chaser1 wrote:boca wrote:I have a question is because the convection is popping would that indicate that Dorian might survive longer and come back to life because of the ssts are warming
"very well could"; its a tight balancing act. One one hand you've already got the spin and regardless the dynamics that might help drive convection, maintaining any newly developing vertical column is difficult enough while being impacted by anything more than light vertical shear. Added instability (to its vertical structure that is) by any intrusion of dry air, makes it that much harder to maintain that convection and in turn maintaining its own vertical integrety. Lesson one of the variables (less upper level shear, or slower forward motion, or an moister air mass) and that helps Dorian live to see another day.[/quote
Also the fact that Dorian is so small to begin with if it was larger it wouldn't be affected as much with dry air and the shear