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#61 Postby RL3AO » Tue May 01, 2012 11:51 am

My simple surface analysis. Any grades from the pros? :lol:

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Re: USA Severe Weather - Watches - Warnings - Discussions - Etc

#62 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 01, 2012 3:24 pm

Tornado Watch

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 220
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
300 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHWEST IOWA
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA
FAR SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA
EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 300 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST OF YANKTON SOUTH
DAKOTA TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF ALEXANDRIA MINNESOTA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).


REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 217...WW 218...WW 219...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ACROSS WARM SECTOR WITHIN
CONFLUENT LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY AS REGION IS GLANCED BY MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND JET
STREAK MOVING THROUGH THE RED RIVER VALLEY. THE COMBINATION OF
STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE ARE RESULTING
IN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT THIS AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE OF
1000-1500 J/KG. WHEN COUPLED WITH STEADILY STRENGTHENING LOW AND
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...SETUP WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.


...MEAD

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#63 Postby Rgv20 » Sat May 05, 2012 9:01 pm

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 251
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
535 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EXTREME NORTHWEST IOWA
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA
EXTREME SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 535 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
BROKEN BOW NEBRASKA TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF SIOUX CITY
IOWA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 248...WW 249...WW 250...

DISCUSSION...STRONG SURFACE HEATING/DEEP MIXING IN THE WARM SECTOR
HAS REDUCED CONVECTIVE INHIBITION ACROSS NEB...AND VISIBLE IMAGERY
IS BEGINNING TO SHOW DEEPENING CUMULUS ALONG THE SURFACE FRONT FROM
SE OF LBF TO SW OF YKN. THE SITUATION IS COMPLICATED BY LOWER
DEWPOINTS IN THE WARM SECTOR AND A QUICK TRANSITION TO STRONGER
SHEAR/COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE FRONT...LEAVING ONLY A NARROW
CORRIDOR WITH SURFACE-BASED SUPERCELL/TORNADO POTENTIAL.
STILL...THE ORIENTATION OF THE FRONT APPEARS TO BE ROUGHLY PARALLEL
TO EXPECTED STORM MOTION...SO ANY STORMS THAT FORM ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE SURFACE FRONT COULD REMAIN IN THE NARROW FAVORABLE
CORRIDOR LONG ENOUGH TO BE A TORNADO THREAT. IN ADDITION TO THE
TORNADO RISK...VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUSTAINED
STORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.


...THOMPSON
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#64 Postby wx247 » Sun May 06, 2012 1:57 pm

New watch out...

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#65 Postby Dave » Sat May 19, 2012 6:50 pm

(7:42 PM) ICT issues Tornado Warning [tornado: OBSERVED, hail: 1.75 IN] for Harper, Kingman [KS] till 7:15 PM CDT ...* AT 637 PM CDT...A LINE OF TORNADO PRODUCING STORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES WEST OF NORWICH TO HAZELTON... AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
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#66 Postby Dave » Sat May 19, 2012 6:52 pm

(7:50 PM) Law enforcement reports power line damage, wind turbine damage in Harper Co. City of Norich is without power.
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#67 Postby Dave » Sat May 19, 2012 6:54 pm

KINGMAN KS-HARPER KS-
653 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN HARPER AND
SOUTHEASTERN KINGMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

AT 650 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR HARPER...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.

IMPACT...SIGNIFICANT HOUSE AND BUILDING DAMAGE POSSIBLE. MOBILE HOMES
COMPLETELY DESTROYED IF HIT. SOME TREES UPROOTED OR SNAPPED.
VEHICLES WILL LIKELY BE THROWN BY TORNADIC WINDS.

THE CIRCULATION IS INCREASING IN STRENGTH 3.5 MILES NORTHWEST OF
HARPER.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HARPER...NORWICH AND RUNNYMEDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&
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#68 Postby Dave » Sat May 19, 2012 6:56 pm

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
654 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

KSZ083-200030-
SEDGWICK-
654 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SEDGWICK COUNTY...

AT 650 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MOUNT HOPE TO 6
MILES SOUTHWEST OF ANDALE TO CHENEY TO NORWICH...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
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#69 Postby Dave » Sat May 19, 2012 6:57 pm

KINGMAN KS-HARPER KS-
655 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN HARPER AND
SOUTHEASTERN KINGMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

AT 654 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR HARPER...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

IMPACT...SIGNIFICANT HOUSE AND BUILDING DAMAGE POSSIBLE. MOBILE HOMES
COMPLETELY DESTROYED IF HIT. SOME TREES UPROOTED OR SNAPPED.
VEHICLES WILL LIKELY BE THROWN BY TORNADIC WINDS.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA CAN SEE DEBRIS FROM THE TORNADO ON
RADAR.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HARPER...NORWICH AND RUNNYMEDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW.
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#70 Postby Dave » Sat May 19, 2012 7:03 pm

(8:02 PM) ICT: 1 NW Harper [Harper Co, KS] trained spotter reports TORNADO at 07:02 PM CDT -- spotter reported tornado on the northwest side of harper.
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#71 Postby Dave » Sat May 19, 2012 7:04 pm

KINGMAN KS-HARPER KS-
703 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN HARPER AND
SOUTHEASTERN KINGMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

AT 658 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR HARPER...AND
MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.

IMPACT...SIGNIFICANT HOUSE AND BUILDING DAMAGE POSSIBLE. MOBILE HOMES
COMPLETELY DESTROYED IF HIT. SOME TREES UPROOTED OR SNAPPED.
VEHICLES WILL LIKELY BE THROWN BY TORNADIC WINDS.

A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED A TORNADO 2 MILES NORTHWEST OF HARPER.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HARPER...NORWICH AND RUNNYMEDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND.
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#72 Postby Dave » Sat May 19, 2012 7:08 pm

(8:07 PM) ICT: 1 S Rago [Kingman Co, KS] trained spotter reports TORNADO at 06:40 PM CDT -- wind turbine blade damaged and power lines down.
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#73 Postby Dave » Sat May 19, 2012 7:11 pm

(8:10 PM) Law enforment reporting multiple power lines and poles down in the Hiway 14 K 42 area Wind turbines damaged near the Kingman Harper County line. Oil Tanks and wells damaged in the rea also. Multiple tree damage
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#74 Postby Dave » Sat May 19, 2012 7:18 pm

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
714 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
HARPER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTHEASTERN KINGMAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTHWESTERN SUMNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 800 PM CDT

* AT 711 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES EAST OF NORWICH TO AMORITA...AND MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...MINOR DAMAGE TO VEHICLES...ROOFS AND WINDOWS. MINOR TREE
DAMAGE...WITH LIMBS UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER BROKEN.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ANTHONY...WALDRON...CONWAY SPRINGS...ARGONIA...BLUFF CITY...
DANVILLE...FREEPORT AND MILAN.
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#75 Postby Dave » Sat May 19, 2012 7:19 pm

(8:18 PM) ICT: 5 W Harper [Harper Co, KS] nws employee reports TORNADO at 06:45 PM CDT -- farmstead was hit by tornado. extent of damage is unknown at this time.
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#76 Postby Dave » Sat May 19, 2012 7:23 pm

Catchup on Watch Information:

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 283
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
655 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHWEST IOWA
FAR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 655 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH OF
SIOUX CITY IOWA TO 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF SPENCER IOWA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 281...WW 282...

DISCUSSION...SEVERE TSTMS IN PROGRESS OVER ERN NEB ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE/DEVELOP NEWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF MIDLEVEL VORTICITY MAXIMUM CURRENTLY OVER S-CNTRL NEB.
00Z OAX SOUNDING INDICATES THAT PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS HAS BECOME
MODERATELY UNSTABLE OWING TO STEEP LAPSE RATES AND A RELATIVELY
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER. WHEN COUPLED WITH AROUND 40 KT OF DEEP SWLY
SHEAR...SETUP WILL SUPPORT POSSIBLE SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH A RISK
FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24025.


...MEAD
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#77 Postby Dave » Sat May 19, 2012 7:24 pm

(8:23 PM) ICT: 2 WNW Harper [Harper Co, KS] storm chaser reports TORNADO at 06:58 PM CDT -- tornado damage path is 300 yards wide. some homes were damaged. powerlines were down.
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#78 Postby Dave » Sat May 19, 2012 7:25 pm

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 282
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
355 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF ALVA OKLAHOMA TO CLINTON OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 281...

DISCUSSION...VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS TCU DEVELOPING ALONG THE COLD
FRONT/DRY LINE OVER NWRN OK INTO THE EXTREME ERN TX PANHANDLE. THIS
IS A LIKELY PRECURSOR TO THUNDERSTORM INITIATION WHICH IS EXPECTED
TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS. THE ENVIRONMENT IS CHARACTERIZED
BY STEEP LAPSE RATES...MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2000
J/KG...AND A RELATIVELY DEEP WELL-MIXED PBL. THIS WILL FAVOR
PRODUCTION OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH STRONGER
CELLS. ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY EWD WITH TIME
ALTHOUGH SOME SEWD MOTION MAY DEVELOP IF AN ORGANIZED COLD POOL IS
ABLE TO BE GENERATED.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24020.


...WEISS
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#79 Postby Dave » Sat May 19, 2012 7:25 pm

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 281
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
325 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHWEST IOWA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
SOUTH CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 325 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF TEKAMAH NEBRASKA TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
MEDICINE LODGE KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL KS
ALONG A COLD FRONT IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT IN
ADVANCE OF AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. STRONG
HEATING COUPLED WITH FOCUSED UPWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
WEAKENING THE CAP WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS DEVELOPING NWD INTO PARTS
OF NEB. STEEP LAPSE RATES ARE CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE OF 1500-2000
J/KG...AND 30-40 KT SHEAR WILL ENHANCE STORM INTENSITY AND
ORGANIZATION. LARGE HAIL WILL BE LIKELY WITH STRONGER CELLS...AND
PRESENCE OF A RELATIVELY DEEP AND WELL-MIXED PBL WILL PROMOTE SEVERE
WIND GUSTS AS WELL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24025.


...WEISS
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#80 Postby Dave » Sat May 19, 2012 7:26 pm

(8:25 PM) ICT: 5 W Harper [Harper Co, KS] trained spotter reports TORNADO at 06:45 PM CDT -- two homes damaged with one having roof ripped off. heavy tree damage with uprooted trees.
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