EPAC: ILEANA - Post-Tropical
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EPAC: ILEANA - Post-Tropical
South of Mexico.
Last edited by Meow on Sat Aug 25, 2012 2:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 97E
Thanks meow.
BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_ep972012.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201208251855
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, EP, E, , , , , 97, 2012, DB, O, 2012082518, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , EP972012
BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_ep972012.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201208251855
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, EP, E, , , , , 97, 2012, DB, O, 2012082518, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , EP972012
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M a r k
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NHC: 20%
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT AUG 25 2012
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO
MEXICO. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NNNN
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT AUG 25 2012
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO
MEXICO. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NNNN
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 97E
I made a thread about this area last night, but nobody noticed it.
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Re:
Kingarabian wrote:I swear if this thing busts, I'm EPac season cancelling the next 3 years.
Yeah, too many poofs and busts this month. But don't give up for 3 years. Although there have been few storms for this month so far, let's see what September, October and November will bring!
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 97E
Great! 30%!
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1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES
SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES
SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
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- cycloneye
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 97E
Up to 30%.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN AUG 26 2012
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF
ACAPULCO IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN AUG 26 2012
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF
ACAPULCO IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 97E
cycloneye wrote:Up to 30%.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN AUG 26 2012
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF
ACAPULCO IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
You mean stays at 30%.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE A BETTER A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
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- galaxy401
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Up to 60% now!
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE
FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE
FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 97E
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 97E
I didn't know people lived in its path...if so, I would not have posted the symbol in my comment above.
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PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 97E
hurricanes1234 wrote:I didn't know people lived in its path...if so, I would not have posted the symbol in my comment above.
well, to be more accurate, 300 ppl do,
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- Yellow Evan
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SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES
SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE
SO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS
A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES
SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE
SO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS
A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 97E
oh yes this will likely develop but unfortunately it may stay weak...according to euro, it will be another weak short lived tropical cyclone.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
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https://www.weather.gov/gum/
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 97E
At least they show it becoming a hurricane. One of them on wunderground (the HWRF model) shows it nearing major hurricane status in 132 hours, the most aggressive forecast for this system.
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PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.
- cycloneye
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 97E
While Issac does it's thing,there is a new TD in EPAC.
EP, 09, 2012082718, , BEST, 0, 149N, 1065W, 30, 1006, TD
ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inves ... 012.invest
EP, 09, 2012082718, , BEST, 0, 149N, 1065W, 30, 1006, TD
ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inves ... 012.invest
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