ATL: ISAAC - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
SunnyThoughts
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2263
Joined: Wed Jul 09, 2003 12:42 pm
Location: Pensacola, Florida

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1961 Postby SunnyThoughts » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:24 am

meriland23 wrote:
PTrackerLA wrote:Wow quite a large shift from UKMET. Too bad I'm far too tired to set my alarm for the Euro...need to sleep while I can :lol: :eek: .


Cwarfee! Extra strong..


lol, wish I was a coffee drinker, guess I"ll have to settle for a coke.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Jevo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1729
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
Location: The Flemish Cap
Contact:
Contact Jevo

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1962 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:24 am

0z HWRF +48

Image

0z HWRF +72

Image
0 likes   
Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
Top
User avatar
Jevo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1729
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
Location: The Flemish Cap
Contact:
Contact Jevo

#1963 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:30 am

0z HWRF +96

Image
0 likes   
Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
Top
User avatar
meriland23
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1239
Age: 37
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm

#1964 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:32 am

is this more north than last nights run of HWRF?
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1965 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:32 am

that UK MET shift was significant.....

speaking of EURO which will be out in a few..... some of the longer range 12Z Euro ensemble members are recurving this thing quite a bit farther west than the ops would imply. Something to chew on....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Bocadude85
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2991
Age: 38
Joined: Mon Apr 18, 2005 2:20 pm
Location: Honolulu,Hi

Re: Re:

#1966 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:32 am

ROCK wrote:
Rgv20 wrote:Looks like the 0zUKMET shifted slightly to the west..


Forecast valid for Monday Evening
http://i61.photobucket.com/albums/h62/c ... 0000-3.gif


so did the CMC and NOGAPS....



the CMC and NOGAPS are in the gulf now also??
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Bocadude85
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2991
Age: 38
Joined: Mon Apr 18, 2005 2:20 pm
Location: Honolulu,Hi

Re:

#1967 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:34 am

meriland23 wrote:is this more north than last nights run of HWRF?



Yea this run is a lot more NE... the last run had Isaac in the gulf
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Texashawk
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 579
Joined: Tue Aug 14, 2007 1:50 am
Location: Missouri City, TX (Houston)

Re:

#1968 Postby Texashawk » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:34 am

Jevo wrote:0z HWRF +96

Image


I'm.... not sure about this run. Seems to want to turn Isaac almost immediately at about 300 degrees and shooting for an Atlantic coast strike.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Jevo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1729
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
Location: The Flemish Cap
Contact:
Contact Jevo

#1969 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:35 am

0z HWRF +108 (Big shift East from 18z)

Image
0 likes   
Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
Top
Wx_Warrior
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2718
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2006 3:58 pm
Location: Beaumont, TX

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1970 Postby Wx_Warrior » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:36 am

Honey Boo Boo Child has my attention until EURO, and I gotta get up at 6:30a. For the love of EURO.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
meriland23
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1239
Age: 37
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1971 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:38 am

Wx_Warrior wrote:Honey Boo Boo Child has my attention until EURO, and I gotta get up at 6:30a. For the love of EURO.

...does anyone have a sudden craving for a Gyro? :?: hehe
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Hurricane Cheese
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 364
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 12:40 am
Location: Green Bay, WI (UWGB Earth Science Alum)

#1972 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:40 am

UKMET joining the Euro westward train...going to be very interested to see what the Euro does overnight
0 likes   
"If we are afraid to be different...how can we make a difference in the world?"

- Rev. John I. Jenkins C.S.C, President, University of Notre Dame
Top
User avatar
meriland23
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1239
Age: 37
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm

#1973 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:41 am

here it goes...

EURO 00z 00hr

Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Jevo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1729
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
Location: The Flemish Cap
Contact:
Contact Jevo

#1974 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:42 am

0z HWRF +114

Image

0z HWRF +120

Image

0z HWRF +126

Image
Last edited by Jevo on Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:47 am, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
Top
Weatherfreak000

#1975 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:43 am

Crunch time will be determined by landfall on Cuba the euro shows more south landfall and GFS further north..euro no longer an outlier btw...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re:

#1976 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:47 am

Weatherfreak000 wrote:Crunch time will be determined by landfall on Cuba the euro shows more south landfall and GFS further north..euro no longer an outlier btw...




wonder if its going to follow the 12Z ensembles...they were way left in the long range...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Jevo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1729
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
Location: The Flemish Cap
Contact:
Contact Jevo

#1977 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:48 am

0z HWRF Full Run Movie

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... fLoop.html
Last edited by Jevo on Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:49 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
Top
wxwatcher1999
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 264
Joined: Sat Aug 04, 2012 10:19 am

Re: Re:

#1978 Postby wxwatcher1999 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:49 am

ROCK wrote:
Weatherfreak000 wrote:Crunch time will be determined by landfall on Cuba the euro shows more south landfall and GFS further north..euro no longer an outlier btw...




wonder if its going to follow the 12Z ensembles...they were way left in the long range...



Can you post the ensembles?
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: Re:

#1979 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:53 am

wxwatcher1999 wrote:
ROCK wrote:
Weatherfreak000 wrote:Crunch time will be determined by landfall on Cuba the euro shows more south landfall and GFS further north..euro no longer an outlier btw...




wonder if its going to follow the 12Z ensembles...they were way left in the long range...



Can you post the ensembles?


12Z from today
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
meriland23
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1239
Age: 37
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm

#1980 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 12:55 am

EURO 24hr

Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2012”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests