EPAC: ILEANA - Post-Tropical

[Meow]

South of Mexico.

[tolakram]

Thanks meow.

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INVEST, EP, E, , , , , 97, 2012, DB, O, 2012082518, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , EP972012

[Meow]

NHC: 20%



ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT AUG 25 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO
MEXICO. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NNNN

[hurricanes1234]

I made a thread about this area last night, but nobody noticed it.

[Kingarabian]

I swear if this thing busts, I'm EPac season cancelling the next 3 years.

[hurricanes1234]

I swear if this thing busts, I'm EPac season cancelling the next 3 years.

Yeah, too many poofs and busts this month. But don't give up for 3 years. Although there have been few storms for this month so far, let's see what September, October and November will bring!

[hurricanes1234]

Great! 30%!

[Yellow Evan]

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES
SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

[cycloneye]

Up to 30%.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN AUG 26 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF
ACAPULCO IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

[galaxy401]

Up to 30%.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN AUG 26 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF
ACAPULCO IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

You mean stays at 30%.

[Yellow Evan]

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE A BETTER A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

[galaxy401]

Up to 60% now!

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE
FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

[hurricanes1234]

[Yellow Evan]

For the sake of the ppl in the Revillagigedo islands, where the storm could threaten, calm down, especially given that this invest may busts like several other invests did earlier this year.

[hurricanes1234]

I didn't know people lived in its path...if so, I would not have posted the symbol in my comment above.

[Yellow Evan]

I didn't know people lived in its path...if so, I would not have posted the symbol in my comment above.

well, to be more accurate, 300 ppl do,

[Yellow Evan]

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES
SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE
SO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS
A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

[euro6208]

oh yes this will likely develop but unfortunately it may stay weak...according to euro, it will be another weak short lived tropical cyclone.


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[hurricanes1234]

At least they show it becoming a hurricane. One of them on wunderground (the HWRF model) shows it nearing major hurricane status in 132 hours, the most aggressive forecast for this system.

[cycloneye]

While Issac does it's thing,there is a new TD in EPAC.

EP, 09, 2012082718, , BEST, 0, 149N, 1065W, 30, 1006, TD

ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inves ... 012.invest