ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[TheStormExpert]

What image does wxman57 have in the event of regeneration

Still Alive!

[lester]

What the heck is going on here? I thought Dorian's last advisory was yesterday?? Oh my! Time to keep a keen eye on this thing. When does recon go out again?

They depart at 10:30 for an overnight fix.

[cycloneye]

What the heck is going on here? I thought Dorian's last advisory was yesterday?? Oh my! Time to keep a keen eye on this thing. When does recon go out again?

Departs from St Croix at 10:30 PM EDT.

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 72
A. 29/0530Z
B. AFXXX 0204A DORIAN
C. 29/0230Z
D. 20.4N 65.0W
E. 29/0300Z TO 29/0700Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

[wzrgirl1]

Thank you Lester! I'll be interested in those findings when I wake up in the morning. Hope he doesn't have his sights on any land.

[WeatherEmperor]

What the heck is going on here? I thought Dorian's last advisory was yesterday?? Oh my! Time to keep a keen eye on this thing. When does recon go out again?

Hi Wendy. It looks like Dorian is trying to make a comeback. The next recon flies out in about 1 hour. Many of the models bring it close to our location so its something to watch.
Sent from my HTC EVO 4G LTE

[wzrgirl1]

Thanks Cycloneye!!

What the heck is going on here? I thought Dorian's last advisory was yesterday?? Oh my! Time to keep a keen eye on this thing. When does recon go out again?

Departs from St Croix at 10:30 PM EDT.

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 72
A. 29/0530Z
B. AFXXX 0204A DORIAN
C. 29/0230Z
D. 20.4N 65.0W
E. 29/0300Z TO 29/0700Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

[wzrgirl1]

Hey Ricky,

I see you are no longer in Miramar, but in the Miami area. Regardless it looks like a wait and see approach for our area for the next couple of days. Hope all is well!

Wendy

What the heck is going on here? I thought Dorian's last advisory was yesterday?? Oh my! Time to keep a keen eye on this thing. When does recon go out again?

Hi Wendy. It looks like Dorian is trying to make a comeback. The next recon flies out in about 1 hour. Many of the models bring it close to our location so its something to watch.
Sent from my HTC EVO 4G LTE

[tolakram]

So out of curiosity, in recent times (say the last 5 years), have we had a significant storm without any model support?

[NDG]

I don't trust the new GFS. It has not proven itself yet, it was supposed to be takin a left turn towards P.R. tonight, as forecasted after the switch, remember?

Did you trust the old gfs? I don't trust any of them more than 72h and then its iffy just like nhc track

Sent Using Tapatalk2

Yes, the old one was doing fairly well in its mid range forecast better than euro and GEM/CMC, IMO.

[Kingarabian]

[hurricanekid416]

Great decision to have recon go in during dmax

[cycloneye]

http://img208.imageshack.us/img208/1954/9tio.jpg

Still work to do for 91L to organize.

[hurricanekid416]

What are the conditions like ahead of the system

[SFLcane]

http://img208.imageshack.us/img208/1954/9tio.jpg

Still work to do for 91L to organize.

Nothing to see at the surface yet.

[supercane4867]

TCFA

[seahawkjd]

Bones can say its returned from the dead without even having to go through the mental gymnastics required in Star Trek 3. Is there anything in the models that would turn it before Florida if this does reform?

[gatorcane]

1-2-3 Mariner's rule showing tropical cyclone formation is possible now:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... e#contents

[SFLcane]

Aric i see ur on..

[Bocadude85]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
826 PM EDT SUN JUL 28 2013

.UPDATE...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER THE INTERIOR THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE. SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD DIMINISH OVER
THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. A FEW SHOWERS
OR STORMS MAY MOVE TOWARDS THE EAST COAST OVERNIGHT WITH THE
SOUTHEAST FLOW OVER THE ATLANTIC. OTHERWISE...IT WILL BE PARTLY
CLOUDY AND SEASONABLY WARM.

IN REGARDS TO THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN...THE NHC HAS INCREASED THE
CHANCE OF REGENERATION TO 50 PERCENT OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN ARE FORECAST TO MOVE IN THE GENERAL
DIRECTION OF THE FLORIDA STRAITS OR SOUTH FLORIDA BY THE MIDDLE TO
END OF THIS WEEK. INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND
STAY TUNED TO UPDATED FORECASTS ON THIS FEATURE.

[blp]

If classified again are we looking at Dorian? Or new name?