Just looking at the latest loops for the last 2 hours...It kinda looks like the open spot we've been following is just a portion of the eye and either the true center has jumped into the deep convection to the west a little or that's been the center all along and we've been following the warm spot...just using the last visible imagery as a guide and interpolating the IR images from there.
I may be completely wrong about this...but it's one of those things that I'm throwing out there as I think it...cause if it happens and I wait until it happens to post on it...I would be posting about the obvious.
I suppose we'll find out in the next couple of hours.
MW
Hmmm...Eye Filling...Or is it?
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
Hmmm...Eye Filling...Or is it?
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145447
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
MW that may be a reformation of the eye more to the west but more frames for sure are needed.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Yep
ChaserUK wrote:I reckon it could just be eyewall dynamics at work - a common feature of strong hurricanes, the eye is probably shifting position.
I suppose I didn't extend that conclusion out there as far as I should of...that's precisely my point...and the position of 20.3 47.8 may end as too far north/east depending on how the next few images look.
Or I could have just another random thought go wrong...again.
MW
0 likes
- Scott_inVA
- Storm2k Forecaster
- Posts: 1238
- Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 5:44 pm
- Location: Lexington, Virginia
- Contact:
Re: Yep
MWatkins wrote:ChaserUK wrote:I reckon it could just be eyewall dynamics at work - a common feature of strong hurricanes, the eye is probably shifting position.
I suppose I didn't extend that conclusion out there as far as I should of...that's precisely my point...and the position of 20.3 47.8 may end as too far north/east depending on how the next few images look.
Or I could have just another random thought go wrong...again.
MW
I haven't looked since ~1PM today, but it's about time for eyewall recycle.
Scott
0 likes
- PTrackerLA
- Category 5
- Posts: 5277
- Age: 41
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
- Location: Lafayette, LA
Just throwing this out, does a storm have to have a perfect eye feature to be a strong cat 3/4 or even 5? The reason I'm saying this is because I never remember Opal looking like a "classic" storm. I can't even remember her having an eye with 150mph winds. I think this current ragged eye is just a short-term fluctuation.
0 likes
- ChaserUK
- Category 2
- Posts: 630
- Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 4:10 pm
- Location: Jersey, Channel Islands
- Contact:
PTrackerLA, I agree - as far as I can see there is nothing that would disturb any intensity in Isabel and any ragged appeared a sign of eye wall repositioning IMO - the way I see it if the eye wall moves then the movement of the exhaust air buffering up against the higher cloud layers causing the ragged appearance. I am however a novice at this type of development. My knowledge is (limited that it is of course). I have however learnt a lot since joiniing your forum - thanks guys!!
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: duilaslol, emeraldislenc, Google Adsense [Bot], LarryWx, lilbump3000, ljmac75, StormWeather and 39 guests