meriland23 wrote:when is the oz euro run? CT time
between 12:50 and 1:00 AM
ATL: ISAAC - Models
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Nikki
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Re:
between 12:50 and 1:00 AM
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Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
Bocadude85 wrote:Hey Jevo what site are you using to get the 0z HWRF?
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfdl.html
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Jevo
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0z HWRF +60
+72 (Gah it's a garbage panel... unless the HWRF is losing it's mind)
+72 (Gah it's a garbage panel... unless the HWRF is losing it's mind)
Last edited by Jevo on Wed Aug 22, 2012 12:13 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
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Hurricaneman
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
I think with the GFS, it was showing it moving with the old north of due west motion, but it looks like its currently moving WSW, could the models just not be picking that up or will it resume a north of due west motion
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
Hurricaneman wrote:I think with the GFS, it was showing it moving with the old north of due west motion, but it looks like its currently moving WSW, could the models just not be picking that up or will it resume a north of due west motion
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
it wobbles....due west IMO......RECON will confirm shortly...
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SunnyThoughts
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
Hurricaneman wrote:I think with the GFS, it was showing it moving with the old north of due west motion, but it looks like its currently moving WSW, could the models just not be picking that up or will it resume a north of due west motion
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I think the models may very well be in "windshield wiper" mode..(back and forth from the western Fla Peninsula, to the Eastern Fla Peninsula) until those G-IV flights Thursday and Friday. I think by Friday night, the models will have ingested all the new info gained from those flights..and we will have a much better idea of how those weather patterns will influence Isaac. Just my opinion and NOT a forecast.
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Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
ROCK wrote:Hurricaneman wrote:I think with the GFS, it was showing it moving with the old north of due west motion, but it looks like its currently moving WSW, could the models just not be picking that up or will it resume a north of due west motion
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it wobbles....due west IMO......RECON will confirm shortly...
Yea I think the center is up near 15.5 n.. new convection blossoming to the north while the convection to the south wanes... looks to be heading due west also
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Jevo
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
0z HWRF +96 North of Cuba @ 991
+108
+108
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Jevo
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0z HWRF +120
0z HWRF +126
Loop of the entire run
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... fLoop.html
0z HWRF +126
Loop of the entire run
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... fLoop.html
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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
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meriland23
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Re:
Broken link.. Euro just initialized
0z Euro initialized (PS are we taking bets?... My bet is FL Panhandle)
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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
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Jevo
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0z ECMWF (Euro) +24
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meriland23
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system is a bit slower than 12z run
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meriland23
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Re: Re:
Riptide wrote:meriland23 wrote:system is a bit slower than 12z run
It's going to cave in, overwhelming model consensus now.
cave in?
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Jevo
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0z ECMWF (Euro) +48
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Riptide
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Re: Re:
meriland23 wrote:Riptide wrote:meriland23 wrote:system is a bit slower than 12z run
It's going to cave in, overwhelming model consensus now.
cave in?
lol, please forgive my fragmented languages. I was trying to convey that the euro would come east.
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