Deep South Winterwx Discussion 2015-2016

[Agua]

You can cycle in the spring and summer. This is our duck season opener!

[BigB0882]

Got down to 31 F this morning in Gulfport MS...cold indeed for so early in November. Hope the NOA stays positive most of this winter. I HATE COLD.......MGC

The Deep South's 2011/12 winter forecast.....

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7TRhmdfJuyM&feature=fvst
Mwahahaha!
Blame it on Texas!

I don't think a single clip in that video is labeled correctly and the voice overs do not match up. They show "Beaumont, TX" and then the voiceover for the video (which is very clearly NOT Beaumont) mentions a Township. Since when did Huntsville, AL get 3 feet of snow? LMAO. That is just plain lying.

[gboudx]

I don't think a single clip in that video is labeled correctly and the voice overs do not match up. They show "Beaumont, TX" and then the voiceover for the video (which is very clearly NOT Beaumont) mentions a Township. Since when did Huntsville, AL get 3 feet of snow? LMAO. That is just plain lying.

IIRC, that video is from Switzerland.

[bella_may]

Looks like forecasters are hinting at something maybe around the beginning of December for the deep south.still a long ways out but its something to keep watching.

[Brent]

Time to get this thread rolling as it is close to 80 degrees here right now, lol, but this is valid SUNDAY night.



From James Spann:

We turn sharply colder after the storms pass, and we won’t get out of the 40s Sunday with clouds and some light rain at times. Some snow is even possible Sunday north of here over West Tennessee and Arkansas if the global models are correct.

From NWS Huntsville:

NOTE...NEXT MONDAY IS OUTSIDE THIS FCST PACKAGE...BUT GFS MODEL
SOUNDINGS SHOW A CHC OF SNOW ON MONDAY AS A CLOSED UPPER LOW PUMPS
COLD AIR ACROSS THE CWA. NEEDLESS TO SAY I HAVE VERY LOW CONFIDENCE
WITH THIS SCENARIO...ESPECIALLY FOR THIS PART OF THE COUNTRY AND THIS
TIME OF THE YEAR.

[Brent]

From NE Georgia:

Sunday Night: A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

From BMX:

THE NEXT APPARENT WEATHER MAKER IS FORECAST TO COME IN SOME TIME
OVER THE WEEKEND. THE ECMWF...WHICH HAD A WILDLY DIFFERENT
SOLUTION ON ITS 00Z RUN...HAS COME CLOSER TO THE GFS ON THE 12Z
RUN. THIS INCHES CONFIDENCE UP A BIT FOR THE WEEKEND SYSTEM. BUT THIS
INCREASE ONLY APPLIES TO THE CONFIDENCE OF SOME SORT OF STORM SYSTEM
AFFECTING US SATURDAY OR SUNDAY. IT REALLY DOESN`T INCREASE THE
CONFIDENCE IN ANYTHING SPECIFIC (SUCH AS THE CHANCE OF SEVERE
WEATHER OR -- GASP -- WINTER WEATHER).

My forecast is cold at the very least...

Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 47.

[Brent]

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

re Brent's

blowing a little extra your way (you folks in paradise need some excitement)!

Will send Western Canada's overnight temps.

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

Got down to 31 F this morning in Gulfport MS...cold indeed for so early in November. Hope the NOA stays positive most of this winter. I HATE COLD.......MGC

The Deep South's 2011/12 winter forecast.....

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7TRhmdfJuyM&feature=fvst
Mwahahaha!
Blame it on Texas!

I don't think a single clip in that video is labeled correctly and the voice overs do not match up. They show "Beaumont, TX" and then the voiceover for the video (which is very clearly NOT Beaumont) mentions a Township. Since when did Huntsville, AL get 3 feet of snow? LMAO. That is just plain lying.

I think it was done as a joke (when I saw it I thought it fit what the forecast might show for you folks re cold and maybe even

I can afford to tease (Mother Nature is gonna get my location no matter what).

[ROCK]

:double:

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/GemPakTier/Mag ... precip.gif

that was an about face from the GFS.. Lets see what the 18z has a little later. I think its going to get cold just how much with no snow pack to the north. Should modifiy quickly...

[Brent]

It gets better...

[MGC]

The 18Z GFS made me laugh.....0C and 540 hights over south central Louisiana with plenty of moisture Sunday night. Not a chance.....MGC

[bg1]

From NE Georgia:

Sunday Night: A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

From BMX:

THE NEXT APPARENT WEATHER MAKER IS FORECAST TO COME IN SOME TIME
OVER THE WEEKEND..... IT REALLY DOESN`T INCREASE THE
CONFIDENCE IN ANYTHING SPECIFIC (SUCH AS THE CHANCE OF SEVERE
WEATHER OR -- GASP -- WINTER WEATHER).

My forecast is cold at the very least...

Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 47.

I wish it would snow here in Orangeburg County.
Here's my forecast:

Monday: A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 57. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.

[Brent]

My forecast from BMX this morning...

Sunday Night...Colder...cloudy. Slight chance of rain in the evening...then chance of rain and snow after midnight. Lows in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.

Monday...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain and snow in the morning. Highs in the upper 40s.

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

I can't believe I'm reading this...how I'd love to send all my blessings down there!!!!

You folks don't have winter tires etc and I bet your cars don't even have heaters installed (however I do sense you would get a *snow day* if that white stuff did fall down there). In my dreams (-50 F we go to work...or enough snow falls that the underside of our auto's have parts ripped off and we are expected to be at work).

Oh well have fun if it does fall and be sure to make a snowball.

[Ivanhater]

06z GFS has a Deep South Snow Special this weekend



Uploaded with ImageShack.us

[BigB0882]

That is awfully close but I fully expect it to trend warmer as we get closer to the event. I bet it will be a typical rain before the front comes through event, at least here in Baton Rouge. The cool down will be too late, if it even gets to freezing.

[bella_may]

06z GFS has a Deep South Snow Special this weekend



Uploaded with ImageShack.us

I like it!

[Brent]

and just like that... its gone totally. BMX has spoken: SO...NO SNOW FOR YOU!



A lot warmer too...

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 31.

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 50.

Monday Night: Clear, with a low around 30.

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 60.

[MGC]

Well, today's (11/25) 18Z GFS is back to showing a cutoff ULL over Louisiana drifting towards Atlanta....and, it looks cold enought at the 850mb level with the 0C isotherm covering much of La and Miss. Precipt looks light but who knows........MGC