Global model runs discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
- Hurricaneman
- Category 5
- Posts: 7351
- Age: 45
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
- Location: central florida
Re: Global Model Runs Discussion
N2FSU wrote:12Z GFS; 120hr. shows next one to develop off of Africa.
It actually starts the development phase at 90hrs and at 360 makes landfall near Palm Beach, we know this will change alot but is a sign that the Cape Verde season is getting going early this year
Last edited by Hurricaneman on Sun Jul 07, 2013 1:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
Re: Global Model Runs Discussion
Hurricaneman wrote:It actually starts the development phase at 90hrs and at 360 makes landfall near Palm Beach, we know this will change alot but is a sign that the Cape Verde season is getting going early this year
Yes it sure does! I just didn't post the one that far back. Interesting days ahead.
0 likes
- Hurricaneman
- Category 5
- Posts: 7351
- Age: 45
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
- Location: central florida
Re: Global Model Runs Discussion
12zGFS shows a wave with low at 90hrs coming off of Africa and basically pulls a track thats a mix of David and Frances so with the ridging out there on average this could very well happen but will probably change in subsequent runs but the moral is the cape verde season is in full swing a month early this year like 1996, and 2008
0 likes
-
- Category 1
- Posts: 262
- Joined: Sat Jun 23, 2012 11:03 am
- Hurricaneman
- Category 5
- Posts: 7351
- Age: 45
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
- Location: central florida
Re: Global Model Runs Discussion
Stormlover2012 wrote:Way way out!!! Won't believe till euro shows something
The Euro probably won't show something until there is an organized tropical storm because it usually shows nothing until it has an organized low
0 likes
-
- Category 1
- Posts: 262
- Joined: Sat Jun 23, 2012 11:03 am
Re: Global Model Runs Discussion
Euro is the best!!! It has nailed the last 2 waves, gfs showed something forming on both and euro kept it as a wave and look what happened, gfs might get lucky 1 out 10 times.
0 likes
Re: Global Model Runs Discussion
Stormlover2012 wrote:Euro is the best!!! It has nailed the last 2 waves, gfs showed something forming on both and euro kept it as a wave and look what happened, gfs might get lucky 1 out 10 times.
Ehhh. No. Its quite silly to look at only one model and take its run as gospel. Its much better too look at all of them and then make your own determination.
0 likes
-
- Category 1
- Posts: 262
- Joined: Sat Jun 23, 2012 11:03 am
Re: Global Model Runs Discussion
I look at all of them and the euro isn't bullish like all these other models, gfs,cmc,navy and the nam they always go over board.
0 likes
- Hurricaneman
- Category 5
- Posts: 7351
- Age: 45
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
- Location: central florida
Re: Global Model Runs Discussion
The 12zEuro and 12zGFS both show a wave coming off of Africa at about 90hrs and developing it so the wave coming into the eastern section of Africa needs to be monitored for development later this week and maybe beyond that for the islands
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
0 likes
Re:
NDG wrote:It makes sense about the CV season starting soon, the MJO is still hanging around the borderline of Phase 1 & 2
I concur, definitely not unusual when in those phases. Most models slow it down and keep it there before progressing it or weakening, we should get a good 2 weeks out of it at least for the models to continue showing activity.
0 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Hurricaneman
- Category 5
- Posts: 7351
- Age: 45
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
- Location: central florida
Re: Global Model Runs Discussion
18zGFS kills off the idea of a Cape Verde storm that it had in the 12z
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest