ATL: SANDY - Remnants - Discussion

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CDO62
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#721 Postby CDO62 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:15 pm

boca wrote:Look at the floatethis is moving due north it was over Jamaica since it emerged off the coast its been moving NNE or 30 degrees.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html


I agree. Looks to be a little East of forecast points. Will it wobble back West?
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#722 Postby Bocadude85 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:17 pm

First rainbands starting to move ashore in South Florida.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=AMX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#723 Postby ozonepete » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:17 pm

cycloneye wrote:
cpdaman wrote:
boca wrote:Look at the floatethis is moving due north it was over Jamaica since it emerged off the coast its been moving NNE or 30 degrees.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html


yes it looks NNE since leaving jamaica (i'd say 20 deg) , and 40 degrees is NE


The second pass by recon will tell us the real movement.


Yes. Remember you are wobble watching and need an avergae motion of at least a few hours, preferably at least 6.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#724 Postby boca » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:18 pm

CDO62 wrote:
boca wrote:Look at the floatethis is moving due north it was over Jamaica since it emerged off the coast its been moving NNE or 30 degrees.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html


I agree. Looks to be a little East of forecast points. Will it wobble back West?


My point is the more it moves NNE we will have less influence here in Florida.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#725 Postby HurricaneFrances04 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:23 pm

Personally, I'm waiting for Sandy to get to the Central Bahamas before worrying about any wobbles.

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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#726 Postby bahamaswx » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:26 pm

HurricaneFrances04 wrote:Personally, I'm waiting for Sandy to get to the Central Bahamas before worrying about any wobbles.

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I'm worried about them now. :)
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#727 Postby ozonepete » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:35 pm

Gigantic circulation. Haven't seen many this big. Look at little Tony off to the northeast, lol.

Image
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#728 Postby Weatherguy173 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:36 pm

[quote="ozonepete"]Gigantic circulation. Haven't seen many this big.

how many miles do u think?
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#729 Postby boca » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:38 pm

I'd say about 700 miles wide from north to south
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#730 Postby ozonepete » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:41 pm

:uarrow: No. More. I've just been measuring. 900 miles across and over 1,000 miles from north to south. Extremely large hurricane.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#731 Postby ozonepete » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:42 pm

For reference, it's 912 miles by air from Tampa, FL to Corpus Christi, TX.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#732 Postby ozonepete » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:44 pm

Look at it sucking inflow from the eastern Pacific. Wow.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-avn.html
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#733 Postby Bocadude85 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:48 pm

ozonepete wrote:Look at it sucking inflow from the eastern Pacific. Wow.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-avn.html



In that loop you can also see the jog to the NNE everyone was talking about.. but at the end of the loop you can see Sandy starting a jog to the NNW
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Re:

#734 Postby fci » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:48 pm

Nate-Gillson wrote:I wouldn't be surprised if Sandy is already a borderline cat 3, much less a cat 4.

I doubt it, there is land interaction starting.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#735 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:48 pm

ozonepete wrote::uarrow: No. More. I've just been measuring. 900 miles across and over 1,000 miles from north to south. Extremely large hurricane.


That would be the total circulation your talking about correct. The wind field and rain would only be several hundred miles or so, or am I way off here.
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#736 Postby SootyTern » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:50 pm

Something weird just happened that may be making the storm appear to have gone more NE recently. A big burst of convection on the W side appears to have blown up and 'squished' the eye into a teardrop shape temporarily. Burst now seems to be wrapping around to the S and SE and the eye looks more circular again, and the storm seems to be back on track to be close to the next NHC forecast point, or maybe a tad east of the point it just passed.


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#737 Postby lester » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:51 pm

Sandy's pressure has gone down to 956 mbs preliminary according to Recon
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#738 Postby StormingB81 » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:51 pm

The record is 1380 by Super Typhoons Tip in 1974 That is wind field only.
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Re: Re:

#739 Postby HurrMark » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:52 pm

fci wrote:
Nate-Gillson wrote:I wouldn't be surprised if Sandy is already a borderline cat 3, much less a cat 4.

I doubt it, there is land interaction starting.


I think it has a few more hours to make a run...wouldn't surprise me to see a cat 3.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion

#740 Postby NDG » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:53 pm

Looks like its pressure continues to drop, down to at least 960mb, lets see what the VDM shows.
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