ATL: SANDY - Remnants - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
- Category 3
- Posts: 813
- Age: 31
- Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2010 3:05 pm
Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
Buck wrote:Despite the threat Sandy poses, I'd probably give her the title of best looking storm of the season. I need to go to bed but if recon is staying out to sample SE quad, I might have to stay up... I'll be surprised if the landfall statement doesn't have Sandy as a major.
Agreed with the first part, the 2nd part...get ready to be surprised when you wake up!

brunota2003 wrote:SouthDadeFish wrote:Check out SSD ADT:
2012OCT25 041500 6.2 944.2/ +1.4 /119.8 6.2 6.6 7.0 2.7T/12hr OFF OFF -4.96 -75.32 EYE -99 IR 19.66 75.99 COMBO
Holy crap! Raw T at 7.0!!!!
Well, guess this is a learning opportunity that sat estimates aren't always accurate. Now, if it had several more hours over water? Maybe.
Just remember this SSD ADT value in the future when official intensity estimates are based off of these algorithms. This is why I don't trust them, but yet when there is no recon these values are taken as perfect. With regards to the Raw T at 7.0, what the heck? That is a strange value for it to spit out considering in the past I've seen better looking majors that didn't get to 7.0 or close to it. But even so leaving this at 95 knots at landfall with a 7.0 hanging above is quite insane.
CrazyC83 wrote:The right-front quadrant is headed into a major city too! Santiago de Cuba is Cuba's second largest city, population nearly 500,000.
This is close to the worst case scenario for that city. Its hours from the middle of the night, its rapidly intensifying, the worst part of the hurricane is blasting the city, Jogs slightly more towards the city maybe catching some off guard (They shouldn't be but it happens) and the population density. A major disaster could be unfolding and the worst one of the season.
Hurricaneman wrote:is it me or are the Mountains of Cuba not doing much disruption to the core, if what I'm seeing is right that could be really bad news for the NEUS in the long run
I personally don't think that's going to matter much when it comes to the NE of the US. I'm not an expert in the phase stuff but it might only matter to a point.
Hurricaneman wrote:TWC is at it again, they said it weakened to 110mph from 115 when it was really a correction on the NHC's part

0 likes
- OzCycloneChaserTrav
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 30
- Age: 34
- Joined: Thu Aug 23, 2012 2:35 am
- Location: Townsville, Queensland Australia
- Contact:
Oh man, the latest ECMWF determanistic 850mb wind speed does NOT paint a good picture for areas between North Carolina and New Jersey.....
Also a point, the run is showing Sandy moving NW near the bahamas to nearly make landfall in Florida before running parallel to the US coastline....
Wow what a few days we have ahead of us.
Also a point, the run is showing Sandy moving NW near the bahamas to nearly make landfall in Florida before running parallel to the US coastline....
Wow what a few days we have ahead of us.
0 likes
Oz Cyclone Chasers ( Australian Cyclone Chasers )
Tropical Cyclone Ului Category 3 2010
Tropical Cyclone Anthony Category 2 2011
Tropical Cyclone Yasi Category 5 2011
Tropical Cyclone Lua Category 4 2012
Tropical Cyclone Dylan Category 2 2014
Tropical Cyclone Ita Category 5 2014
Tropical Cyclone Ului Category 3 2010
Tropical Cyclone Anthony Category 2 2011
Tropical Cyclone Yasi Category 5 2011
Tropical Cyclone Lua Category 4 2012
Tropical Cyclone Dylan Category 2 2014
Tropical Cyclone Ita Category 5 2014
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 3468
- Joined: Sat Oct 24, 2009 11:50 pm
Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
Just curious, when is Sandy expected to become a 'hybrid storm', if ever it would?
http://news.yahoo.com/hybrid-sandy-winter-storm-threatens-east-coast-064040714.html
This article made everything spooky when Sandy is described to merge with a nor'easter and an arctic blast. Also take note how much the article pointed out that the threatened area is highly populated.
http://news.yahoo.com/hybrid-sandy-winter-storm-threatens-east-coast-064040714.html
This article made everything spooky when Sandy is described to merge with a nor'easter and an arctic blast. Also take note how much the article pointed out that the threatened area is highly populated.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Wow
bahamaswx wrote:Cuba sure didn't disrupt her much. She's got about an hour or two left overland, but the mountains are behind her.
Yes, I think Sandy faired the most well for any mature tropical cyclone I have seen crossing over those mountains. I think the faster forward motion and the due north direction helped here. Its structure looks really good still.
bahamaswx wrote:5am update tracks the eye over Georgetown.
So how do you feel about this? Are you getting excited for the big storm coming?
ROCK wrote:http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL
um, this map is interesting....
What's interesting about it? I don't see anything that could cause me to pause.
Something else I noticed it how much heavy convection has been over the nations of Haiti and the Dominican, this will likely cause satellite disasters over there as well. Sandy certainly has the potential to knock Isaac off the top in every category.
0 likes
Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
Wow! Just took my first look of the day and Sandy has maintained well as she moves through Cuba. Oh, going to be a long day...and weekend for that matter. One of the challenges of being a forecaster - figuring out her next stop after the Bahamas. The DelMarVa, New Jersey, New York, or New England? Time to get to work. Have a great day y'all! Let's hope that the damage reports are too bad for those already impacted.
0 likes
Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
Looks like Sandy is going to hit the water running.
CAPE at about 2000.
http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?pr ... hive=false
Still has an eye - WISHE will kick in quickly.
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... 250155.jpg
CAPE at about 2000.
http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?pr ... hive=false
Still has an eye - WISHE will kick in quickly.
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... 250155.jpg
0 likes
Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
That ULL diving SE from the Canadian Maritimes is setting up an ideal poleward outflow channel.
http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/ ... nhanced+24
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... g8wvir.GIF
http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/ ... nhanced+24
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... g8wvir.GIF
0 likes
- brunota2003
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 9476
- Age: 34
- Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
- Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
- Contact:
- ObsessedMiami
- Category 1
- Posts: 431
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 8:08 pm
- Location: West Kendall, Fl
Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
Why is this forecasted to weaken from a Cat 2 to a Cat 1 over the Bahamas?
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145355
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
GCANE wrote:Looks like Sandy is going to hit the water running.
CAPE at about 2000.
http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?pr ... hive=false
Still has an eye - WISHE will kick in quickly.
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... 250155.jpg
Hi GCANE. What is WISHE?
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Wind Induced Surface Heat Exchange
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
I think that at the end when they reanalyze Sandy, they are going to upgrade Sandy into a Major Hurricane as it made landfall, IMO.
An official Cuban weather station on the northern coast of Island, Punta Lucrecia, at 5 AM reported substained winds of 95 mph with gusts to 115 mph, 3 1/2 hours after making landfall and going over Mountainous terrain.
Lets see if Cuban TV later today starts showing some of the damage in Santiago de Cuba, which could be extensive, especially in the higher elevated portions of the City.
An official Cuban weather station on the northern coast of Island, Punta Lucrecia, at 5 AM reported substained winds of 95 mph with gusts to 115 mph, 3 1/2 hours after making landfall and going over Mountainous terrain.
Lets see if Cuban TV later today starts showing some of the damage in Santiago de Cuba, which could be extensive, especially in the higher elevated portions of the City.
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145355
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re:
Cuber wrote:Wind Induced Surface Heat Exchange
Thank you for the answer to the question about that.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- weatherwindow
- Category 4
- Posts: 904
- Joined: Mon Sep 20, 2004 9:48 am
- Location: key west/ft lauderdale
Re: ATL: SANDY - Hurricane - Discussion
NDG wrote:I think that at the end when they reanalyze Sandy, they are going to upgrade Sandy into a Major Hurricane as it made landfall, IMO.
An official Cuban weather station on the northern coast of Island, Punta Lucrecia, at 5 AM reported substained winds of 95 mph with gusts to 115 mph, 3 1/2 hours after making landfall and going over Mountainous terrain.
Lets see if Cuban TV later today starts showing some of the damage in Santiago de Cuba, which could be extensive, especially in the higher elevated portions of the City.
Not just at elevation...Santiago de Cuba sits at the head of a fairly narrow bay(think Narragansett Bay)...with the landfall West of the bay entrance and 7 feet of surge driving up a narrowing bay which should add 2 feet to the surge on top of a spring tide of two feet give or take...thats an 11' tidal bore approaching the waterfront at about 5 kts..oops almost forgot about the 3' breaking waves atop the bore...I doubt they had time to break out the boogie boards:(
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests