Texas Winter 2012-2013

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ravyrn
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#641 Postby ravyrn » Sun Dec 09, 2012 6:26 pm

NWS forecasts a low of 19 for Little Elm tomorrow! Brrrrr!

Also got flurries forecasted for tonight and tomorrow morning :D
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#642 Postby Ntxw » Sun Dec 09, 2012 6:27 pm

Could be worse! Try 105 and dryness! It's time we plan a move to Mars since heat is going to dominate the earth forevermore! Sometimes we just got to take what mother natures gives us, we can't control just take it in stride :wink:

Kidding aside, it's really blustery outside. Was playing some tennis and the front passage wasn't that bad until recently. Teens are definitely possible west of I-35 and northern counties tonight.

Front is currently heading for Central Texas. I'm sure the PWC mets are awaiting arrival with plenty of joy!
ImageImage
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#643 Postby SaskatchewanScreamer » Sun Dec 09, 2012 6:48 pm

Have any of you taken a pic of what a Blue Norther looks like when it just before it reaches your location?
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#644 Postby SouthernMet » Sun Dec 09, 2012 7:02 pm

If you're in North Texas check out the latest HRRR(21z). :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#645 Postby GRAYSONCO.WX » Sun Dec 09, 2012 7:06 pm

SouthernMet wrote:If you're in North Texas check out the latest HRRR(21z). :wink:

What's intriguing to me is that a few of the recent HRRR runs show the shortwave pulling in more moisture from the southwest, it appears.
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#646 Postby weatherdude1108 » Sun Dec 09, 2012 7:17 pm

Front moved through south Cedar Park/North Austin between 5:45 and 5:50 pm. 72 to 68 and dropping.
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#647 Postby SouthernMet » Sun Dec 09, 2012 7:23 pm

GRAYSONCO.WX wrote:
SouthernMet wrote:If you're in North Texas check out the latest HRRR(21z). :wink:

What's intriguing to me is that a few of the recent HRRR runs show the shortwave pulling in more moisture from the southwest, it appears.


Exactly.. Interesting.. 22z is running now with a solid band In NWTX 8 hours out.. Stay tuned as the plot thickens!! (Precip type is all snow with accumulations)
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#648 Postby Ntxw » Sun Dec 09, 2012 7:33 pm

Here is the 21z of the HRRR in question.

Image

Edit: Each run has trended wetter with a good band of precip so maybe someone will get lucky!
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#649 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Sun Dec 09, 2012 7:55 pm

Interesting. Hopefully you guys get something!
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#650 Postby Ntxw » Sun Dec 09, 2012 7:56 pm

And here is the 22z southernMet was talking about. Up to 2 inches in some areas according to it.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#651 Postby Portastorm » Sun Dec 09, 2012 8:01 pm

The cold front has passed through the Portastorm Weather Center. Temps dropping into the mid 60s now. I didn't expect too much drama with this fropa but I am disappointed to not get any rain. About two hours ago, I saw some healthy cumulus buildups to our west. Got my hopes up ... and ... nothing. :(

SouthernMet's post certainly has piqued my curiosity though for my friends in North Texas.
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#652 Postby SouthernMet » Sun Dec 09, 2012 8:06 pm

1hr Snowfall Accumulation, DFW Metro is the bullseye @ 6am :eek: :double: thoughts?? : http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displ ... ll&adtfn=1
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#653 Postby Ntxw » Sun Dec 09, 2012 8:08 pm

SouthernMet wrote:1hr Snowfall Accumulation, DFW Metro is the bullseye @ 6am :eek: :double: thoughts?? : http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displ ... ll&adtfn=1


I think that's showing snowfall rates, it would be 1-2 inch per hour rate is what it's showing. Or maybe I'm wrong and it's showing 2 inches on the ground for that hour?
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#654 Postby ludosc » Sun Dec 09, 2012 8:19 pm

well it certainly is a good thing that i am off work tomorrow...can stay up and see if we get anything here in FTW...
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#655 Postby GRAYSONCO.WX » Sun Dec 09, 2012 8:20 pm

The 23Z HRRR run looks even better than all of the previous runs! It shows a good about of moisture getting pulled northward into north Texas and southern Oklahoma ahead of this shortwave. It even appears that some weak convection may get pulled into this system. Keep in mind that's if the 23Z run were to verify.
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#656 Postby Tireman4 » Sun Dec 09, 2012 8:21 pm

We could, down here, have some rain. It looks like it might make it.
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#657 Postby gpsnowman » Sun Dec 09, 2012 8:22 pm

Good news tonight. But that temp in North Texas better start to drop soon!
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#658 Postby Ntxw » Sun Dec 09, 2012 8:23 pm

There is some STJ moisture plume in Mexico. Perhaps this is what the HRRR is seeing since most of its runs is depicting the band to form from the SW in the big bend area?

Image
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Re:

#659 Postby GRAYSONCO.WX » Sun Dec 09, 2012 8:25 pm

Ntxw wrote:There is some STJ moisture plume in Mexico. Perhaps this is what the HRRR is seeing since most of it's runs is depicting the band to form from the SW in the big bend area?

Image


I think so! I was just talking to my roommate about that moisture moving overhead from the southwest. Hmmm..Thoughts? The HRRR was the model that picked up on that one shortwave which dumped snow across north Texas back in like January 2010; the system which had the "Colorado-like" snow. Not too sure of the exact date.
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#660 Postby gpsnowman » Sun Dec 09, 2012 8:45 pm

Watching the snow fall in Green Bay is making me drool.
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