Our local met (Miami) said this will NOT hit Florida.
He had better be right!
ATL: KATIA - Post Tropical - Discussion
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ozonepete
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
T'Bonz wrote:Our local met (Miami) said this will NOT hit Florida.
He had better be right!
That's REALLY irresponsible. If any of us knew that for certain, we'd be rich.
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HurricaneRobert
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
They should have given it a name more dissimilar from Katrina.
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bamajammer4eva
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
WTVY in Dothan wrote Katia off Tuesday
http://4warnwxteam.com/
http://4warnwxteam.com/
Extended models show Katia intensifying to a hurricane by Thursday, but turning it out to sea.
Models continue to suggest developments in the Gulf by Friday….
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meriland23
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
T'Bonz wrote:Our local met (Miami) said this will NOT hit Florida.
He had better be right!
Did he say probably not? Or a definitive NO. Cause if he made such a bold statement and that does not follow through. There are going to be a lot of angry people and a lot of people staying behind because they took his word to heart. Making absolute certain claims this far out is nothing short of rediculous. Do most models project florida? No, but the chances of her recurving later and heading into the EC is becoming more and more or a reality as time passes. I think his statement was kind of irresponsible.
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terrapintransit
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Models
meriland23 wrote:LOl, reminds me of myself that *special 7* days a month.. Lee, would be my fiancee huddled together in a little ball, sitting in a corner. I would be Katia, pointing the finger and racing towards him to yell at him about something even though I am not etirely sure of what he did wrong.. LOL
Lol..One can only hope Katia gets cold feet way before that merge.
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Aaron
Re: ATL: KATIA - Models
Steve H. wrote:UKMET isn't all that reliable. I would take the Euro over it any day.
I guess it was the Euro I was thinking of ..
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Aric Dunn
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haha really ... 16.7 n.. thats funny. its barely at 16n
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meriland23
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Alright guys, you know what time it is LOL. Time for the *cue music* 0z GFS. Lets see what surprises shes got in store.
I will post per h24 period
h24
I will post per h24 period
h24
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SFLcane
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Models
Steve H. wrote:UKMET isn't all that reliable. I would take the Euro over it any day.
Indeed...Most realiable (real) global models still recurve this system. There just isn't anything there to drive this westward towards the coast. The parade of trofs shows no sign of ending anytime soon.
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Aric Dunn
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Something is off.. the 18z nogaps from the navy site has at almost 75 west ... the SFWMD plots have it turning at 67 west... and thats not the only issue.
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SouthFloridawx
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Aric Dunn
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Re:
mf_dolphin wrote:What's also strange is that the extrap shows NW where it should show the continuation of the present motion which at 5PM was West.
yeah I hate to say it ... microwave images and satellite all show west 280 motion its just now reaching 16N .... earlier at the 5pm they had it too far north now its even farther north.. almost like they are trying to fit it with their forecast as to not be off ? something is not right here.
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meriland23
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h48
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meriland23
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Models
SouthFloridawx wrote:You should cue the the theme for Monday Night Football.
Where is Hank Williams Jr. when you need him..
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SouthFloridawx
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Re: Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:mf_dolphin wrote:What's also strange is that the extrap shows NW where it should show the continuation of the present motion which at 5PM was West.
yeah I hate to say it ... microwave images and satellite all show west 280 motion its just now reaching 16N .... earlier at the 5pm they had it too far north now its even farther north.. almost like they are trying to fit it with their forecast as to not be off ? something is not right here.
You know what else is weird? The 00Z CMC is on the SFWMD map and it doesn't even come out until after 1am.
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SouthFloridawx
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Models
meriland23 wrote:SouthFloridawx wrote:You should cue the the theme for Monday Night Football.
Where is Hank Williams Jr. when you need him..
Just the beginning not the song...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-rxwiI4aKIM
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SeminoleWind
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so what does the NHC see to want to make it bend back west toward the end oh their forecast period i wonder?
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