ATL: ISAAC - Models

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SunnyThoughts
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1961 Postby SunnyThoughts » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:24 am

meriland23 wrote:
PTrackerLA wrote:Wow quite a large shift from UKMET. Too bad I'm far too tired to set my alarm for the Euro...need to sleep while I can :lol: :eek: .


Cwarfee! Extra strong..


lol, wish I was a coffee drinker, guess I"ll have to settle for a coke.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1962 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:24 am

0z HWRF +48

Image

0z HWRF +72

Image
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#1963 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:30 am

0z HWRF +96

Image
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#1964 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:32 am

is this more north than last nights run of HWRF?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1965 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:32 am

that UK MET shift was significant.....

speaking of EURO which will be out in a few..... some of the longer range 12Z Euro ensemble members are recurving this thing quite a bit farther west than the ops would imply. Something to chew on....
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Re: Re:

#1966 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:32 am

ROCK wrote:
Rgv20 wrote:Looks like the 0zUKMET shifted slightly to the west..


Forecast valid for Monday Evening
http://i61.photobucket.com/albums/h62/c ... 0000-3.gif


so did the CMC and NOGAPS....



the CMC and NOGAPS are in the gulf now also??
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Re:

#1967 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:34 am

meriland23 wrote:is this more north than last nights run of HWRF?



Yea this run is a lot more NE... the last run had Isaac in the gulf
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Re:

#1968 Postby Texashawk » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:34 am

Jevo wrote:0z HWRF +96

Image


I'm.... not sure about this run. Seems to want to turn Isaac almost immediately at about 300 degrees and shooting for an Atlantic coast strike.
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#1969 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:35 am

0z HWRF +108 (Big shift East from 18z)

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1970 Postby Wx_Warrior » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:36 am

Honey Boo Boo Child has my attention until EURO, and I gotta get up at 6:30a. For the love of EURO.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1971 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:38 am

Wx_Warrior wrote:Honey Boo Boo Child has my attention until EURO, and I gotta get up at 6:30a. For the love of EURO.

...does anyone have a sudden craving for a Gyro? :?: hehe
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#1972 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:40 am

UKMET joining the Euro westward train...going to be very interested to see what the Euro does overnight
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#1973 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:41 am

here it goes...

EURO 00z 00hr

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#1974 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:42 am

0z HWRF +114

Image

0z HWRF +120

Image

0z HWRF +126

Image
Last edited by Jevo on Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:47 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#1975 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:43 am

Crunch time will be determined by landfall on Cuba the euro shows more south landfall and GFS further north..euro no longer an outlier btw...
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Re:

#1976 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:47 am

Weatherfreak000 wrote:Crunch time will be determined by landfall on Cuba the euro shows more south landfall and GFS further north..euro no longer an outlier btw...




wonder if its going to follow the 12Z ensembles...they were way left in the long range...
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#1977 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:48 am

0z HWRF Full Run Movie

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... fLoop.html
Last edited by Jevo on Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:49 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Re:

#1978 Postby wxwatcher1999 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:49 am

ROCK wrote:
Weatherfreak000 wrote:Crunch time will be determined by landfall on Cuba the euro shows more south landfall and GFS further north..euro no longer an outlier btw...




wonder if its going to follow the 12Z ensembles...they were way left in the long range...



Can you post the ensembles?
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Re: Re:

#1979 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:53 am

wxwatcher1999 wrote:
ROCK wrote:
Weatherfreak000 wrote:Crunch time will be determined by landfall on Cuba the euro shows more south landfall and GFS further north..euro no longer an outlier btw...




wonder if its going to follow the 12Z ensembles...they were way left in the long range...



Can you post the ensembles?


12Z from today
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens.html
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#1980 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:55 am

EURO 24hr

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