This winter is turning out exactly the way I wanted it to, pretty rare. I actually want it to get as warm as possible and then quickly go straight into Spring by the start of March. With that in mind, I want this La Nina to become as strong as possible and last as long as possible as this is what brings me the best weather here for the most part. So far the La Nina is staying firm between weak and moderate so I'm curious to see if the predictions are wrong and it will actually intensify during the next few months into Spring which would really be a curve ball for most I would assume.
Ptarmigan wrote:Back to back El Nino winters are rare, but they do occur. Back to back La Nina winters have happened more often and even occurred in threes!
All data goes back to 1950.
*Cut*
Years that went from La Nina to El Nino
1952
1957
1972
1976
2006
2009
NOAA
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ears.shtml
There are some patterns within that little data set that I found interesting. The first one is the separation between the paired years is 5 (1952-1957), 4 (1972-1976), 3 (2006-2009) (5,4,3); Second one is the pairs being compared to each other is 2 (Two decades between the 50s and 70s) and 3 (Three decades between the 70s and 00s) (2,3); Third is the paired years themselves being 2 events in the 50s, 70s, and 00s.
I was just wondering this today, what theoretically happens as the ENSO dips further and further (lets say below -3.5ºC Nino 3.4) and just continued like that. The Pacific would be getting extremely cold and most definitely record breaking but for maybe the Atlantic season and for New England/Ontario what would happen to our weather? Would our winter get warmer and warmer until it becomes insane or would there be little effect already? Remember I'm just talking in theory.