We are running faster and further east than the current forecast track on #Irene. http://twitpic.com/6br6as

Is this correct? If so, does this mean land fall earlier?

[Dave]

224
URNT15 KNHC 270228
AF308 2909A IRENE HDOB 49 20110827
021900 3235N 07550W 6966 02940 9773 +124 +085 171081 081 064 003 00
021930 3235N 07552W 6963 02937 9767 +122 +090 171082 083 063 002 03
022000 3235N 07554W 6966 02924 9760 +123 +094 170081 081 065 000 00
022030 3235N 07556W 6964 02923 9755 +119 +098 170083 083 065 000 03
022100 3235N 07558W 6965 02915 9741 +124 +100 170083 084 065 001 00
022130 3235N 07600W 6965 02911 9735 +124 +103 171083 084 066 002 00
022200 3235N 07602W 6964 02902 9731 +120 +105 170082 084 063 002 00
022230 3235N 07604W 6965 02893 9727 +118 +107 168079 080 063 002 00
022300 3236N 07606W 6959 02898 9727 +112 +107 166080 081 062 005 00
022330 3236N 07609W 6965 02882 9712 +118 +104 166079 079 062 003 00
022400 3236N 07611W 6964 02875 9706 +116 +101 168082 083 060 007 00
022430 3236N 07613W 6962 02868 9704 +110 +099 165079 080 062 010 00
022500 3236N 07615W 6965 02857 9709 +098 +097 165075 075 063 011 00
022530 3236N 07617W 6963 02852 9702 +096 +094 165073 075 061 015 00
022600 3236N 07619W 6968 02836 9691 +100 +092 167068 069 058 015 00
022630 3236N 07621W 6961 02837 9673 +108 +090 171068 069 058 009 00
022700 3236N 07623W 6965 02825 9662 +113 +089 170068 069 057 010 00
022730 3236N 07625W 6963 02822 9636 +128 +089 170066 067 054 005 00
022800 3236N 07627W 6967 02807 9630 +124 +090 169069 071 053 010 00
022830 3236N 07629W 6961 02805 9636 +109 +092 165069 071 054 012 00
$$
;

[Junia]

nope, Penn State...one of the best Meteorology schools in the world...even if Bastardi came from there took the gen ed class as an a elective and fell in love with it, just not smart enough to do it for a living, so i majored in history LOL

Bastardi did nail this forecast though...and you will hear about it for the next 10 years

Nice one. And, I thought I'd ask as I know the Plymouth State University meteorology program really took off about the time I graduated. Not too bad for a place, literally, in the middle-of-nowhere-White-Mountains-New Hampshire.

Enjoying the discussion everyone. Keep it up!

[weatherSnoop]

Roughly 1500 households without power in carteret and craven counties now according to Progress energy and New Bern Utilities.

They are gonna be out for a long spell. I hate to hear that, cause it will be 24 hrs to 3 weeks to get it back on...depending on the extent of damage. Thoughts and prayers with all in the path.

Lee

[capepoint]

If you have directv, WCTI 12 out of New Bern NC will be broadcasting live on channel 325 for people out of this area starting at midnight tonight if you want to follow

[Chris_in_Tampa]